Sports Betting College Football Line Moves and Top Trends for Saturday
Sports Betting College Football Line Moves and Top Trends for Saturday
By Doug Upstone
Its go time and football bettors are gearing up and have plenty to say with their cash and made a large amount of college football line moves for this Saturday. Be back here Sunday when we review Week 12 of the NFL. Studying line moves can become a very profitable venture if you know what to look for.
CFB – (123) CONNECTICUT at (124) TEMPLE 7:00 ET ESPN3
With just one victory between them, these AAC teams have drawn more action than one might expect. Unquestionably, Temple’s near-miss upset of Central Florida has altered the Owls from -7 to -8.5. Both teams have poor defenses, but Temple has the edge because of their offense (23.7 vs. 16.2 PPG) and is 7-0 ATS in recent get-togethers. Update – After careful consideration of two second-rate squads, football bettors have take Temple back to -7.5. The Owls still have almost 80 percent support. SWM Take – Lean with Connecticut
CFB – (125) INDIANA at (126) OHIO STATE 3:30 ET ESPN2
This is a brutal spot for Indiana who needs two wins to be bowl eligible and is coming off a Wisconsin whipping 51-3. While the Hoosiers might score a few more points against the Ohio State defense, how the Big Ten’s worst defense will contain the Buckeyes is a 48 Hours mystery. Ohio State has gone from -31.5 to -33.5 and needs style points after falling to No. 4 in the BCS rankings. Update – With the Hoosiers defense, Ohio State has not hit a ceiling yet and is at -35 points and 85 percent backing. SWM Take – Ohio State covers
CFB – (143) WISCONSIN at (144) MINNESOTA 3:30 ET ESPN *New
These two Big Ten teams might have the same record at 8-2, but oddsmakers think these teams are worlds apart and those making football picks concur even more. Had Wisconsin not been jobbed by the refs in their last seconds loss at Arizona State, they might be involved in BCS talk because they are punishing opponents. The Badgers opened as 15-point road favorites and have been elevated to -17 in pursuit of the Paul Bunyan axe. Minnesota has won and covered four straight, but will their one dimensional offense hold up? Wisconsin has yet to lose against the spread this season. SWM Take – Wisconsin covers
CFB – (153) MASSACHUSETTS at (154) CENTRAL MICHIGAN 1:00 ET ESPN3 *New
Those reviewing the football odds are not so much in favor of Central Michigan, rather showing their displeasure with Massachusetts. The Minutemen, by the hour have gone from +8.5 to +13 and are averaging a hard to fathom 4.2 points a game on the road. (Not a misprint) Still, hard to pull out the wallet on Central Michigan, who has not covered a home game this season and is 18-29 ATS the past four years. SWM Take – Lean with Central Michigan
CFB – (161) MICHIGAN at (162) IOWA 12:00 ET BTN
Michigan does not impress anyone and are up two points to +6 at Iowa City this Saturday. Since defeating Notre Dame, the Wolverines most impressive game has been against Minnesota and they are 1-11 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog. Nonetheless, this number does seem a touch high and we’ll call for a close contest. Update – About one-quarter of the sportsbooks are down to 5.5 points, with the rest holding steady on a solid six. Iowa is catching 60 percent of the dough. SWM Take – Michigan covers
CFB – (165) COLORADO STATE at (166) UTAH STATE 3:30 ET CBSSN *New
Utah State needs two more victories and a Boise State slipup to win the Mountain Division of the MWC. Those making college football picks are increasing certain the Aggies will do their part this Saturday, lifting them from -6.5 to -10 against visiting Colorado State. Utah State is bankroll-building 17-5 ATS the past couple of years and will have to deal with a Rams offense which scoring 41.3 PPG in league play. However, the team from Logan is holding foes more than eight points below their scoring average. SWM Take – Lean with Utah State
CFB – (173) OREGON at (174) ARIZONA 3:30 ET ABC/ESPN2
One week after being totally bummed, Oregon is rejuvenated, knowing they are three wins away from a trip to the Rose Bowl. With Arizona having lost the first two contests of a three-game homestand, the Ducks have been quacked up from -18 to -20.5. Oregon is 11-1 ATS on the road since 2011. Update – A dissenter or two have come off the 20.5 points, otherwise, steady as it goes. The Ducks are quacking at a noisy 85 percent following. SWM Take – Oregon covers
CFB – (177) CALIFORNIA at (178) STANFORD 4:00 ET FS1
From jubilation to heartbreak for Stanford, realizing their chances of being Pac-12 champions again is remote, along with a lesser bowl assignment likely. At least from one perspective, they have “The Big Game” with rival California to refocus and football bettors see them burying the Bears, taking them from -29 to -32. Keep in mind the Cardinal is 6-20 ATS after losing as a favorite. Update – Since Tuesday, the action has been split. Half the sportsbooks have gone to 32.5 and the rest to 31.5. Either way, Stanford is attracting almost 80 percent support. SWM Take – Lean with California
CFB – (185) MID. TENN. STATE at (186) SOUTHERN MISS 3:30 ET CSBA
Since winning the Conference USA title in 2011, Southern Miss has fallen faster than Toronto Mayor Rob Ford, with 20 consecutive losses (4-16 ATS) and is being beaten by a decisive 31.2 points a game this season. The Golden Eagles are not garnering any support this week, going from +20.5 to +23. Middle Tennessee State is 12-4 ATS as a road favorite. Update – The market is satisfied with this line and the favored visitor is a rock solid 4-to-1 choice. SWM Take – Mid. Tenn. State covers
CFB – (201) OKLAHOMA at (202) KANSAS STATE 12:00 ET FS1 *New
With Blake Bell having his bell rung, Bob Stoops will have to choose or play quarterbacks Trevor Knight or Kendal Thompson for Oklahoma. Both are skilled runners with fairly crude passing skills, which is why the Sooners went from +3.5 to +5.5. Kansas State also employs two quarterbacks, but they have done so all season for masterful coach Bill Snyder. The Wildcats are 11-3 ATS since last season against Big 12 competition, but with the total at 54, Boomer Sooner is 8-1 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56 the last three seasons. SWM Take – Lean with Kansas State
More Betting News – The Top 5 favored teams based on percentage are in order: Fresno State, Illinois, Arkansas State, UL-Monroe and Central Michigan…..The Top 5 OVER bets based on percentages are on these home teams: Washington State, Fresno State, UCLA, Arizona, and LSU….. The Top 5 UNDER bets based on percentages are on these home teams: Syracuse, South Alabama, South Florida, Louisiana Tech and Temple
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
CFB ATS Trend
Tulsa is 0-8 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56 this season.
CFB Totals Trend
Indiana is 11-0 OVER off a loss by 10 points or more to a Big Ten rival the last three seasons.
CFB First Half Trend
Southern Miss is 0-9 ATS off a home loss since last season.
CFB Money Line Trend
Hawai’i is 1-10 when the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 2011.
This website is monitored at the Sports Watch Monitor.
