Betting NFL Football – The Game Plans

Written by rocketman | November 29, 2013

Betting NFL Football – The Game Plans

 

With a belly full for food and drink from the holiday weekend, serious football bettors who like betting NFL football, here is breakdown of what to look for from key contests for Week 13 and what these teams will be attempting to accomplish to win the contest.

 

(435) ARIZONA at (426) PHILADELPHIA  FOX

SUNDAY DEC. 1 / 1:00 E

 

Cardinals Game Plan: On offense, the Cardinals don’t need to pile up a ton of yards on the ground, but they do need to maintain the threat of a running game which also means better protection for quarterback Carson Palmer. This allows Palmer time to find receivers Larry Fitzgerald and Michael Floyd. On defense, the Cardinals will commit all resources to stopping running back LeSean McCoy. They will count upon cornerback Patrick Peterson to control receiver DeSean Jackson, with the help of an improving pass rush.

 

Eagles Game Plan: The Eagles know that their best hope of slowing down the Cardinals offense Sunday is to get pressure on Palmer and force him to put some balls up for grabs, as he is want to do when the pocket shrinks up. Expect Philadelphia to blitz him early and often. On offense, the Eagles likely will use mostly one back, three receivers and tight end to spread the Cardinals fine defense and try to establish the run and take the pressure off of quarterback Nick Foles.

 

Key sports betting number: Philadelphia is 1-11 ATS in home games the last two seasons.

 

(437) MIAMI at (428) N.Y. JETS  CBS

SUNDAY DEC. 1 / 1:00 E

 

Dolphins Game Plan: Miami has to be able to run the ball and stop the run, which is easy to say and quite possibly not so easy to do. The Dolphins are 26th in rushing (85.4 yards per game), and 26th against the run (123.8 yards per game). Miami needs to be more dynamic with QB Ryan Tannehill being a playmaker and not just a game manager. The defense also has to make game-changing plays if the Fins want to be serious about making the playoffs.

Jets Game Plan: It goes without saying Geno Smith cannot have single digit completions for a fourth straight week. The New York coaches need the offensive line to set the tone for the running game and get Smith out on the edge to the right and let him work just half the field and take off running if no passes are available. Defensively, the task for the Jets is as clear as it has been over the last few weeks: Avoid big plays. Nobody can run on the Jets, who are limiting opponents to a NFL-low 2.86 yards per carry, but everyone’s throwing on them. They cannot let Mike Wallace torch them.

 

Key sports betting number: The Jets are 25-12-5 against Miami the past 20 years.

 

(441) ST. LOUIS at (442) SAN FRANCISCO  FOX

SUNDAY DEC. 1 / 4:05 E

 

Rams Game Plan: St. Louis needs to control the pace of the game on offense by running the ball on San Francisco who’s conceding only 3.9 per rush. This task might be more challenging if RB Zac Stacy cannot return from a concussion he suffered last Sunday. The Rams simply are not good enough to win with Kellen Clemens throwing the ball around. Jeff Fisher’s club has to keep RB Frank Gore from controlling the game for the Niners, while also not allowing big passing plays to TE Vernon Davis and presumably a heeled Michael Crabtree.

 

49ers Game Plan: On Monday, Colin Kaepernick appeared to be regaining his confidence as a thrower and this could be perfect timing with Mario Manningham and Crabtree back in the fold, which would help Davis to run down the middle if the field with less double coverage. Coach Jim Harbaugh might want to share the pigskin with a couple of his other backs to keep Gore fresh. If San Fran can stuff the Rams running game and keep Tavon Austin in check, how does St. Louis score?

 

Key sports betting number: St. Louis is 2-10 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games.

 

(445) CINCINNATI at (446) SAN Diego  CBS

SUNDAY, DEC. 1 / 4:25 E

 

Bengals Game Plan: Andy Dalton and the Cincinnati offense could get well on offense as they face a San Diego defense that is ranked 29th overall. It has to be comforting knowing Chargers have allowed seven 100-yard receivers this season and the A.J. Green is in the stable. Defensively, the big area of focus will be on tight end Antonio Gates and rookie pass-catcher Keenan Allen. With Philip Rivers not a mobile runner, the Cincy front four should know where to find him.

 

Chargers Game Plan: San Diego is still in the playoff chase at 5-6 and is wholly dependent to score a lot of points to cover up for a shoddy defense. Rivers has to be the guy and Chargers offensive coaches are regaining faith in running back Ryan Mathews, who’s run with more determination of late. The defense stinks, thus, the best it can do is work hard early to get Dalton off is game, since he seldom rebounds after a poor start.

Key sports betting number: San Diego is 2-11 ATS after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored.

 

(449) NEW ORLEANS at (450) SEATTLE  ESPN

MONDAY, DEC. 2 / 8:40 E

 

Saints Game Plan: The 242-yards New Orleans had rushing a few games ago has at least statistically masked a problem area for the Saints. But with Seattle an ordinary 16th stopping the rush, this sets up an opportunity to get the Seahawks defense off balanced and have Drew Brees go after this depleted group. On the other side of the ball, New Orleans has to contain quarterback Russell Wilson and not let him make plays with his feet. The Saints allow 4.8 yards per carry and they will challenged by the Seahawks’ third-ranked running attack that averages 147.9 yards per game.

 

Seahawks Game Plan: On offense, the basic game plan for Seattle is the same, run the ball to setup the play-action pass. With the offensive line as healthy as it has been all year, Marshawn Lynch may have a heavy workload following the bye week, to test the Saints in the trenches. With the possible return of Percy Harvin, the offense could be become more impactful. The Seahawks will be without two of their top three corners due to injury and suspension and will have to mask coverages and hope Brees is a trifle off his game. The best way to stifle the New Orleans passing game is pressure thru the A-gaps.

Key sports betting number: Seattle is 6-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since last season.

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