Sports Watch Monitor Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
Sports Watch Monitor Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
By Doug Upstone
Here are this week’s early starters for football bettors and what they doing with their money on particular contests. A few other college games would have also fit, but those line moves were more predicated on injuries. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll, also, check the Free Picks, 8-0 in the NFL for Week 3. (145-108 L54D)
CFB – (115) MINNESOTA at (116) MICHIGAN 3:30 E ABC/ESPN2
Barring a miracle, this should be the end of the Brady Hoke era at Michigan at the end of the season. However for this contest, football bettors are expecting the Wolverines to step up like they always do against Minnesota, having won 30 of 32 SU. Michigan was moved from -8 to -11 and has covered six in a row. Betting Trend – 61 percent have Michigan to cover
CFB – (117) MARYLAND at (118) INDIANA 1:30 ET BTN
No question the Indiana’s upset of Missouri is the reason why the Hoosiers have been sent from -2.5 to -5. Another factor is Maryland did not handle West Virginia’s no-huddle offense well and Indiana does the same thing with more of a running accent. The Hoosiers are 11-2 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points, but will the momentum of last week carry forward? Betting Trend – 68 percent have Maryland to cover
CFB – (129) AKRON at (130) PITTSBURGH 1:30 ET W-ESPN
Talk to a Pitt alum and they would have told you the Panthers were in trouble last week against Iowa. For whatever reason this program cannot stand prosperity. Nevertheless, Pittsburgh has the right kind of opponent were their potent running game should pound away at Akron. This has sent the Zips from +17.5 to +20, though Akron is 6-0 ATS away after 50+ pass attempts. Betting Trend – WOW! 98 percent have Pittsburgh to cover
CFB – (131) IOWA at (132) PURDUE 12:00 ET BTN
Super bounce back effort by Iowa in upset of Pittsburgh. At this time we do not know if QB Jake Rudock or backup CJ Beathard will start, but Beathard gave the offense a pace in the second half last week. The Hawkeyes have been lowered two points to -10.5 as Purdue has looked improved the last couple weeks, but the Boilermakers are 2-10 ATS versus winning teams. Betting Trend – 51 percent have Purdue to cover
CFB – (139) VANDERBILT at (140) KENTUCKY 12:00 ET SECN
Vanderbilt gave South Carolina all they could handle for 49 minutes before succumbing. Not sure Vandy will have the same enthusiasm on the road against a much-improved Kentucky crew. The Wildcats have been pumped up from -15 to -17 and should be fresh off a bye week. Of concern is Kentucky is only 3-5 ATS as a SEC home favorite. Betting Trend – 66 percent have Vanderbilt to cover
CFB – (153) BOWLING GREEN at (154) MASSACHUSETTS 3:00 ET W-ESPN
Those betting football do not like handing out points on teams that play bad defense. Bowling Green has a fantastic offensive passing game, but subtract the contest against VMI and they are surrendering 56.3 PPG in all other games. Each team they faced is very good offensively but it makes people nervous to see that kind of number the Falcons are down to -7 from -10.5. Betting Trend – 72 percent have UMass to cover
CFB – (189) MEMPHIS at (190) OLE MISS 7:30 ET FOX Affiliates
When I saw the oddsmakers opening number of Ole Miss -21, I wondered if it would hold up, having seen a much improve Memphis team. My thoughts were accurate and the Tigers have been lowered to +18.5. Mississippi has the necessary talent to win by 25 and is 12-4 ATS the first part of the season the last few years. I just wonder if Rebels players are thinking about Alabama next week? Betting Trend – 65% have Ole Miss to cover
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
MLB Money Line Trend
Atlanta is 11-28 after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR this season.
MLB Totals Trend
The Cubs are 9-0 OVER after allowing seven runs or more in two straight games this season.
MLB Run Line Trend
Boston is 3-18 in home games after scoring three runs or less in two straight games this season.
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