Sports Watch Monitor Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
Sports Watch Monitor Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
By Doug Upstone
Here are all the early college football line moves, plus we include the biggest line move in the NBA tonight. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (267-217 L82D)
CFB – Thursday (103) CENTRAL FLORIDA at (104) EAST CAROLINA 7:30 ET ESPN
The total in this AAC action is down a point to 54.5 and that would suggest football bettors are thinking Central Florida’s top-ranked scoring defense (16.8 PPG) in the conference might dictate the tempo. However, UCF is 25-14 OVER on the conference road and East Carolina is 11-0 OVER after scoring 31 or more points in a trio of outings. Betting Trend – 93 percent backing the Over
CFB – Friday (105) NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. (106) BOWLING GREEN 7:00 ET ESPN2
The Huskies will not be dogs in the MAC title tilt, elevated from -5.5 to -6.5 over Bowling Green. Reasons as to why include Northern Illinois on a six-game winning streak with the defense forcing turnovers and the offense converting into points. The Falcons have lost two in a row and NIU losing in this same contest to Bowling Green 47-27 a year ago. Betting Trend – 78 percent backing Northern Illinois
CFB – (109) SMU at (110) CONNECTICUT 12:00 ET CBSSN
Connecticut is 2-9 SU and ATS, only scored 15.1 points a game yet they are a growing favorite. The Huskies are up a digit to -12.5 because SMU is the worst team in country at 0-11 and is being outscored by a ginormous 33.7 PPG. The offense averages a 9.6 PPG, which is punier than Rob Lowe’s arms in the latest Direct TV commercial. Betting Trend – 73 percent backing UConn
CFB – (111) IOWA STATE at (112) TCU 12:00 ET ABC
This is not a spot many coaches enjoy, but TCU’s Gary Patterson understands his team has to win by a larger margin over Iowa State to have a chance to secure a Final Four bid in its final impression. Football bettors concur and lifted the Horned Frogs from -32.5 to -34. TCU is a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS at home this season and needs to run up the score. Betting Trend – 63 percent backing TCU
CFB – (119) OKLAHOMA STATE at (120) OKLAHOMA 3:30 ET FS1
The Bedlam game carries little importance outside Oklahoma this year, except to those betting football, who have shoved the Sooners from -17.5 to -19. With two back-up quarterbacks starting, Oklahoma’s superior running game, better defense and playing at home is considered the difference. The Sooners are 7-3 ATS over Oklahoma State the last decade in this conflict. Betting Trend – 63 percent backing Oklahoma
NBA – (507) BROOKLYN at (508) NEW YORK 7:35 ET MSG, YES
Both these Atlantic Division teams have experienced shooting woes and scoring droughts in recent games. Brooklyn has averaged just 91 PPG in their last four contests, twice shooting under 40 percent. New York is even worse in trying to adjust to new coach Derek Fisher’s triangle offense who he picked up from Phil Jackson, at just 86.2 PPG in their last four. Basketball bettors are certain this will not continue and raised the total an enormous five points to 192.5. While we agree the original figure sounds low, the adjustment seems dramatic and we’ll call for the final score somewhere in the middle. SWM Take – Play Under
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
NBA ATS Trend
Toronto is 19-3 ATS versus teams outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game the last two seasons.
NBA Totals Trend
Portland is 16-3 OVER having won 12 or more of their last 15 games the last two seasons.
CBB ATS Trend
Northern Ill. is 13-1 ATS in road games after scoring 30 points or less in the first half of two straight games since 2012.
NHL Money Line Trend
Buffalo is 0-11 off a road win the last two seasons.
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