NFL Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +1 | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 318 h 27 m | Show | |
Chiefs +1 The 49ers (14-5, 9-10 ATS) will clash with the Chiefs (14-6, 12-8 ATS) in Super Bowl LVIII on February 11th at Allegiant Stadium in LV, 6:30pmET on CBS start time. In terms of the opening Super Bowl odds, the 49ers are favored with a Moneyline (ML) of -120, while the Chiefs stand at +100. The spread favors the 49ers by 1.5 points (-110), and the Over/Under is set at 47.5 points. This Super Bowl matchup is a rematch of Super Bowl LIV in Miami, where the Chiefs won 31-20. The Chiefs have been dominant recently, winning 5 of 6 vs. SF and covering the spread in 5 of those. The 49ers making their 8th appearance and claiming SB wins in 5 (of course it's been a while). Meanwhile, the Chiefs are the reigning champions, having defeated the Eagles 38-35 in 2023. Last week, in the NFC Championship Game, the 49ers were trailing 24-7 at halftime against the Lions, they mounted an impressive comeback, scoring 17 in the 3rd and ultimately won 34-31 scoring 27 unanswered points. The Lions managed a late score for a backdoor cover. On the other side, in the AFC Championship, the Chiefs took control early with a 7-0 lead midway through the first quarter against the Ravens and never relinquished it, securing a 17-10 win. Both defenses in that one were great, but Mahomes outplayed Jackson, and the game didn't ever look to be in doubt. If you jump on this Super Bowl LVIII line quickly you may find +1.5 still but they 1.5's aren't easy to find anymore. (As of Monday 1/29 Noon ET). It's a Super Bowl matchup loaded with excitement potential, and should be an epic showdown. Locking this in early, more analysis to follow. Stats: PPG SF 29 PPG (3rd), KC 23.3 PPG (8th), PTS Allowed SF 26 PPG (7th), KC 13.6 PPG (2nd). Red Zone SF #2, KC #12. 3rd Down SF #2, KC #8. Trends, 49ers 0-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records, and 1-5 ATS L6 after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in prior matchup. Plus, SF 1-4 ATS L5, 1-6 ATS L7 vs. KC, 1-5 SU L6 vs. KC. On the other side, KC 5-0 ATS L5, 5-0 SU L5, 13-3 SU L16 vs. NFC teams, and 5-1 ATS L6 vs. NFC West teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* Super Bowl LVIII ATS Play BONUS PROP: George Kittle OVER 46.5 Total Receiving Yards -118 BONUS PROP: Patrick Mahomes OVER 36.5 Total Passing Attempts -128 |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 35 m | Show |
49ers -7 The Detroit Lions (12-5, 6-3 AWAY, 13-6 ATS, 7-2 ATS AWAY) will play against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 6-2 HOME, 9-9 ATS, 3-6 ATS HOME) in the 2024 NFC Championship Game on Sunday at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. The game is set to start at 6:30pm ET. Opening betting lines have Detroit +6.5 and San Francisco -6.5. Moneyline odds of Detroit +245 and San Francisco -311. The total points expected in the game is set at over/under 51. We're on the 49ers in this one. They hold the value for me, and I think the 49ers can and will win this by 9+. Fact...teams with the #1 seed have won 34 out of 48 conference championship games since the NFL playoffs began in 1975. It's really hard to go on the road in this matchup, and the proof is in the puddin'. The Lions beat Tampa Bay 31-23 last week in the Divisional round, and now they're in their second-ever Conference Championship. The 49ers defeated the Packers 24-21. McCaffrey scored a 2nd TD to win the game with 1:07 left. The 49ers lead the historical series 39-28-1, vs. DTown, with a postseason record of 1-1. Recently, the 49ers have been stronger, winning 11 of their last 12 matchups since 1996. Last time these two played was 9/12/21. A 41-33 SF win in Detroit. (Lions covered the +9.5 in that one) Last season, the Lions and 49ers didn't play against each other. Weather looks to be typical for Santa Clara this time of year. Forecast says it might be 74F with some light winds. Regardless of whether Samuel plays or not on Sunday I have the Niners cruising to victory in this one. Goff will be throwing a ton, as he has in all of DET's losses this year, and that plays right into the strength of this Niners D. That Pass Rush and secondary are elite. It wouldn't surprise me if Goff throws 2+ INT's. If Samuel plays, the Lions will really have their hands full containing Purdy from being the elite game manager he is. Samuel, Aiyuk, Kittle (everyone knows DET isn't great vs. TE's), and oh ya, that CMC guy coming out of the backfield are weapons NO team in the NFL wants to have to contain (Jennings is no slouch either). The Lions have allowed 125+ yards to at least 1 WR in 6 straight games. Sure Lions are great vs. the Run, but the 49ers are so much more than just running the ball with CMC. Expect Purdy in shotgun a ton, gadget plays, play action, and lots of screen passes behind the line to get those 4-6 yard plays on 1st down. Shanahan is greater than Campbell in this one. PFF rated Purdy 95/100 on Play Action this year. Goff, Gibbs and Sun God are great, I'd LOVE them all on my fantasy team, but this isn't the Fantasy Final, this is the NFC championship, and I trust the Niners offense much more than DETROIT. Trends, Lions are 1-11 SU L12 vs. SF, 0-10 SU L10 on the road vs. SF, and 2-5 SU L7 vs. NFC West teams. The 49ers are 8-2 SU L10, 7-1 L8 SU vs. NFC teams, and 13-4 L17 games in JAN. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* *RARE* NFC Championship ATS Top Play |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs v. Ravens -3 | 17-10 | Loss | -120 | 148 h 12 m | Show | |
Ravens -3 Kansas City (13-6, 7-2 AWAY, 11-7-1 ATS) is set to face Baltimore (14-4, 7-3 HOME, 12-6 ATS) in the AFC Championship this Sunday. The game will take place at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD, kickoff 3 pm ET, TV on CBS. We’re on the Ravens, laying the points. This will be the Ravens first ever conference title game at home. Opening odds are Moneyline (ML) - Chiefs +140, Ravens -165, and the Ravens are favored by -3.5 ATS. The total Over/Under is set at 45. On one side, we have the Chiefs' formidable run defense contending with Jackson, Edwards, and Hill, while on the other, the Ravens' elite defense faces the challenge of containing Rice and Kelce. These two teams last squared off on September 19, 2021, when the Ravens secured a 36-35 home victory during SNF. Prior to that, Sept. 28, 2020, KC emerged with a win 34-20 as 3.5-point dogs in Baltimore. Baltimore is playing at such a high level right now. Lamar Jackson and company came out with a purpose in the 2nd half of their Divisional Round game and made a statement over the Texans. Jackson is so tough to stop as he can not only beat you with the passing game, but he’s really utilized his running attack. Against Houston, he rushed for 100 yards on 11 attempts. Kansas City’s defense has had issues with mobile QBs and that will be a huge factor in this game. The Ravens defensively are in another level as well. Overall this season they’ve proven to be just so stingy and they cause so many issues for opposing defenses. They’re going to force Mahomes into some tough passing windows and they won’t allow them to get any sort of push with their offensive line. Baltimore is a complete team and right now, they’re just playing at such a high level. This will be the kind of game where they sustain drives and will be the ones to make the bigger plays when needed. In their most recent games, the Chiefs edged out the Bills 27-24 on the road, covering as 2.5-point underdogs. Notably, this marks KC' 6th consecutive appearance in the AFC Championship. As for Baltimore, they defeated the Texans 34-10 at home Saturday, improving Jackson's playoff record to 2-3, and they successfully covered the 10-point home spread. In terms of the all-time series between these teams, KC holds a 7-5 lead. However, it's worth noting that Baltimore had a 30-7 Wild Card win in KC on January 9, 2011. The Ravens come into this one #2 on offense in the NFL (34 PPG), Chiefs #8 (26 PPG). On defense Ravens are #1 in the league (10 PPG allowed), Chiefs are #2 (15 PPG). In the Red Zone the Ravens are #4 80%, Chiefs are #12 40%. Trends, the Ravens are 11-5 ATS L16 on Sunday, and they're 4-1 ATS L5, 7-1 SU L8, 4-1 SU L5 at home, 5-1 ATS L6 vs. AFC teams, and 5-0 SU L5 vs. AFC West teams. Lastly, the Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their L5 games after going for more than 350 total yards in their previous matchup. This line is too nice to pass up. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* AFC Championship ATS Play |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs v. Bills -2.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 136 h 10 m | Show | |
