Sports Betting Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
Sports Betting Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
By Doug Upstone
On Friday, conference tournament action starts to blend with the end of the regular season, while the NBA and NHL roll along. The Lakers lack of effort on defense last night has influenced the total against Denver tonight and the Detroit Red Wings injured stars have them as a falling home favorite in action tonight. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll.
NBA – (809) BROOKLYN at (810) BOSTON 7:35 E YES, CSN-NE
For the first time all season, the Nets are above .500 at 30-29, riding a four-game win streak. While known for defense, it has been Brooklyn’s offense which has made the difference in this charge, averaging 104.5 points a game in this stretch compared to season average of 97.6. This has influenced bettors to elevate the total from 194 to 196 and the Nets are also 14-4 OVER after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games the last two seasons. Boston is 14-4 UNDER after a home loss like they just suffered against Golden State, yet oddly; Brooklyn is 10-1 OVER on Friday’s this season! SWM Take – Lean Over
NBA – (815) PORTLAND at (816) DALLAS 8:35 E CSN-NW, FSSW
Portland has been the highest scoring team in the league almost all season (currently tied with the Clippers), but their recent commitment to defense is altering basketball bettors perspective. The Trail Blazers have conceded just 92.4 PPG in the last seven outings and this has led directly to seven straight UNDER’s. Those betting basketball can take a hint and lowered the opening game of Portland’s five-game road trip from 218 to 214.5. This significant reduction does bring Dallas’ 15-5 OVER mark after two or more consecutive road losses the past three seasons into play and the fact these teams are 5-0 OVER when playing Big D could also matter. SWM Take – Lean Over
CBB – (843) UNC-WILMINGTON at (844) HOFSTRA 7:00 E CAA.tv
You never know what will peak sports bettors interest, but this first round matchup of the CAA did, featuring the two worst teams in the conference. The winner is not expected to last long in the postseason, having to face CAA champions Delaware next, but Hofstra has attracted the attention, moving from a Pick to a 1.5-point favorite. Hofstra does have a bit more offense overall (67.9 vs. 62.8) and did sweep the season series. For the year, the Pride connects in 41.6 percent of their shots and they are 13-3 ATS since last year when they make 40 to 46 percent of shot attempts. SWM Take – Hofstra covers
NHL – (51) N.Y. RANGERS at (52) CAROLINA 7:05 E SS
Carolina is back home for the first time since Feb. 8, having been on a five-game road trip since the break, winning at San Jose on Tuesday to prevent a 0-5 record. That was the first time in five contests the Hurricanes had held the opposition to less than three goals. The New York Rangers are still searching for defense, surrendering 13 goals in losing three in a row. The hockey money has forced oddsmakers to move the total of O5(-115) 20 cents to O5(-135). Consider the Blueshirts are 8-1 OVER after allowing three goals or more in three consecutive games the last three seasons. SWM Take – Play Over
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
NBA ATS Trend
Indiana is 10-1 ATS versus team’s making 46% or more of their shots this season.
NHL Money Line Trend
The N.Y. Islanders are 3-11 against teams scoring 2.4 or fewer goals a game.
CBB ATS Trend
Central Florida is 1-10 ATS after one or more consecutive Over’s this season.
This website is monitored at the Sports Watch Monitor.
