Sports Betting Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
Sports Betting Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
By Doug Upstone
Not much action on sides for basketball on Friday, with most of the key line moves on totals. Take a gander at what we found and possibly what direction to favor. As we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll.
NBA – (807) OKLAHOMA CITY at (808) ORLANDO 7:55 E FSOK, FSFL
The Magic have not won consecutive games since Dec. 27-29 and tonight they will try again versus an opponent who is one of the best in the NBA. Oklahoma City will pay a visit to Mickey Mouse’s eastern location and brings more than just Kevin Durant. The Thunder rank second in field goal percentage defense at 42.9 percent and are sixth in steals, proving their prowess is on more than just one side of the floor. With Orlando only 25th in points scored, it might be a challenge for them to find open looks and those betting basketball have lowered the total from 201 to 199.5. Keep in mind OKC is 8-1 UNDER against teams being outscored by three or more points this season. SWM Take – Play Under
NBA – (811) DENVER at (812) NEW YORK 7:35 E ALT, MSG
Denver opens a four-game, six-day road trip in the city that never sleeps. The Nuggets arrive on a smallish two-game win streak, while the up and down Knicks have dumped three straight. The betting action has been heavy on this matchup, just more one-sided on the total which has fallen from 209 to 207.5. However, don’t be surprised if this total heads back north with Denver 15-5 OVER after a two or more consecutive home wins. The side action has also been busy. This game opened as a Pick, saw the Nuggets leap to -1.5 point favorites and quicker than a New York minute the Knicks were at -1. SWM Take – Lean Over
CBB – (823) YALE at (824) DARTMOUTH 7:00 E
A pair of Ivy League schools with matching 9-9 records will clash, with those making college basketball picks favoring the visitor. Yale was a one-point choice and has been jettisoned to -2.5 on the strength of posting a recent 4-1 mark, though all the wins came at home. Dartmouth’s task is slowing down the Bulldogs leading scorer and rebounder Justin Sears. Dartmouth has lost its top scorer Gabas Maldunas and is now dependent on team contributions to win. The Big Green is only 6-10 and 5-11 ATS when Yale visits Leede Arena, yet they shoot 49.1 percent at home and Yale’s defense is second-rate on the road in allowing 48.1 percent shooting. SWM Take – Lean Dartmouth
NHL – (835) DETROIT at (836) VALPARAISO 9:00 E ESPNU
Basketball bettors have shown their disdain for the sportsbooks release of the total for this Horizon league battle and moved the number from 135.5 to 138. Two factors come into play if this is to occur. Valparaiso will have to come close to their season average at home of 82.1 points per game and given how well they shoot the ball and pass the rock, they could. Detroit only averages 64.7 PPG in away affairs and connects only 37.3 percent of the time. The Titans might be 6-0 OVER on the road playing into revenge, but they are also 36-16 UNDER away having lost two of three contests. Also, Valpo is 7-1 UNDER after a conference game. SWM Take – Play Under
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
NBA ATS Trend
Cleveland is 2-16 ATS after a non-conference game this season.
CBB ATS Trend
Fairfield is 0-10 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival the last two seasons.
NHL Money Line Trend
San Jose is 15-3 on home ice after a victory this season.
New – Here are anticipated spreads of the weekend’s key college basketball games
Michigan at Iowa (Hawkeyes by 4.5 to 6 points)
Texas at Kansas State (Wildcats by 2 to 4)
St. Louis at LaSalle (Billikens by 1 to 3)
Cincinnati at SMU (Mustangs by 1 to 3)
Gonzaga at Memphis (Tigers by 4 to 6)
Wichita State at Northern Iowa (Shockers by 7 to 9)
Michigan State at Wisconsin (Badgers 1 to 3)
Creighton at St. John’s (Bluejays 1 to 3)
This website is monitored at the Sports Watch Monitor.