Bills -2.5 The upcoming clash features the Kansas City Chiefs 12-6 (10-8 ATS), against the Buffalo Bills 12-6 (8-9-1 ATS), currently on a 6-game winning streak. Scheduled for this Sunday in Orchard Park, kickoff is set for 6:30pm ET, with TV (CBS). I can't wait for this NFL Playoffs Divisional Round matchup. Initial odds for this matchup the Moneyline (ML) Chiefs +122 and the Bills -144. The point spread (ATS) favors the Bills by -2.5 points (-115), and the total Over/Under (O/U) is set at 46.5 points. In recent performances, the Chiefs dominated the AFC Wild Card matchup, winning 26-7 against the Miami Dolphins as 4.5-point favorites. The Bills had a 31-17 win over the Steelers as 10-point home favorites. In Week 14 of the regular season the Bills narrowly got past the Chiefs 20-17, you'll remember the controversial ending with the Kadarius Toney offside incident. In a trip down memory lane, the last time the Bills hosted the Chiefs in the playoffs was in January 1994 during the AFC Championship, where Buffalo emerged with the win 30-13. This is such an intriguing matchup. The big narrative this week is of course Mahomes has never played a road playoff game, we don't know what to expect?! Of course we know what to expect. He's Mahomes. 2-time NFL Super Bowl winner. He'll be fine. The Bills have a strong playoff record at home since 1970, with a 14-2 record, the best among NFL teams with at least 5 home games. Allen is highly motivated for his second AFC Championship Game appearance. In my opinion, the key to the Bills covering is their run game. The Chiefs have struggled to defend the run since the middle of the season, while the Bills have consistently gained over 100 rushing yards since Week 10. The Bills have to control possession, limiting Mahomes' opportunities and allowing Allen to utilize play-action effectively, relying on Cook, Johnson, and Murray. Will it be loud in Buffalo? Yes. Will it be cold? Yes. Vegas is smart. If Mahomes sucked the Bills would be a 7pt favorite. They're not. But, having said all that, I still think the Bills cover this 2.5. Trends, Bills are 4-2 ATS L6, 6-0 SU L6, 6-1 SU L7 at home, and 5-0 SU L5 vs. AFC teams. Bills are also 4-0-1 ATS L5 vs. a team with a winning record. On the other side the Chiefs are 0-5 ATS L5 following a SU win of 14+ points. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions -6 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 121 h 34 m | Show | |
Lions -6 NFC divisional playoffs this week sees the Tampa Bay Bucs (10-8, 12-6 ATS, 8-1 ATS AWAY, 5-4 SU AWAY) taking on the Detroit Lions (13-5, 12-6 ATS, 5-4 ATS HOME, 7-2 SU HOME) in the Motor City. Ford Field will see a 3pm ET kick off time on January 21st. Since 2007, the Buccaneers and Lions have clashed 10x, with the Lions emerging victorious in 6x matchups. In point spread terms, the Lions boast a 6-4 ATS record when facing the Bucs. In their latest meeting this season, the Lions secured a comfortable 20-6 win in Week 6. Going back farther, in a total of 61 games, including 1 postseason game, between the Lions and Bucs, the Lions have emerged victorious in 32, while the Bucs have claimed 29 wins. Detroit is clicking on all cylinders and they have value here at this number. The Lions take on a Bucs team that really has taken down teams struggling or beaten up during their hot run. This Detroit team is just on a different level right now. The Lions offensively are moving the ball, sustaining drives, and coming up with some big plays. Goff threw for 277 yards and a touchdown in the Wild card win over the Rams, as he has been playing at just a high level right now. He’s taking care of the ball and not forcing anything, which has allowed this offense to sustain drives. Defensively, Detroit is going to pin their ears back and come after Mayfield. The Bucs offensive line is shaky and they have struggled dealing with blitzes. The Lions are only giving up 23.2 ppg and they force a lot of turnovers. Expect them to put together many different looks defensively with their blitz packages and force Mayfield into some tight passes. With the crowd energy and the Lions rolling right now, this is the kind of game they’re going to feed off the momentum. Look for a quick start and for them to ultimately be too much for this Bucs side. Trends, Bucs are 4-11 ATS L15 vs. Detroit. Lions are 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, 7-1 SU L8 at home, 15-5 SU L20 vs. NFC Conference teams, and 5-1 ATS L6 vs. NFC South. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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01-20-24 | Packers +10.5 v. 49ers | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 114 h 36 m | Show | |
Packers +10 The Packers (10-8, 9-9 ATS) are facing off against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 9-8 ATS). The game will be on Saturday evening at Levi's Stadium, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET and airing on FOX. The Packers are listed at +375 on the Moneyline (ML), while the 49ers are favored at -500. The 49ers are 10-point favorites with -110 odds. The Over/Under (O/U) for total points scored in the game is set at 50.5. On Wildcard Weekend the Packers played impressively, beating the Cowboys 48-32 as 7-point road underdogs. The 49ers, on the other hand, secured a first-round bye by being the top seed in the NFC, but they ended their regular season with a close 21-20 loss to the Rams at home. 10 matchups since 2013 between these two, the 49ers hold a slight edge in the series, with a 6-4 record both SU and ATS. In 3 games since 2020, the Packers have done well with a 2-1 record SU and ATS. The most recent was January 2022, with the 49ers winning 13-10. Green Bay has been no push over and we get a very nice number on them in this spot. The Packers came out with a purpose and a plan and they executed better than even they could have imagined it in the Wild Card Game. Green Bay put up 48 points in what was one of their most dominant wins in a big game in franchise history. Jordan Love is clicking on all cylinders right now. He threw for 272 yards and 3 touchdowns as he’s been taking care of the ball and making some big time passes. The Packers balanced attack also saw them rush for 143 yards as a team. They wear teams down and use their run game to open up passing lanes. They have been at their best when they can control the time of possession and that will be the biggest emphasis here. Keeping the ball away from the 49ers offense and sustaining drives offensively is the key for this team. Green Bay has proven they can play with the top contenders now. Their confidence is at an all time high and with the momentum they have, they have the ability to keep this game close. The Packers will have their chances throughout and even have the opportunity to steal this one outright if they can get the run game going early. Trends, GB 6-3 ATS L9, 4-1 SU L5, 6-2 SU L8 vs. NFC teams, and 8-1 ATS L9 vs. NFC West teams. 49ers are 0-5 ATS L5 games at home. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens -8.5 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 99 h 41 m | Show | |
Ravens -8.5 The AFC Divisional round matchup on January 20th features the Texans (10-7, 4-4 AWAY, 9-7-1 ATS, 1-0 ATS in playoffs) hitting the road to take on the Ravens (13-4 regular season, 6-3 HOME, 11-17 ATS) at M&T Bank Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm ET. The Ravens come into this game well-rested, having enjoyed a bye week during the wild card weekend, while the Texans are riding high from their recent surprise blowout Win over the Browns, 45-14. In terms of the opening odds, the Ravens are the clear favorites with a spread of -9.5 points in their favor. Additionally, the moneyline odds stand at -453 for the Ravens and +347 for the Texans. The over/under for the game is set at 45. The last time these two met was 9/10/23, a 25-9 Ravens win in Baltimore. Before that was before CJ Stroud came on board. 9/20/20 a 33-16 Ravens win in Houston. Baltimore is going to give this young Texans team quite the wake up call in this matchup. While Houston beat down the Browns in the Wild Card Game, this is just a lopsided matchup. Baltimore is fresh with the bye in the first round and given all the injuries this season to teams, that will be a huge boost. There won’t be any rust as Harbaugh has kept this team ready throughout the bye. His coaching is a huge edge no matter what coming into play. Baltimore dominated the matchup earlier this season and they have ran some teams over en route to this number 1 seed. They dominated good passing teams like the 49ers and Dolphins this season and they will have a good game plan ready for the Texans. Stroud is going to struggle with this defense that ranks near the top in many categories. Offensively, Baltimore is one of the best. Lamar Jackson is likely your MVP and he’s going to pick apart this defense once again. Baltimore has come up clutch in many big games this season and this one will be no different. Trends, Ravens are 6-0-1 L7 ATS after a SU loss, 5-2 ATS L7, 6-1 SU L7, 7-0 SU L7 vs. when playing Houston, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. AFC teams. On the other side, Houston are 2-4 ATS L6 vs. Baltimore, 2-11 SU L13 vs. BALT, and are 3-9 SU L12 vs. AFC North teams. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 173 h 57 m | Show | |
