Sports Watch Monitor Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
Sports Watch Monitor Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
By Doug Upstone
Happy Fourth of July! With the big holiday weekend, thought we would change it up a little and look at the most important series for the weekend. We will still offer free picks who we think might win and possibly you can do a little series wagering if you are not already. Otherwise, like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (31-20 L13D)
San Francisco at San Diego
The Giants were in first place in the NL West until this morning and have been strong play against material in losing 16 of 22. San Diego on the other hand has won four in a row and just derailed a hot Cincinnati squad in a home sweep. When looking at the pitching matchups, by brand names, San Francisco should be favored, yet each starter in this series for the Padres outside of Eric Stults (2-11, 5.36 ERA) has a solid ERA. The key for San Diego is playing tight games because this where they are at their best with a 17-9 record in one-run outcomes. The most important element to the series is Game 1 with struggling Stults and equally as poor Matt Cain (1-6, 4.38). Who wins this contest wins the series. SWM Take – Lean San Francisco
Milwaukee at Cincinnati
Important series for both teams, with Milwaukee wanting continue dominance and Cincinnati out to close the seven-game gap in the standings. Even after two losses at Toronto, the Brewers are still 27-17 (+12.5 units) on the road. Milwaukee figures to be +120 or lower underdogs in each contest and they are quite comfortable in the role with an 18-10 record. After posting an 8-1 mark, the Reds offense went colder than Katherine Heigl’s acting career in scoring two total runs in San Diego. How Joey Votto and Jay Bruce respond will be key. Cincy is 16-6 at home in recent battles with the Brewers. SWM Take – Milwaukee wins
Toronto at Oakland
It has been an extremely rare difficult week for Oakland, having been swept at Detroit, but they bounced back with a 4-1 victory against Toronto last night. One aspect about the Athletics which has emerged is they are much better on the money line when favorites as compared to underdog. They are 50-21 as faves and an unsightly 2-12 as pooches. We presume they will favored in each game in this series, all by varying amounts, which plays to their advantage and they are 25-15 at home. The first place Blue Jays are a treacherous foe if the home run bats are ignited and Toronto is a very respectable 20-17 as underdogs (+7.7). This figures to be an entertaining series and a possible postseason preview. SWM Take – Oakland wins (Games 2-4)
Kansas City at Cleveland
Both these clubs have fallen a good distance behind Detroit and while the Tigers could come back to the pack, it would seem unlikely. That means these AL Central rivals are chasing the wild card and any win between them is precious. Cleveland has to feel better about itself after winning Dodgers series on the road and are back at Progressive Field with very progressive 23-15 (+4.7) home record. The Indians should be modest favorites in the first and last games of the series and this where they have to take charge if they expect to win this set. After stumbling a bit, Kansas City has won its last two series and is a healthy 23-18 (+5.2) in away encounters. SWM Take – Lean Cleveland
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
MLB Money Line Trend
Seattle is 7-1 as a road underdog of +150 to +200 this season.
MLB Totals Trend
San Diego is 15-2 UNDER after allowing four runs or less in four straight games this season. (Could apply all weekend)
MLB Run Line Trend
Cleveland is 7-24 vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. (Could apply again this weekend)
ARENA ATS Trend
L.A. Kiss is 0-6 ATS vs. teams scoring 55 or more points a game this season. (Sunday)
CFL ATS Trend
British Columbia is 26-10 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite since 1996
This website is monitored at the Sports Watch Monitor.
