Sports Betting Line Moves and Top Trends for Aug. 21
Sports Betting Line Moves and Top Trends for Aug. 21
By Doug Upstone
A busy Wednesday in baseball as sports bettors are making noise. In afternoon action the Cardinals falling favorites and this evening, the Nationals are losing support in the Windy City. Because Boston will face Barry Zito instead of Chad Gaudin, the Red Sox are up 30 cents as faves tonight. We ask you to review all the line moves and we also share our opinions on the outcomes.
MLB – (907) COLORADO at (908) PHILADELPHIA 7:05 ET ROOT, CSN
After starting 10-2, Cliff Lee (10-6, 3.19 ERA) has lost his last four decisions (Phillies 0-5 overall) in five starts, with his ERA ballooning to 5.06 in this period. While Lee has not been as effective, he’s under constant pressure to be perfect since his teammates have given him six total runs of support in those contests. Those betting on baseball are sharing their thoughts the streak could end and elevated Philadelphia from -160 to -170 on the money line. Colorado might have snagged a win last night, but they are still 3-12 in last 15 road excursions and 4-17 vs. a starting pitcher who throws more than 6.5 innings per start this season. SWM Take – Philadelphia wins
MLB – (909) ARIZONA at (910) CINCINNATI 7:10 ET FSAZ, FSOH
Arizona has not lost any ground to Cincinnati in attempting to catch them for the Wild Card race and they have two chances the next two days to close the gap. The Diamondbacks after last night’s triumph have to be feeling good and might be catching Mike Leake (10-5, 3.01) at the right time. The Reds righty has a 4.50 ERA in his past four starts and a bloated 6.10 ERA in four outings against the Snakes. With Paul Goldschmidt the first NL player to drive in 100 runs this season, the D-Backs have been dumped at least 15 cents to around +150. Here is the problem with betting against Cincy, they are 18-2 at home after a loss this season. SWM Take – Cincinnati wins
MLB – (911) L.A. DODGERS at (912) MIAMI 7:10 ET KCAL, FSFL
After being reportedly pulled from the starting lineup for being unfashionably late, Yasiel Puig drilled a pinch hit home run to end the Dodgers two-game slide. Puig is expected back in the starting lineup tonight to support blazing Zack Greinke (11-3, 3.02), who is 5-1 with a 1.45 ERA in his past eight starts. Los Angeles has seen the money flow in their direction like Judge Judy (47 million last year), up from -175 to over -200. L.A. will face a former teammate in Nathan Eovaldi (2-3, 3.96), who was shipped to Miami in the Hanley Ramirez deal. With the total running at U7 (-115), Greinke and company are 10-1 when the number is seven or less. SWM Take – Dodgers wins
MLB – (923) CLEVELAND at (924) L.A. ANGELS 7:05 ET STO, FSW
For long time Angels fans, it might be time take a picture of manager Mike Scioscia in an Anaheim uniform, because chances are owner Artie Moreno will make him the fall guy for team with high expectations sitting at 55-70 and the worst bet in baseball at -32.5 units. In fairness to Scioscia, this roster is a long ways from the aggressive teams of the past which always took the extra base and had a solid pitching staff. After Cleveland has already come away unscathed against Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson, they will gleefully take their swings against Jerome Williams (5-9, 4.90), who is 0-7 with a 7.26 ERA in 11 starts. The Indians Justin Masterson has not been at his best lately, but baseball bettors are confident he will be good enough versus the Halos and shifted them from -135 to Over -150. Masterson and the Tribe are 9-1 off a pair of wins. SWM Take – Cleveland wins
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
MLB Money Line Trend
Zack Greinke is 28-3 as a favorite of -150 or more the last three seasons. (Team’s record)
MLB Totals Trend
Wei-Yin Chen and Baltimore are 20-5 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125 the last two seasons.
MLB Run Line Trend
Ross Ohlendorf now with Washington is 1-11 in road games vs. teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game for his career.
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