Buccaneers +3 NFC Wild Card Weekend. The Buccaneers (9-8, 11-6 ATS, 4-4 HOME) vs. Eagles (11-6, 7-8-2 ATS, 5-4 AWAY) game is scheduled for Monday, January 15th, airing at 8pm on ESPN/ABC. For the fourth consecutive year, the Buccaneers will kick off their postseason campaign by facing a team from the NFC East in the opening round. The Eagles visit Tampa for the second time this season, as they grabbed a 25-11 victory at Raymond James in Week 3. On Sunday, Tampa Bay clinched the NFC South title with a 9-0 victory over the Panthers, though it only brought their season record to 9-8. Phili is going to have a hard time containing the skill positions of the Bucs, plain and simple. Evans (1255 yards 79 rec 13 TD), Godwin (1024 yards 83 rec 2 TD) White (990 RUSH yards 549 REC yards, 64 rec 9 total TD), Otton (549 yards 47 rec 4 TD), Mayfield (4044 Yds, 237YPG, 28 TD only 10 INT 364/566 64.3 COMP%), plus a defense with just enough playmakers on it to make bigtime plays at big parts of a game. This will not be a cakewalk for favorites (Philly) on the road. The Eagles are limping into this matchup. They haven't looked right since they lost to Seattle, some will say it's even earlier than that. Hurts, Smith, Brown haven't looked like themselves of late, and where's the Philly run game? I don't trust them. I do trust the fact that weather won't be a problem, and Philly rested all their starters in Week 18 so they'll come into this one as healthy as possible, but I like the home team. Baker is due. Tampa will keep this one close. Philadelphia struggles: 0-6 ATS, 1-5 SU in their L6 games. They're 1-4 SU against Tampa Bay, 0-5 ATS vs. NFC teams, and 2-6 ATS in L8 January games. In contrast, Tampa Bay excels: 4-1 ATS in their L5 games, 5-1 SU in their L6, and 10-3 SU in L13 January games. Tampa Bay appears to hold the edge considering these trends. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 7* NFC Wild Card ATS Play PS I have an O/U total premium play up for this matchup too! |
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01-15-24 | Steelers +9.5 v. Bills | 17-31 | Loss | -100 | 52 h 56 m | Show | |
Steelers +9.5 (Love +10 if you see it!) This game now has been moved to Monday, but that doesn't change how we feel about it. The Steelers (10-7, 10-7 ATS) are set to face off against the Bills (11-6, 7-10 ATS) in the 2024 Super Wildcard Weekend. The game is scheduled for Monday, January 15th, at 4:30 ET, to be held at Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY. The NFL Wild Card Round betting lines favor Buffalo at -9.5, with Moneyline odds of Pittsburgh +368 and Buffalo -492, and an over/under total of 39.5. Pittsburgh secured their spot with a 17-10 win as 3-point road favorites against the Ravens, aided by Tennessee's victory over Jacksonville, which clinched their final AFC wild card spot. The Bills, having clinched the AFC East title and the No. 2 seed in the postseason, come off a remarkable 21-14 road win over the Dolphins. Monitoring weather for its impact on the game. Forecasts indicate temperatures in the 20s, near 0 wind chills. Expected 24 degrees at 1 p.m. kickoff, with wind gusts possibly up to 50 mph. Weather will be the great equalizer in this matchup. We all know not having WATT this weekend will hurt the Steelers, but I'm banking on the weather and the rest of their defense stepping up, and not letting this game be controlled by Allen and the Bills. Pittsburgh's defense ranks 5th in the NFL with 27 takeaways this season. They are 6th in points allowed, averaging 19.1 PPG, and concede 342.1 YPG. I expect the Golden/Herbig combo to try to fill Watt's void. It won't be easy, but they'll give PIT above average production. Kazee & Fitzpatrick could be back too, it won't hurt having Peterson move back to CB. Another factor in keeping Pittsburgh competitive is their run game. Averaging 156.7 RYPG in their L3 games, I'm expecting them to heavily rely on it vs. BUF. Harris showcased his skills with 255 carries for 1,035 yards, averaging 4.1 YPC and scoring 8 TD's. Warren had 149 carries for 784 yards, averaging 5.3 YPC, and adding 4 TD's. Warren's versatility was evident with 61 receptions too. If they get their job done, this cover will hit. Trends, Pittsburgh has a 13-7 ATS record in their L20, including 13 SU wins. Against Buffalo, they excel at 11-4 ATS in L15, 11 outright victories. In contrast, Buffalo struggles with a 4-9 ATS record in their L13 & faces challenges when favored, posting a 3-7 ATS record in their last 10. No matter when or where we're on PIT ATS. You know what to do. Hop ON! Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3.5 v. Lions | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 149 h 23 m | Show | |
Rams +3.5 NFC Wild Card Weekend. In an electrifying showdown, the Rams (10-7, 5-4 AWAY, 10-6-1 ATS) and Lions (12-5, 6-2 HOME, 12-5 ATS) clash on NBC's Sunday Night Football in an NFC Wild Card Game. Ford Field serves as the battleground, with kickoff at 8 p.m. ET. The intrigue is palpable as Stafford squares off against the team that drafted him, swapping places with Jared Goff. In Week 18, the Rams secured a 21-20 victory over the 49ers, while the Lions bested the Vikings. Notably, this marks the Lions' first home playoff game since 1993. I'm fully expecting this line to reach +2 or +1.5 by kickoff. 85% to 90% of the public is on the Rams, and for good reason. We're getting down early to get the best line, and the possibility of back dooring ourselves into a win here. For the record, I'm not opposed to you sprinkling a little love on the Rams ML in this one, and I like their chances for an outright win here, it just depends how many weapons Goff has at his disposal come gametime. As of today (Monday) I'm not expecting we see LaPorta, or Raymond on the weekend (both injured vs. the Vikings), and trust me, they're big pieces of the Lions offense. Keep up with injury reports this week. Goff vs Stafford is going to be quite the spectacle. These two were flipped years back after spending years with who is now the opposing team in this wild card matchup. The Rams come in the hotter of the two teams and they’re playing at such a high level. They’ve rattled off wins in 7 of the last 8 games, with the lone loss being in Baltimore. In that game, they put up 31 points and covered in a close game. Los Angeles sees a Detroit team that ranks 24th defensively and the Rams are such a threatening offense to deal with. During their current 4 game winning streak, they’ve scored no less than 21 as they’re clicking on all cylinders. Kupp and Nacua are one of the best receiver duos in the NFL. Their ability to make plays and get deep downfield are as good as anyone in the league. With the playmakers the Rams have (don’t forget about Williams in the backfield!) and this team has the edge. We’re getting the better team with points in this spot. Trends, LAR 6-1 ATS L7, 7-1 SU L8, 6-0 SU L6 vs. NFC teams, and 9-4 SU L13 in JAN. Lions 1-5 SU L6 vs. NFC West teams. Rams have won 3 of the L4 vs. the Lions. 10/24/21 28-19, 12/2/18 30-16, 12/13/15 21-14, and the lone loss was 10/16/16 31-28 DET. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFC Wild Card ATS Play |
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01-14-24 | Packers +7.5 v. Cowboys | 48-32 | Win | 100 | 111 h 2 m | Show | |
Packers +7.5 Green Bay (9-8, 9-8 ATS) face Dallas (12-5, 10-7 ATS) in the NFL playoffs' opening round. This Sunday, they'll kick off at 4:30 p.m. ET in Arlington, TX's AT&T Stadium. Notably, the Cowboys were unbeaten at home, going 8-0 in 2023, while the Packers struggled on the road at 4-5. Tune in on FOX. Current odds: (ML) - Packers +275, Cowboys -350, Over/Under - 49.5, Cowboys -7.5 ATS. Last game out, the Packers earned a Wild Card spot, defeating the Bears 17-9 at home, covering the 3-point spread. They ended the regular season strong, winning 3 straight and 6 of their last 8. In contrast, the Cowboys secured the NFC East title with a 38-10 road win over the Commanders. These teams have history, with 38 matchups, Packers leading 21-17, including 8 playoff games. The last matchup was 2022, the Pack won 31-28 in OT. Green Bay has won their last 4 vs. BIGD, including the past three in Dallas. Their last playoff face-off was in the 2016 divisional round, won by the Packers 34-31. The Packers aren’t far off, if even far off from the Cowboys. Green Bay is 9-8 and rattled off 3 straight wins to cap their regular season off as Jordan Love deserves a ton of credit. The Utah State product finished the regular season throwing for 4159 yards and 32 tds. What’s most impressive about his breakout year has been only 11 interceptions. He’s taken care of the ball well and has this offense rolling right now. They come in with a ton of momentum and confidence after putting up performances of 33 points twice and 17 in a game where they dominated the possession against the Bears. Love and company can keep up with this Cowboys attack. Dallas has had their moments on the defensive end where they’ve struggled and Green Bay can frustrate teams with their ability to sustain drives. If the Packers can win the time of possession, they’re going to frustrate the Cowboys all night here. Look for this one to be a close game throughout with Green Bay having their chances to steal it. Trends, GB are 6-2 SU L8, 5-1 ATS L6 vs. DAL, 9-1 SU L10 vs. Dallas, and 5-2 SU L7 vs. NFC teams. Dallas are 1-6 ATS L7 vs. a team with a winning record, are 2-4 ATS L6, 4-14 ATS L18 in JAN, and lastly, they're 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff home games. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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01-13-24 | Browns -2.5 v. Texans | 14-45 | Loss | -120 | 125 h 47 m | Show | |
