Sports Watch Monitor Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
Sports Watch Monitor Line Moves and Today’s Top Trends
By Doug Upstone
I will be taking a few days off, thus I thought I would stick with the NFL for the weekend. I will be basing the line moves on the present numbers, which could change in the hours and days ahead. This article will return next Wednesday. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (85-66 L38D)
NFLX – (401) JACKSONVILLE at (402) CHICAGO 8:00 E ESPN
Both these teams won and covered last week, but even without most of the starters playing, Chicago displayed an awesome passing attack with 399 yards in the victory. This helped sportsbooks to release the Bears at -4 but as of this morning, they are down to -3. Among the various reasons could be Jacksonville is 11-3 ATS on the road after a home game. Another could be the comfort factor, with Chicago just 1-11 SU and against the number playing at Soldier Field after playing there the week prior. SWM Take – Lean Jacksonville
NFLX – Friday – (407) DETROIT at (408) OAKLAND 10:00 E WYXZ7,KTVU
Oakland might be in for yet another long season, but based on reports with them scrimmaging against Dallas this week, at least they might be a bit feistier this season. The Raiders offense was as feeble as ever in a 10-6 loss at Minnesota, but football bettors are anticipating a better showing at home with coach Dennis Allen needing to find better play and wins, even in August. The Raiders have blossomed from a -1 to -2.5-point favorite. First-year Detroit coach Jim Caldwell has shown in the past he is more interested in preparing his team for the regular season than victories this month. Also, curious to find when the Lions have a positive preseason record, are road underdogs, facing a foe off a loss; they are 2-14 ATS. SWM Take – Oakland covers
NFLX – Saturday – (411) GREEN BAY at (412) ST. LOUIS 4:00 E NFLN
Each of these NFC squads lost their opener, but NFL bettors feel the home team will be more motivated to win and cover. St. Louis has been moved 1.5-points to -3 in their contest against Green Bay. Both teams ran the ball effectively last week in averaging 4.1 yards a carry or better, but the Rams were vulnerable to the New Orleans passing attack last week and will see Aaron Rodgers and the Packers cast Saturday. Going to go against the public, believing the Pack playing with more focus and win the game outright. SWM Take – Green Bay wins
NFLX – Saturday – (413) N.Y. GIANTS at (414) INDIANAPOLIS 7:00 E NBC4NY, WNDY
The Giants are 2-0 SU and ATS and have gathered followers who have taken them from +3 to +1.5. Reports out of the New York have a much more focused squad this summer, looking to make amends for last year and be a factor in the NFC East. Indianapolis on the other hand is an overwhelming favorite in the AFC South and might well be more interested in preparation for the regular season than worrying about W’s. Coach Tom Coughlin teams are 9-1 ATS after two or more SU preseason victories. SWM Take – New York wins
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
MLB Money Line Trend
Colorado is 2-17 with an on-base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games this season.
MLB Totals Trend
Boston is 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. bullpens which blow 38% or more of their save opportunities.
MLB Run Line Trend
Cincinnati is 17-5 after five or more consecutive home games this season.
NFLX ATS Trend
Kansas City is 0-11 ATS in Week 2 of the preseason. (Sunday)
NFLX Totals Trend
Baltimore is 11-1 UNDER after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game. (Saturday)
CFL ATS Trend
Saskatchewan is 10-1 ATS at home after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in last game since 1996. (Saturday)
Line Moves will return on Wednesday August 20th.
This website is monitored at the Sports Watch Monitor.
