Sports Betting Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
Sports Betting Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
By Doug Upstone
The NBA is back and bettors are pleased and they have the numbers moving in all directions creating line moves. Also in college basketball, the A-10 and ACC have contests in which the numbers have shown the most adjustments. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll.
NBA – (515) PHOENIX at (516) DENVER 9:05 E FSAZ, ATL
In the first two meetings between these Western Conference foes, the disparity in the closing numbers is one of the largest you will find in the NBA this season from game to game. In the first matchup just before Christmas, the total closed at 208 and was an easy Under at 202. The second gathering was 30 days later and the number had shot up to 217.5, with both teams playing more offensive and this one was an Over at 220 points. Sportsbooks went back to the first contest and sent out a total of 209 and faster than a Sochi speedskater, the total was up to 213. Just keep in mind Denver is 11-2 UNDER at home revenging two straight losses where opposing team scored 100 or more points the last three seasons. SWM Take – Lean Under
NBA – (517) SAN ANTONIO at (518) L.A. CLIPPERS 10:35 E NBA-TV
While no official word has been released, San Antonio is hoping Tony Parker, Kawhi Leonard, Tiago Splitter and Manu Ginobili or at least three from this combination can return to action as the Spurs begin Part 2 of their Rodeo Trip starting in SoCal. Those betting basketball still prefer the healthier Clippers and took them from -4 to -5.5, no matter who is available for the Spurs. The Clips will be out to avenge a 24-point pasting they suffered in Southwest Texas just over six weeks ago. Both teams should be fresh, making this a tough call with the spread. SWM Take – Lean Los Angeles
CBB – (519) GEORGE WASHINGTON at (520) RICHMOND 7:00 E NBCSN
George Washington has fallen behind Richmond in the A-10 standings after a pair of losses and seeks to reclaim their earlier form. The Spiders on the otherhand have won and covered three straight and is 7-2 of late (5-3-1 ATS) with guard Kendall Anthony having raised his game to take over for injured leading scorer Cedrick Lindsay. Though Richmond is 11-2 at home (5-5 ATS), they have been flipped from -1 to +1.5 against the Colonials. This could be important on two fronts since GW is 8-2 ATS as a favorite and Richmond is 11-22 ATS in the underdog role the past three years. However, a little more digging has us finding George Washington is 0-7 ATS after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive contests. SWM Take – Richmond covers
CBB – (521) WAKE FOREST at (522) MARYLAND 7:00 E ESPN3.com
Once again, Wake Forest is in the midst of a late-season calamity, having dropped five in a row and not beating the sportsbooks once. Maryland has won just once in their last three tries, but covered each time with Dez Wells playing a big factor. The Demon Deacons are still drawing the lion’s share of support and have been lowered from +11 to +9.5. From a trendy point of view, this makes little sense as the Deacons are 0-6 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points, while the Terps are 8-0 ATS off a straight up loss cover as an underdog the last three seasons. Something tells us the line movement is accurate making this a challenging choice. SWM Take – Lean Wake Forest
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
NBA ATS Trend
Milwaukee is 10-27 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3-point shots a game on the season.
NBA Totals Trend
The L.A. Clippers are 16-0 OVER as a home favorite of six points or less the last two seasons.
CBB ATS Trend
Louisville is 10-0 ATS off a home win against a conference rival the last two seasons.
This website is monitored at the Sports Watch Monitor.