Browns -2.5 AFC Wild Card Weekend. This Saturday, it's a clash between Cleveland (11-6, 11-6 ATS, 3-5 AWAY) and Houston (10-7, 9-8 ATS, 6-3 HOME) in the AFC Wild Card Game at NRG Stadium, kicking off at 4:30 p.m. ET and airing on NBC. Cleveland, having already secured the AFC's #5 seed, rested players in Week 18 vs. Cinci, and they lost 31-14 as 7-point dogs. Before Week 18 the Browns had previously strung together 4 consecutive wins, including a 36-22 victory against the Texans in Week 16. On the flip side, the Texans punched their first playoff ticket since 2019 with a 23-19 win against the Colts. It's worth noting that Cleveland has dominated this series, winning the last 4 meetings since November 2020, and they've also emerged victorious in their past 2 at NRG. Cleveland heads into Houston as slim favorites and we’re backing the Browns here on the road. Cleveland dominated the Texans a few weeks back albeit was without CJ Stroud calling the plays under center. While that makes a difference, we still can takeaway a few things from that game. QB Joe Flacco still picked apart this Texans defense from the outset and that same defense will be up against him here. Flacco threw for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns as Amari Cooper turned in a career day out wide. Also, the Browns defense dominated the Texans offensive line for a majority of this game. These two things won’t change heading into Saturday. Cleveland’s defense is predominately a man to man defense as they aren’t shy about playing 1 on 1 outside. Stroud is one of the best QBs against the zone, but has had issues with man to man coverage. Cleveland will blitz and force him to make some uncomfortable throws in this one. Cleveland has the better team and they’re going to have a vet QB going against a rookie QB. That experience goes a long way in this matchup. From 2012 onwards, rookies have achieved a postseason record of 4 wins and 11 losses, with two of those wins occurring when 2 rooks faced each other in a game. This doesn't bode well for Houston. Trends, CLE 6-0 ATS L6 games as a FAVORITE, and 6-0 ATS L6 vs. a team with a winning record. CLE 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, 4-1 SU L5 vs. HOU, 10-0 SU L10 vs. AFC South. HOU is 2-9 SU L11 vs. AFC North, and 2-5 SU L7 in JAN, plus they're 0-4 ATS in their L4 playoff games as a dog. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* AFC Wild Card ATS Play |
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01-07-24 | Bills -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 103 h 35 m | Show |
Bills -3 I don't release many 10* NFL Plays, but I feel extra strong about this one. NFL Week 18 Sunday Night football on NBC play for the (10-6, 3-4 AWAY, 6-10 ATS) Bills taking on the (11-5, 7-1 HOME, 10-6 ATS) Dolphins, Sunday, at 8:20pm ET, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL. Opening odds have the ML: Bills -163, Dolphins +135. ATS Odds: Bills -3, Dolphins +3. Total: O/U 50. The Bills are in one of the oddest spots ever really. They have a chance at the #2 seed and a chance to miss out on the playoffs. Things are hectic in the AFC Playoff race, but we’re backing Buffalo here as this team has a huge edge on Sunday. Buffalo gets the Dolphins at the right time as injuries are the topic of conversation for Miami. The Dolphins Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips are both on the IR, while a compliment of others sit below 100% even if they take the field. Buffalo has won 4 in a row and they’re doing it with dominant performances on both sides of the ball. They’ve allowed 22 points or less in all 4 wins and are getting contributions from so many different players. Josh Allen has the offense rolling and sustaining drives too, which has kept the ball away from the opposition. That’s going to be a huge key here as the Bills should have success keeping the Dolphins offense off the field and will set themselves up for some short yardage situations on 3rd down. Miami comes in 1-4 ATS against opponents over .500 and their struggles against good teams will be showcased in this contest. Health, Desperation, Motivation, Roster Depth. Buffalo. Check, Check, Check, and CHECK. X-Factor. Bills defense. 4th in the NFL allowing only 18.6 PPG. 10th in YPG, and 7th in passing YPG. 2nd in NFL forcing turnovers. 3rd in sacks. Tua will be running for his life. No Mostert, No Chubb, No Howard, No Waddle more than likely. We saw Miami's offense without him, and a less than 100% Tyreek Hill vs. the Ravens. Tough stretch for Miami. This is a no-brainer for me on Sunday Night football. I have to back the Bills -3 to win another AFC East championship. Trends, Bills 5-1 SU L6, 10-1 SU L11 vs. MIA, 4-1 SU L5 vs. AFC teams, and 8-2 SU L10 vs. AFC East teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday Night RARE 10* NFL ATS Play |
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01-07-24 | Seahawks -2.5 v. Cardinals | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 11 m | Show | |
Seahawks -2.5 The Seahawks (8-8) face the struggling Cardinals (4-12) on Sunday at 4:25pm ET in Glendale, AZ at State Farm Stadium. The Hawks are favored at -163 on the ML with the Cardinals at +133. Against the Spread odds opened in favor the Seahawks -3, and the game's betting total is set at 47.5. We're now getting Seattle -2.5 and are jumping on it. The Cardinals are tough there's no denying that. Murray did great in a 35-31 win against the Eagles. But here me out, strange stuff happens when the Seahawks play in Arizona, and the Seahawks have a better team and stronger will. They have to win this. AZ doesn't. Metcalf, Lockett, and Smith-Njigba will lead the way for Seattle. If Geno Smith can find them, the Cardinals will have a hard time keeping up. In the last 5 H2H matchups, the Seahawks have dominated 4-1. Furthermore, the Seahawks have also excelled ATS, going 4-1. All time Seattle leads the series 26–22–1. The last time they played was a 20-10 Seahawks victory on 10/22/23 in Seattle. The value leans towards the Seahawks. Their recent home loss to the Steelers dealt a blow to their playoff hopes, needing a win and possible help from Green Bay. The Cardinals, led by J. Gannon, show promise, but this game could be a letdown spot despite their notable win in Phili. Trends, Seahawks are 5-1 ATS L6 vs. AZ, 5-1 SU L6, and 5-1 SU L6 IN ARIZONA, and 8-2 ATS L10 vs. NFC teams. AZ are 4-16 L20 SU, 0-7 L7 vs. NFC West teams, and 1-5 SU L6 in January. I think the Seahawks will win, even though they're not great at stopping the run, what they can do is put up points against this AZ defense. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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01-07-24 | Bears +3 v. Packers | 9-17 | Loss | -105 | 98 h 17 m | Show | |
Bears +3 There is no greater pressure in the NFL than a team knowing they have to win to get in the playoffs. It's all on the Packers shoulders this week when the (7-9, 2-6 AWAY, 8-7-1 ATS) Bears face the (8-8, 4-3 HOME, 8-8 ATS) Packers on Sunday at 4:25pm ET in Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI. Opening ML odds: Bears +140, Packers -172; ATS odds: Bears +3, Packers -3; Betting total: O/U 44. Chicago has won 4 of its last 5 games, SU and ATS. Green Bay, 8-8 SU and ATS, kept playoff hopes alive with a dominant Sunday win, as 1-point dogs, beating Minnesota 33-10. NFL prediction time! I'm on the Bears plus the points in this one. I'm just not sold on Jordan Love yet. I've watched him closely all year but I'm not fully convinced he "has it". This is a big game. Weather will be a factor. Yards will be at a premium and I just trust Fields more than Love in this spot. I do not trust the Packers run-D. Do you? Packers are 27th in the NFL against the RUN, and this has to favor the ground-n-pound mentality of the Bears. Fields/Herbert should see 30 running plays between them called in this one. Fields comes into this one with 630 rush yards, Herbert with 583. Foreman may even be active for this one (425 Yds on 3.9 YPC with 4 TD's). Credit the Bears for their growth potential. They've out-gained 4 of the last 5 opponents and out-rushed 13 consecutive foes. Recently, they ran for 250 yards in a 27-16 victory against Arizona but lost 20-17 in a game they led At Cleveland 3 weeks ago they led, and lost, same result. Chicago's last two losses occurred after leading by double digits in the fourth quarter, highlighting their potential for a 7-game streak. This is a good team. Trends, Bears 6-1-1 ATS L8, 5-1 ATS L6, 4-1 SU L5, 5-0 ATS L5 vs. NFC teams. GB are 2-4 SU L6 in JAN, and 1-4 ATS L5 playing as the FAVORITE. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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01-07-24 | Jets v. Patriots -2.5 | 17-3 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 2 m | Show | |
