Sports Betting NFL Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
Sports Betting NFL Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
By Doug Upstone
Here is your chance to be on top of all the latest NFL line moves for Week 8. Return to this location on Sunday for the updates and free picks on these matchups and any new additional information. Studying line moves can become a very profitable venture if you know what to look for.
NFL – Thursday (103) CAROLINA at (104) TAMPA BAY 8:25 ET NFLN
For this Thursday night encounter, Carolina opened as 3.5-point road favorite and jumped to -6 before settling at -5.5. It is clear Tampa Bay is brutal at 0-6 and has only beaten the betting odds once. The Panthers 3-3 record is not overly impressive, but why this line makes sense is because Carolina is +56 in point differential, which is fourth-best in the NFC. Know this, the ‘Cats are 11-1 ATS away in Games 5-8 if their opponent is off a SU and ATS loss.
NFL – (209) SAN FRANCISCO vs. (210) JACKSONVILLE 1:00 ET FOX
Football fans in Europe will get to see some of the best the worst of what the NFL has to offer on Sunday. It is clear only divine intervention will keep Jacksonville from being 0-16 this season and the Jaguars shot up from +14.5 to +17, later coming down to +16.5 on the NFL betting lines. Anyone wagering on this game knows San Francisco can name the final score.
NFL – (213) N.Y. GIANTS at (214) PHILADELPHIA 1:00 ET CBS
The first meeting between these NFC East combatants had the highest total on over 20 years at 54 points and they surpassed it with Philadelphia winning 36-21. The second gathering found a similar figure, this time at 53, but the betting odds are heading down on this one, now listed at 51.5. Here are reasons why. First, for all the yards Philadelphia gains, they are only averaging 24.1 PPG. Next, we all go to see how uneven the Giants offense is functioning (thanks ESPN). Finally, New York is 8-1 UNDER after a victory by 14 or more points and these squads are 6-1 UNDER at Philly.
NFL – (219) MIAMI at (220) NEW ENGLAND 1:00 ET CBS
New England might not be close personnel-wise to teams of the past thru injury and attrition, but they are gathering ample support to knock off Miami. The Patriots began as 4.5-point favorite, which seemed low; however, the Brady bunch was rather swiftly taken to -7. And why not. with the Dolphins 2-11 ATS after two or more SU losses as a favorite and the Pats 7-1 ATS after surrendering 28 or more points.
NFL – (225) WASHINGTON at (226) DENVER 4:25 ET FOX (side and total)
Matching two of the worst defenses in the NFL against two of the hottest offenses permeates the aroma of points. Unless it snows in Denver on Sunday, there is every reason to support the total rising from 54 to 57.5 points. The Broncos are 12-3 OVER versus offensive teams averaging 350 or more yards a game the last three seasons. In addition, after starting as a two-touchdown choice, Denver is down to -12 and is 0-7 ATS after scoring 30 points or more in four straight games.
NFL – (227) ATLANTA at (228) ARIZONA 4:25 ET FOX
Despite Atlanta having a decisive edge at quarterback, the betting public is on the home team, lifting Arizona from -1 to -3. Evidently, they are not sure all the Falcons injuries will transfer as well to playing on the road and on the grass, even if Carson Palmer suits up for the Cardinals. Arizona is 20-7 ATS at home off a home setback.
NFL – (229) GREEN BAY at (230) MINNESOTA 8:30 ET NBC
How bad did Minnesota look on Monday night, the line on this NFC North contest was actually moving at halftime. The Vikings had gone from +6.5 to +8 and finally landed at +9.5, as ESPN’s John Gruden was unusually critical of Minnesota’s quarterback move. Reports now have Christian Ponder taking over for Josh Freeman who is suffering concussion-type symptoms. Green Bay comes in riding a 12-2 ATS streak against division foes.
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
MLB Money Line Trend
Adam Wainwight of the Cardinals is 20-10 as an underdog of +100 or higher in his career. (Team’s Record)
MLB Money Line Trend
Jon Lester and Boston are 11-1 UNDER vs. teams who draw three walks or less a game in the second half of the season since last year.
NHL Money Line Trend
Boston is 12-3 on the road having won three of four games.
This website is monitored at the Sports Watch Monitor.
