Sports Betting NFL and MLB Line Moves and Top Trends
Sports Betting NFL and MLB Line Moves and Top Trends
By Doug Upstone
One baseball wild card team has advanced to series play and other will go tonight. What to bettors think about this AL conflict, keep reading. Also, I have the latest NFL line moves to prepare you for this upcoming weekend. Studying line moves can become a very profitable venture if you know what to look for.
MLB – (903) TAMPA BAY at (904) CLEVELAND 8:05 ET TBS
Since being struck in the head by a line drive and suffering a concussion, Tampa Bay’s Alex Cobb (14-3, 2.76 ERA) has been terrific in his last nine starts, going 5-1 with a 2.41 ERA. Cleveland counters with the unflappable Danny Salazar (2-3, 3-12), who started the season in Double-A. Baseball bettors are thinking a low scoring contest and dumped the total from 7.5 to 7. While there is reason the think this could be true, both teams are averaging more than five runs a contest in their past seven games and eight of the last 10 meetings in Cleveland have gone OVER. SWM Take – Play Over
NFL – Thursday (301) BUFFALO at (302) CLEVELAND 8:25 ET NFLN
This is a rare sight. Cleveland is a rising favorite, now up to -4.5 from Sunday’s -3 release by oddsmakers. The combination of the Browns No. 3 ranked defense, coupled with QB Brian Hoyer working his magic has football bettors backing Cleveland. The Bills are 1-9 ATS in road affairs after playing a game at home the last three years.
NFL – (419) NEW ENGLAND at (420) CINCINNATI 1:00 ET CBS
Those betting on football might be thinking the Patriots have turned a corner, while the Bengals continue to flounder. New England was a 1.5-point underdog and has been altered to a Pick. This does make sense as Tom Brady is gaining confidence in his receivers, while Andy Dalton is just off target. Cincinnati is 1-8 ATS off a SU division defeat.
NFL – (423) DETROIT at (424) GREEN BAY 1:00 ET FOX
Both these NFC North partners have tremendous passing offenses and both teams are on the bottom half of pass defenses statistics, which is why the total is heading north from 52 to 55 points. Given the total, the teams are a combined 28-6 OVER when they and the opposition both score at least 20 points.
NFL – (431) SAN DIEGO at (432) OAKLAND 11:35 ET NFLN
Raiders Nation has gotten bumped from an afternoon affair to under the lights on Sunday because the MLB playoffs. Whenever the game was to be played; those taking a look at the NFL lines moved the total from 44 to 45.5. The most obvious reason for the move is the pass defenses. Oakland is 25th in yards per pass attempt (7.4) and San Diego is even worse at 30th (8.1). Toss in the Chargers are 9-1 OVER in road games after playing at home and you have the making of a play.
NFL – (433) DENVER at (434) DALLAS 4:25 ET CBS
The Cowboys might be playing at home, but their pass defense ranks 27th in the NFL, which is an ominous sign taking on Denver’s offense. Peyton Manning and the Broncos offense could hardly be playing any better and they up to -9 road favorites from -6. Denver is 8-0 ATS versus passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 64% or worse since Manning arrived.
NFL – Monday (437) N.Y. JETS at (438) ATLANTA 8:40 ET ESPN
For the first Monday night contest of October, who would have guessed the Jets would have a better record than the Falcons to this point. Certainly not Atlanta and it seems those making sports picks also, pushing the Birds from -7.5 to -10. Atlanta might not be a sure thing with their dismal 3-17 ATS record after gaining 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games.
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
NFL ATS Trend
Denver is 10-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points the last two seasons.
NFL Totals Trend
Chicago is 8-0 OVER versus offensive teams averaging six or more yards a play the last three seasons.
MLB Money Line Trend
Tampa Bay is 15-6 on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
This website is monitored at the Sports Watch Monitor.