Patriots -2.5 In Week 18, the (6-10) New York Jets face the (4-12) New England Patriots on Sunday at 1:00pm ET in Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA. The Jets are +2.5 underdogs, with a Moneyline of +118, while the Patriots are -2.5 favorites with a Moneyline of -142. The game's total betting line is set at 30.5 points. These two have quite the history. The Patriots and Jets have battled 129 times, with the Patriots winning 74 games, the Jets securing 54 wins, and one tie. We’re on the Patriots here, at home, on Sunday. New England actually has played well as of late after what has been an abysmal season to say the least. They’ve beaten both the Steelers and Broncos on the road and played the Chiefs and Bills extremely tough. They’ve been able to find their offensive groove with Zappe and the defense has made some big plays. The Jets are a fade in this spot after getting beaten up by the Browns in their last game. New York has had a cycle of QBs here in the 2023-2024 season and they now land on Trevor Siemian, who has been very inconsistent. He’s turned the ball over and the Pats defense is going to be too much for him. New England gives up 21 ppg and they’re going to put together a lot of different blitz packages here. Expect the Jets offensive line to be overwhelmed and for the Pats defense to produce a couple of turnovers. Adding to this, all the speculating has surrounded this being Bill Belichick’s last game in New England. It would be appropriate for them to send him out a winner. Trends, the Jets have struggled recently, going 1-8 against the spread (ATS) and 2-7 in straight-up (SU) wins in their L9. Additionally, they are 0-6 ATS against New England and 2-10 SU in their L12 road games. New England has been dominant at home, winning all 10 of their L10 home games against the Jets. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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01-07-24 | Vikings v. Lions -3.5 | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Lions -3.5 The Vikings (7-9, 7-6-3 ATS, 5-3 AWAY) and Lions (11-5, 11-5 ATS, 5-2 HOME) will face off in Week 18 at Ford Field this Sunday, kicking off at 1 p.m. ET on FOX. The Vikings suffered a 33-10 loss to the Packers in Week 17, extending their three-game losing streak, while the Lions had a heartbreaking 20-19 defeat against the Cowboys on the road last Saturday, marked by that controversial finish. The Vikings' playoff hopes hinge on specific scenarios: a Packers loss (to the Bears) + Seahawks loss (to the Cardinals) + Buccaneers loss (to the Panthers), or a Packers loss + Seahawks loss + Saints loss (to the Falcons). If there’s ever a team that is going to come out with a ton of fire and looking to take out frustrations, it’s going to be this Lions team. Detroit isn’t going to be shy about what they’re trying to do and that starts from Head Coach Dan Campbell. He’s been very vocal throughout the week about how he intends to play all his guys and will look to make a statement. The Lions have been firing away offensively all season long. They aren’t shy about taking shots deep and it’s led them to averaging 27 ppg. They put nearly 400 yards per game and they can attack in so many different ways. They catch the Vikings who come in with very little confidence. Minnesota was throttled at home against the Packers, marking their third straight loss. They’re all but out of the playoffs unless they got a lot of help and the morale has to be down here. Detroit will look to get the ball to their playmakers and should pick apart this Minnesota defense that struggled with the Packers last week. Detroit’s offense is a few steps above the Packers on the offensive side, which bodes so well for the Lions. Trends, Vikings 1-5 SU L6, 0-6 ATS L6 vs. DET, and 3-7 ATS L10 vs. NFC North teams. On the other side, DET 4-1 ATS L5, 13-5 SU L18, 5-1 SU L6 at home, and 13-5 SU L18 vs. NFC teams. I just can't see a Nick Mullens quarterbacked team giving the Lions any problems in this one. I'm backing Detroit ATS. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-31-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6.5 | 17-25 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Kansas City -6.5 Sunday at 4:25pm from Arrowhead the Bengals (8-7, 6-7-2 ATS, 3-4 AWAY) visit the Chiefs (9-6, 7-7-1 ATS, 4-4 HOME). The Chiefs and Bengals are usually finding themselves in the midst of battling for a top spot into the AFC. When these two teams meet on Sunday, they’re battling to just get into the playoffs. The Chiefs were embarrassed on Christmas Day and they’re going to bounce back here in a big way. Kansas City fell to Oakland and the frustration was visible all around. This is a perfect spot for them to grab win number 10. They are still in need of a win and some help to clinch the AFC West and they get a good matchup here with a Bengals team that noticeably is starting to run out of steam after last week. Cinci fell 34-11 to the Steelers in a game where they were dominated from the outset. After having some magic with Browning, they had nothing going and now they’re going to get a fired up Chiefs team that is looking to take out some frustrations. Kansas City still has confidence as Mahomes even came out and said they’re still in the drivers seat. This team still has seen the defense step up, as they’ve given up just 17.7 points per game. That’s one of the best marks in the NFL and they should be able to see this offense produce much more on their end here in Week 16. Kansas City is the better team and has the better playmakers. Trends, Cinci are 3-8 L11 vs. AFC teams. KC are 14-6 SU L20, 13-3 SU L16 vs. AFC, and 11-4 L15 vs. AFC North teams. Look for them to bounce back. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-31-23 | Titans v. Texans -3.5 | 3-26 | Win | 100 | 119 h 35 m | Show | |
Texans -3.5 Sunday in Houston, we have the Titans (5-10, 6-8-1 ATS, 1-6 AWAY) facing off against the Texans (8-7, 5-3 HOME, 7-8 ATS). Last week, the Titans stuck to their ground-and-pound philosophy against the Seahawks. IMO that approach plays right into the Texans' defensive strengths. Houston held the Browns to a mere 54 rushing yards and ranks 6th in the NFL in limiting opponents to just 90 RUSH YPG. To secure a win in this matchup, the Titans will need to rely more on their passing game. While they have talented receivers in Hopkins and Burks, Tannehill at the end of the day is still Tannehill. The Texans are anxiously awaiting the return of star rookie QB C.J. Stroud, who I believe will be back in action. Coach Ryans mentioned Stroud's improvement and his return to team meetings last week. He should be a "GO". If he's 100% healthy, the Texans would likely be favored by -7 points at home. I'm taking them at -3.5. Offensively, Houston averages 21.8 PPG (15th), while Tennessee struggles at 18 PPG (27th). Defensively, both teams are close, with TENN allowing 21.4 PPG and HOU allowing 22 PPG. Notably, the Titans, even with Henry, are 31st in the NFL in the red zone and 28th on 3rd down conversions. In their recent history, the Titans hold a slight lead in the series at 23-20. Their most recent clash was Week 15, a 19-16 Texans win in Nashville. Houston's comeback from a 13-0 deficit showcased their resilience and should boost their confidence for Week 17. To me, it looks like the Titans out of playoff contention are showing signs of fatigue. No gas left in the tank. Trends, Titans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC South teams (& 1-6 L7), 5-15 SU L20, 1-5 ATS L6 vs. HOU, and 1-9 SU L10 on the road. For Houston, they're 5-2 ATS L7 in DEC, and they're 8-2 ATS in their L10 following a straight up loss. I'm all over the Texans on Sunday as they put the boots to the Titans season. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns -7 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 56 h 53 m | Show | |
Browns -7 Week 17 is here, and on Thursday night we get the Cleveland Browns (10-5, 9-5-1 ATS) taking on the New York Jets (6-9, 5-9-1 ATS) in Amazon Prime's Thursday night football. Last game out Cleveland took down the Texans Sunday 36-22. For NYJ, they had a 27-7 halftime lead vs. the Commanders but couldn't hold the lead and only won on a late 54 yard Zuerlein FG for a 30-28 win. Cleveland has been one of the best stories in football this season. They’ve had injury after injury and now they’ve overcome just about everything. They have been playing with the next man up mentality and that’s the case here as they will enter Thursday with a chance to clinch a playoff spot. Home field advantage has been a huge part of their success and the place will be rocking Thursday. Cleveland has lost just one game at home in the 2023 season. They have won 3 straight overall and offensively this team is clicking on all cylinders. During this stretch, they’ve had performances of 31, 20, and 36 points. The 20 point game was a frantic 4th quarter comeback as well in a game where weather was a struggle. Joe Flacco has tossed for 1307 yards and 10 TD's since joining them and he’s made everyone around him better. Djoku and Cooper both are threats all over the place and they’re going to feast on this Jets defense. New York has plenty of question marks surrounding them on both sides of the ball, which should open the door for Cleveland here. The Browns will pin their ears back defensively and cause so many issues in this Jets backfield. I just don't see any way that NY stays with Cleveland in this one. I think Cleveland wins by 13-17, and with Siemian at QB I'm expecting a Browns DTS as well. Trends, Jets 1-7 ATS L8, 2-6 SU L8, and 2-9 SU L11 on the road. Browns are 6-2 ATS L8, 6-2 SU L8, 5-0 ATS L5 at home, and they're 5-1 SU L6 vs. AFC teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-25-23 | Ravens +6.5 v. 49ers | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Ravens +6.5 Nice 3-1-1 NFL day on Christmas Eve. XMAS DAY NFL action today. We have the (11-3, 9-5 ATS) Baltimore Ravens taking on the the (11-3, 8-6 ATS) San Francisco 49ers. Baltimore likes this matchup. The Ravens have won 5 of 7 meetings, including a 20-17 decision four years ago. Their most famous matchup: a 34-31 2012 Super Bowl win. We’re on Baltimore here, grabbing the points in what could be one of the best matchups we’ve seen all season. Two teams who are favorites in their respective conferences battle it out to cap off Christmas. Lamar Jackson is one of those QBs who thrives as an underdog. He comes in 11-2 ATS as an underdog in his career and has won 9 of those games straight up. Digging in deeper, the trends get better. He has gone 19-1 SU against NFC teams in his career. Jackson is experiencing a resurgence in his performance, reminiscent of his 2019 MVP season. With a career-high 66.3% completion rate, he's thrown 17 TD's, and aims for his third 1,000-yard rushing season. You don’t get these numbers and trends by accident. Jackson is a big time player who makes the big time plays when they’re needed. The Ravens are allowing just 16.1 PPG, which is one of the best marks in the NFL. Their ability to force the opposition into some tough third down situations and get off the field is why this team thrives. We’re facing the public here, who is backing San Fran at a huge rate on Monday. The Ravens are equally as good of a team and their ability to strike for the big play can match this 49ers side. Weather should be high 50's, low 60's at kickoff, light breeze. Trends, Baltimore boasts an impressive 11-5 ATS record in their L16 games and an 8-1 SU streak in their L9. They've dominated San Francisco with a 5-1 SU record in the L6, and on the road, they're 6-1 SU. Perfect 8-0 SU record against NFC conference L8. I'm on Lamar and the Ravens tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-24-23 | Patriots +6.5 v. Broncos | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 101 h 57 m | Show | |
