Sports Watch Monitor Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
Sports Watch Monitor Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
By Doug Upstone
The baseball grind continues and the Yankees and Royals are up 20 cents to significant favorites while Oakland has fallen like they were sitting in a tree more than 30 cents after their loss at Houston last night. Instead we have four other baseball line moves, which include an underdog switched to a favorite. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (60-47 L27D)
MLB – (903) WASHINGTON at (904) MIAMI 7:10 E MASN2, FSFL
If you had Washington like we did last night, we feel your pain, blowing a 6-0 lead starting in the seventh inning and finishing it off by allowing four in the ninth. The combo pack of such a defeat and the general ineffectiveness of Stephen Strasburg (7-8, 3.67 ERA) have caused trepidation. Baseball bettors have sent the Nationals south from -145 to under -135 and they are acutely aware of his 1-3 record with an 11.65 ERA in the last four starts at Miami. With Henderson Alvarez (7-5, 2.62) and his mates 12-4 vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs a game on the season, we will back the home team.SWM Take – Lean Miami
MLB – (913) PITTSBURGH at (914) SAN FRANCISCO 10:15 E ROOT-P, CSN-BA
Once against the Giants are slumping, having lost five straight and been outscored by a ginormous 24-5. Last night’s loss to Pittsburgh dropped San Francisco to 6-20 at home since June 6 and their offense has been stone cold in averaging 2.7 runs a contest. Little wonder why San Fran has fallen from -135 to under -120. Tim Hudson (8-7, 2.65) and the Giants won all seven his initial starts at AT&T Park, but collectively they have lost all three since. Francisco Liriano (2-7, 4.18) has been throwing better for Pittsburgh with a 2.43 ERA in past six outings, making this a hard choice.SWM Take – Slight lean with Pittsburgh
MLB – (921) TORONTO at (922) BOSTON 7:10 E SNET, NESN
With the trade deadline at hand, one of these AL East teams is a potential buyer and the other is a seller. No doubt this plays a part into those betting baseball shifting Toronto from +105 to -110 at Fenway Park. This is made easier by the fact the Blue Jays are 6-1 in last seven, scoring 7.1 RPG, while the Red Sox are the polar opposite at 1-6, averaging a measly 2-1 RPG. Melky Cabrera is 18 for 40 with three home runs and 13 RBI’s over his last 10 contests and is set to be a game-changer for John Gibbons crew. While Toronto makes all the sense in the world with a 12-3 record having won eight of 10 and Boston 1-8 at home revenging a loss where they scored one run or less, just keep in mind the Jays are a shocking 0-10 after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival. Gulp.SWM Take – Lean Toronto
MLB – (929) MILWAIKEE at (930) TAMPA BAY 7:10 E FSWI, SUN
Not even sure what to say about the Rays at the juncture. After being 19 games below .500 on June 24, Tampa Bay is 22-6 since (+15.85 units) and is three more consecutive wins away from being .500. Tonight against first place Milwaukee, those following the betting odds love the home team (-130 to -160) and the fact they are facing a former teammate in Matt Garza (7-7, 3.87). The right-hander has been nothing special all year and he’ll take on Alex Cobb (6-6, 3.76), who along with David Price has led the Rays surge with a 4-0 record (3.07 ERA) in his last five starts. SWM Take – Tampa Bay wins
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
MLB Money Line Trend
Jorge De La Rosa and the Rockies are 22-3 after a loss since last season.
MLB Totals Trend
Kyle Gibson and the Twins are 10-0 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs a game in the second half of the season since last year.
MLB Run Line Trend
Chris Tillman and the Orioles are 23-6 against a team with a winning record the last two seasons.
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