Patriots +6.5 On Sunday night, it's the Patriots (3-11, 3-10-1 ATS) squaring off against the Broncos (7-7, 5-8-1) at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO. NFL Moneyline Odds show the Patriots at +223 and the Broncos at -284. As for NFL ATS odds, the Broncos are the favored side at -6.5, a bump from the initial 5.5-point spread. The Over/Under stands at 34. The last meeting dates back to 10/18/2020, where Denver secured an 18-12 win in New England. While Newton and Lock were under center in that game, this time around promises a different matchup. Denver holds a series advantage, leading 27-22 and 4-1 in postseason matchups. Recent form has the Patriots coming off a loss to the Chiefs, while the Broncos stumbled against the Lions. Taking a closer look at this game, the low total caught my attention. I don't anticipate a one-sided affair with the Broncos racking up 28+ points. Instead, I believe the Patriots can make some headway, especially on the ground, against the struggling Broncos defense. Denver's defense ranks 30th in Yards Per Game Allowed (382.4) and 31st in Run Defense (146.9 YPG). They concede an average of 25.1 PPG, placing 28th in the NFL, which plays into the Patriots' strengths. Despite Zappe's tough day against the Chiefs, he managed 240 yards and three TDs against the Steelers, showing potential. Denver's inconsistency this year raises concerns, and the Patriots' sturdy defense, yielding only 4.8 yards per play (fifth in the NFL), adds another layer to consider. We simply need to stay within a TD, so I'm leaning towards the Patriots this Sunday night. Pats are #13 in the Red Zone surprisingly, so I'm happy about that. It's a low total as I said, points will be at a premium. Trends, Denver are 2-4 ATS L6 vs. AFC East teams, and strangely 1-8 ATS L9 Week 16 matchups. Pats ATS is the play. However, I'd approach the Patriots' ML bet cautiously. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-24-23 | Cardinals v. Bears -4 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 95 h 25 m | Show | |
Bears -4 (3-11, 1-6 AWAY, 7-7 ATS) Cardinals face the (5-9, 3-3 HOME, 6-7-1 ATS) Bears this Sunday at 4:25 PM ET in Soldier Field, Chicago, IL. Opening NFL lines show Moneyline Odds with Cardinals +179 and Bears -222. ATS, the Bears are favored by -4.5 points, with an NFL Betting Total set at O/U: 44. Their last matchup was 12/5/21, a 33-22 Cardinals win. Murray took on Dalton that day. Both teams suffered losses last week, with the Bears falling to the Browns 20-17 in a thrilling matchup, while the Cardinals faced a more significant defeat, losing 45-29 to the 49ers. In that game, the Cardinals' defense struggled to contain the 49ers' high-powered offense. The Cardinals currently rank 29th in PPG allowed 26.9 PPG and only manage to score an average of 18 PPG (#22). The Bears, on the other hand, allow an average of 23 PPG (20th). When it comes to offense, both teams have relatively similar passing and rushing statistics. However, the Bears boast a formidable defense. They hold the top spot in rush defense, allowing just 79.8 YPG, although they are ranked 26th against the pass, conceding 239 YPG. The Bears' defense is also third in the NFL in forcing turnovers, and they possess a decent pass rush (at home they're obviously even better). Despite the Bears' recent loss, there are positive signs in Chicago. The team played well against the Browns, nearly winning on that spectacular Mooney "hail Mary" play. Justin Fields remains a topic of discussion as a potential franchise QB. The Cardinals' game plan usually revolves around running the ball when playing outside of Arizona, where their games tend to end with totals in the 30s. However, this week, facing the Bears' top-notch run defense, their ability to run effectively is in question. With the Cardinals ranking last in DVOA and surrendering the second-most points 26.9 PPG, it's challenging to see how they can generate sufficient offense. While the Cardinals are no longer in playoff contention, the Bears maintain a slim chance of making the postseason, as no team in the NFC North has clinched. They have won two of their last three games, and the team appears to be buying into Eberflus' coaching. Hopefully, the Chicago weather adds an extra challenge, with current predictions indicating a mild 51 degrees but potentially dropping into the 40s with lakefront winds. The Bears are a team that refuses to give up on their season, and I'm leaning heavy toward the -4. Trends, AZ 3-17 SU L20, 2-11 SU vs. NFC teams, and 1-5 L6 vs. NFC North teams. Plus they're 2-6 ATS L8 DEC games. The Bears are 4-2 L6 ATS, 4-0-1 L5 vs. NFC teams, and 3-0-1 L4 after allowing 90 YDS rushing in prior game. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins -1.5 | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
Dolphins -1.5 The Cowboys (10-4, 9-5 ATS) and Dolphins (10-4, 9-5 ATS) are set to clash in a Week 16 showdown on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). Dallas lost to the Bills 31-10 on Sunday, while the Dolphins rebounded from a Week 14 setback with a 30-0 win over the New York Jets (covering a -7 spread). Over their last 4 games, Miami is 3-1 straight up and 3-1 against the spread (ATS). The Dolphins are looking to improve their home record to 7-1. In their series history, including 1 postseason game, the Cowboys and Dolphins have played 15 times with Dallas ahead 8-7. That includes 4 straight Dallas wins and 3 straight in Miami. On defense, the Cowboys are currently positioned 13th in tackles for loss and 8th in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 18.9 PPG and gaining 294.3 YPG. The Cowboys are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog. In the Dolphins' win over the Jets, the Dolphins controlled the time of possession at 36:21 to 23:39 for the Jets. If they can replicate that, they'll come out on top in this one. Their defense is top flight as well. In terms of yards allowed, the Dolphins are 5th in the league while giving up 293.4 YPG. Miami's defense has allowed 21 PPG, placing them 13th. I think Dallas is going to have trouble containing the Miami run game. Mostert and Achane are going to have some big holes. Look at what Buffalo did to Dallas last week. The blueprint is now out there on how to beat this Cowboys team. The Cowboys were pushed all over the field in the loss to Buffalo and allowed 266 rushing yards. Hill leads the NFL with 1,542 yards and also has 97 catches and 12 TD receptions. He was limited in practice on Friday and listed as questionable. You know he's playing in this one! I like Miami to win without Hill, with Hill, I love this play. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-24-23 | Seahawks -3 v. Titans | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Seahawks -3 The Seahawks (7-7, 7-6-1 ATS) are set to clash with the Titans (5-9, 6-8 ATS) this Sunday at Nissan Stadium, with kickoff at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). The Seahawks on MNF snapped a 4 -game losing streak with a comeback 20-17 win over the Eagles. This win holds significance for a Seattle team still aiming to secure a playoff spot. Now, they travel to Tennessee, where a win would push their record above .500 at 8-7, with 2 games left to play. In their 18 meetings, starting in 1977, Seattle holds a 10-8 edge in the series, but the Titans have won the last 2 (2017, 2021) and 3 of the last 4. Geno Smith has no injury designation and is set to return this week, providing stability for the Seahawks. On the flip side, the Titans enter the weekend with significant injuries. Titans' rookie quarterback Will Levis, the team's starter, is questionable for the game against the Seahawks. If he can't play, veteran Ryan Tannehill will step in. The key for the Seahawks is to stop the Titans' run game, especially Henry, who had a dismal performance last week with only 10 yards from scrimmage. Seattle has the blueprint to stifle the Titans' ground attack, relying on big defensive tackles like Leonard Williams and Jarren Reed. The Seahawks' season is on the line, and they are poised to step up BIGTIME. Additionally, the Seahawks boast a better turnover ratio and score more points per game (PPG) than the Titans. Tennessee's offensive struggles in the second half, averaging just 7.8 PPG, rank them 28th in the league. With weapons like Walker III, Charbonnet, Bobo, Metcalf, Lockett, Smith-Njigba, and a strong tight end package, the Seahawks have the advantage. Expect a Seahawks win on Sunday. Give the points. They'll cover the 3. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +2.5 | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 71 h 40 m | Show | |
Steelers +2.5 This Saturday, AFC North rivals clash at Acrisure Stadium as the Bengals (8-6, 6-6-2 ATS, 3-3 AWAY) take on the Steelers (7-7, 7-7 ATS, 4-4 HOME) in a pivotal battle. Last week, PIT had a forgettable outing, suffering a 30-13 defeat at the hands of Indy. Meanwhile, the Bengals secured a hard-fought 27-24 victory over the Vikes, with Browning delivering a stellar performance in the 4th and OT (184 YDS, 2 TD’s). In PPG the Bengals rank 14th, averaging 21.93, while the Steelers are 28th with 15.9 PPG. Defensively, the Bengals allow 22.21 PPG (20th), while the Steelers, known for turnovers, rank 9th, conceding just 20 PPG. As for QBs, Browning starts for the Bengals despite a right forearm issue. For the Steelers, Mason Rudolph, 'battle-tested' and on a '1-year-playing-3rd-string-QB-for-another-contract' contract, makes his first start in nearly 2 Years. In their prior meeting this season, the Steelers won 16-10, covering the -2 point spread. Back in Week 12, the Steelers dominated, outgaining the Bengals by nearly 200 YDS. The Steelers' defense, allowing an average of 20 PPG, will aim to shut down key Bengals players like Mixon and Higgins. With Chase expected to miss the game this task is a little easier. Plus, Browning hasn't yet faced a robust defense led by TJ Watt in the midst of the fervent Pittsburgh crowd. PIT need to get their run-game involved again. Warren & Najee need more touches. This 62 and 72 Rush YPG nonsense needs to stop. It will this week! Play with the lead, run the ball, increase your RB's touches. It's easy math. If all else fails, the Steelers defense WILL win this game for Rudolph & Tomlin (there's all sorts of "feels" in this one. I'm backing the Steelers as home underdogs to secure the win. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams -4 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 31 h 25 m | Show | |
Rams -4 (7-7, 4-9-1 ATS) Saints face the Rams (7-7, 8-5-1 ATS) in a Thursday Night Football clash on Amazon Prime. Kickoff: 8:15 PM ET at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California. NFL Week 16 ATS Betting Lines favor the Rams by -4 points, with Moneyline Odds at New Orleans +170 and Los Angeles -207. The Over/Under stands at 44.5. Last season, the Saints triumphed over the Rams 27-20. The Rams have won 4 of their last 5, maintaining playoff hopes with a 28-20 victory over the Commanders. The Saints face a daunting task, contending with the Rams' formidable offense. Nacua and Kupp pose threats, while Williams, nearing 500 rushing yards post-IR return, exploits the Saints' weakness, allowing nearly 5.0 YPC (bottom 3). Attwell's potential return and Robinson's contributions strengthen the Rams further. The Saints struggle against tight ends, making Higbee a viable option. Stafford could surpass 250 passing yards by halftime. New Orleans ranks #21 in red zone offense, confronting a sturdy Rams defense. The Saints have scored 19 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 road games. If they settle for field goals while the Rams convert in the red zone we'll have an easy cover. The Rams' defense allows 226.1 passing yards and 110.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 14th in sacks. With all this in mind, I'm going with the Rams. The Saints travelling on a short week, and we're unsure about Olave, so trusting Carr on the road isn't the best call. Trends, NOS 4-10-1 ATS L15, 4-8 ATS L12 vs. LAR, and 0-6 ATS L6 on the road vs. LAR. On the other side, the Rams are 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, and are 9-3 L12 vs. NFC South teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday Night 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-18-23 | Eagles -3 v. Seahawks | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 23 m | Show | |
Eagles -3 In Week 15 of Monday Night Football, it's a clash between the Eagles (10-3, 6-4-3 ATS) and the Seahawks (6-7, 6-6-1 ATS) at Lumen Field. The game is set to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN. The opening odds for this showdown Moneyline (ML): Eagles -205, Seahawks +172, and Against the spread (ATS): Eagles -4.5 (-105). Worth noting, the initial spread has shifted, and we now have the Eagles at -3. In their recent outings, the Eagles suffered a tough loss to the Cowboys, falling 33-13, while the Seahawks, with Drew Lock at QB, covered the spread as 16.5-point road underdogs in a 28-16 loss to the 49ers. The Seahawks are hopeful for Geno Smith's return on MNF. Looking at the history between these two teams, this Monday's game marks their 20th meeting, with Seattle holding a 12-7 advantage. Week 12 of the 2020 season was their last matchup, Seattle won 23-17. The line has dropped due to the Eagles' recent struggles against the Cowboys and 49ers. However, they previously defeated challenging opponents like the Cowboys, Chiefs, and Bills. Facing Seattle's struggling defense, which ranks poorly against both the run and pass, presents a promising opportunity. Seattle, on a four-game losing streak, has also faced strong teams like the Niners, Cowboys, and Rams. This matchup offers potential for the Eagles' offense to shine. Listen you know I'm a Seahawks fan, and the Hawks haven't lost to the Eagles in the PC era but this is a strange year, and I just don't trust the Seahawks team any longer. I just can't for the life of me see them winning this game on Monday night. So...I'm playing the Eagles -3. Trends, Eagles are 10-3 SU L13 games, and are 9-2 SU L11 vs. NFC teams. Hawks are 1-5 SU L6, 1-4 SU L5 vs. NFC teams, and are 1-6 ATS L7 in December. This won't be a blowout by any means, but Lumen Field isn't as tough to win for road teams as it used to be and Phili is a much better team than Seattle is. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -1.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
Bills -1.5 The Cowboys (10-3, 9-4 ATS, 3-3 AWAY) and Bills (7-6, 5-8 ATS, 5-2 HOME) will face off this Sunday afternoon at Highmark Stadium. The game is set to kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on FOX. Buffalo seems to have hit their stride lately, and their recent triumph against the Chiefs appears to have saved their season. With 2 wins in their last 3 games, they've joined a 6-team tie for the last 2 AFC Wild Card spots. Their 20-17 victory over the Chiefs provided a much-needed morale boost. Allen had an impressive performance, amassing 233 PAYDS & 1 TD, likely boosting his confidence. I also have confidence in the Bills' defense this week. While Dallas boasts a potent offense this season, Buffalo's defense has been stepping up, and I expect them to do so again on Sunday. When playing at home, the Bills are a formidable force, securing 3 wins in their last 4 home games and covering the spread in 5 of their last 7 December games. In their recent matchups against the Cowboys, they hold a 4-1-1 record in the last 6. I've watched almost every minute of every Cowboys game this season and I'm here to tell you the loss of Hankins is a big, big, big deal. It gives the Bills run game a sliver of hope, and that's all they need in this one with such a tight spread. We all know the Cowboys have had an easy schedule... right? The Dallas offense has boosted its statistics by facing weak opponents and favorable conditions, and you know it's true, but it has only managed to score more than 23 points in a single away game out of its last 5, with the exception being the Panthers. I'm a believer that Allen will scramble all night long, as the Cowboys have for the most part contained run-games, but they haven't contained running QB's. It'll be in the game plan. Diggs will get back on track, and Cook and Gabe Davis will have bigtime impact games. Hopefully the weather is terrible too! Predicted High 40's 25% chance of rain. Trends, DAL 1-4-1 ATS L6 vs. BUFF, Bills 13-7 SU L20, 5-1 SU L6 vs. NFC, and 5-2 ATS L7 in DEC. Bills have won 2 straight vs. Big D. It's going to be 3. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-16-23 | Steelers v. Colts | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Colts PK (Or play the Colts on the ML, your call) The Steelers (7-6, 7-6 ATS, 3-2 AWAY) are set to face the Colts (7-6, 2-4 HOME, 8-5 ATS) on Saturday at Lucas Oil Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET (NFL Network). In terms of opening sportsbook odds, the Moneyline (ML) has the Steelers at +105 and the Colts at -125. The ATS line favors the Colts at -1.5 (-110), although there has been a shift towards Pittsburgh. The total Over/Under (O/U) is set at 42.5. In their recent games, the Colts suffered a 34-14 defeat against the Bengals on Sunday, failing to cover as a 2.5-point underdog. Meanwhile, the Steelers are currently on a two-game losing streak, having lost 21-18 to the Patriots on Thursday, failing to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. The Colts are the move here on Saturday. This is a fade of Pittsburgh for a lot of reasons. Even with Kenny Pickett, they were playing on borrowed time as they were constantly outgained yardage wise. This team has struggled all season long and now they have Mitch Trubisky running the show. That doesn’t bode well for a team that is averaging just 16 PPG. They have had zero consistency and their inability to sustain drives has been the biggest flaw. They also come in off back to back tough losses to two sub par teams. The Cardinals and Pats have put them in tough spots as now this schedule doesn’t get any easier. Indy is right there as well in the playoff race with an identical 7-6 record. Despite struggling in Cinci last week, they still have a lot to build off of lately. Prior to that, they won 4 in a row and they are relentless on both sides of the ball. The difference here will be their ability to score. Before that loss to Cinci, they put up performances of 28 and 31 in two wins. Fade Pittsburgh in this spot. I don't Pittsburgh will be playing with the lead, and because of this they'll be throwing which at least plays into the Colts defensive strength. Trends, the Steelers are 6-12 ATS in their L18 in DEC. Indy are 4-1 ATS in their L5, 4-1 SU in their L5, and 4-2 ATS in their L6 when playing as the favorite. Colts are 6-4 in their L10 home games. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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12-16-23 | Vikings +3.5 v. Bengals | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 58 h 19 m | Show | |
Vikings +3.5 In Week 15, the (7-6, 7-4-2 ATS, 5-2 AWAY) Vikings face the Bengals (7-6, 4-3 HOME, 6-6-1 ATS) at Cincinnati's Paycor Stadium on Saturday at 1pm ET. Bengals -3.5 favorites, O/U 39. The Moneyline odds show the Bengals at -197 and the Vikings at +162. Nick Mullens vs. Jake Browning! Tell me that doesn't get you excited for some Saturday afternoon football. This feels like a last minute FG for the win type game doesn't it? The Vikings arrive after a 3-0 victory in the season's lowest-scoring NFL game against Las Vegas. Meanwhile, the 7-6 Bengals, led by backup QB Jake Browning, lost his debut but secured two wins against AFC South opponents, Jacksonville and Indianapolis. Head-to-head: The Vikings and Bengals have met 14 times, each team securing 7 victories. Stats, both teams boast middle-of-the-pack offensive stats, with MIN averaging 20.5 PPG and 341.5 YPG, while CIN scores 21.5 PPG and gains 314.2 YDS on average. On the defensive side, MIN has been more efficient, allowing just 18.6 PPG and 311.2 YPG, ranking fifth and tenth, respectively. In contrast, CIN's defense has struggled, conceding 22.1 points and 379.2 YPG, placing them 17th and 31st. That's where this game will be won by the Vikings. BLITZ BLITZ BLITZ, and Browning's head will be on a swivel the entire game. Minnesota's D is nasty when they want to be. NO TD's L2 games allowed. The fewest TD's in the NFL since week 6. Nick Mullens should do OK as well moving the chains here, just doing his job. The Bengals D scares noone. Trends, Minnesota are 6-1-1 ATS in their L8, are 6-2 SU in their L8 games, and are 5-0-1 ATS in their L6 on the road. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-11-23 | Titans v. Dolphins -13 | 28-27 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 28 m | Show | |
Dolphins -13 In Week 14 on Monday Night Football, we've got Tennessee (4-8, 5-7 ATS) facing off against the Dolphins (9-3, 8-4 ATS) in one of 2x MNF matchups. The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, FL and will be broadcast nationally on ESPN. The early Moneyline odds show Titans at +550 and Dolphins at -800 (proceed with caution!). Looking at the spread, Dolphins are favored by -13 (-110), and the initial total (O/U) is set at 47. In their recent outings, the Titans came up short against the Colts, losing 31-28 as 1-point underdogs, while the Dolphins cruised to a 45-15 win over the Commanders, covering as 9-point road favorites. This marks the 40th meeting between these two, with Miami holding a 21-18 edge. Their most recent clash was Week 17 of 2021, Titans dominated 34-3 victory. It wasn't even a contest to be honest. Over their last 10 games, Miami holds a 6-4 record. Huge spread here in 1 of the 2 MNF games this week. But I'm never afraid of a huge line. Last time we played one like this we had the Cowboys a couple weeks ago, and it cleared easy. This is a fade on the Titans for a few reasons. For starters, this team has just battled so many key injuries, it’s been near impossible to overcome. The Titans have Levis running the show at QB, who just isn’t going to overpower anyone. Now, Henry may miss this contest and without him, this offense stands no chance to keep up with the Dolphins offense. Miami is averaging 32 PPG and they’re doing it with so many different weapons. They strike as quickly as anyone and they aren’t shy about throwing teams off with a little tempo. The Titans have been a disaster on the defensive side and they’re going to have their hands full with this Miami attack. This is just a lopsided game whichever way you look at it. Miami’s defense even is near the top in the league, allowing just 22 points per game. They’re going to have Tennessee on edge all night long. Plain and simple the Fins are the better team here, and I just don't see a path for a Titans cover. No way, no how! Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-10-23 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | 13-33 | Loss | -105 | 42 h 58 m | Show | |
Eagles +3.5 The Eagles (10-2, 6-3-3 ATS) and Cowboys (9-3, 8-4 ATS) are set to face off in a Week 14 divisional showdown this Sunday night, with kickoff at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX, scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Let's take a look at the opening odds for the Eagles vs. Cowboys matchup. For those who like to bet straight up, the moneyline shows the Eagles at +145 and the Cowboys at -175. On the spread (ATS), the Cowboys are favored by -3 points (-120), and the initial total Over/Under (O/U) stands at 51.5 points. Dallas is coming off a Thursday night win over the Seahawks, but they didn't cover the spread, winning 41-35 as -9.5 favorites. Meanwhile, the Eagles had a tough outing, losing 42-19 to the 49ers on Sunday. They seemed exhausted, having played three games in the last 10 days. They are a solid 5-1 on the road and being undervalued a bit after getting knocked around by the 49ers. Hopefully, they've had some much-needed rest before this Sunday night clash. The Eagles had their impressive 5-game winning streak snapped, and in the longstanding rivalry between the Eagles and Cowboys (played 129 times, with Dallas leading 73-56), the Cowboys have won the last 5 games at AT&T Stadium. Earlier this season in Dallas, the Eagles managed to defeat the Cowboys 28-23. The Eagles and Cowboys rivalries in the past have produced some fun games. This one, is going to be quite the show as they battle on SNF with a lot on the line here. The Eagles and Cowboys are in the midst of two amazing seasons as they prepare for battle in this one. Philadelphia has proven they can go on the road and win in hostile environments already as they came from behind against the Chiefs earlier this year. One thing for sure is that this Eagles team does not lose in bunches. They are going to lean on their ability to strike with the big play. Philadelphia ranks 9th in the NFL in total offense and 4th in total points scored. They have the most dangerous weapons and they should be able to pick apart this Dallas secondary. Philadelphia's defense ranks 4th in the NFL against the rush and they are going to be hungry to bounce back after last week's performance. Trends, Eagles are 4-1-1 ATS L6, 5-1 SU L6, 12-2 SU L14 on the road, and 9-1 SU L10 vs. NFC teams. Meet me at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-10-23 | Bills v. Chiefs -2.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 15 m | Show | |
Chiefs -2.5 In the NFL showdown happening this Sunday, it's Buffalo (6-6, 4-8 ATS) facing off against Kansas City (8-4, 7-5 ATS). The game kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET at GEHA Field in Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO, and you can catch it on CBS if you can't be there in person. When it comes to the moneyline (ML) wager, the Bills are sitting at +130, while the Chiefs are favored at -155. Looking at the spread (ATS), the Chiefs have a -3-point advantage, and the initial Over/Under total is set at 48. Buffalo has the historical edge, leading the all-time series 28-24-1. KC had a tough loss on Monday Night Football, falling 27-19 to Green Bay. Despite the shorter week, they're accustomed to the MNF road game, travel, and Sunday home match routine. On the other hand, Buffalo had a week off following their Week 12 overtime loss to the Eagles (37-34). The Bills have had a bit of a rough patch, losing three out of their last four games. We all know this line would be -7 if we knew Taylor Swift was attending...and you know it. I'm on the Chiefs at home on Sunday. There's been some good matchups between these two in past years, (BUF has won 2/3) but that's just it, it was in past years. The Chiefs while coming off a loss to GB (I think) are better than last year, they just don't show it every week. But this is a big game. At home, they'll have home cookin' here, and I don't think the Bills have the horses to keep up. Andy just has too many weapons. It's not like the Bills are overly healthy on defense either. Trends, Bills 1-7 ATS L8 games, 2-4 SU L6 games, 3-6 ATS L9 vs. KC. Bills are 1-7 ATS in their L8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Chiefs are 7-0 ATS in their L7 games following a ATS loss, plus, they're 16-4 SU in their L20, and are 9-2 L11 vs. AFC East teams. Back the Chiefs and lay the points. Smile at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-10-23 | Vikings v. Raiders +3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 116 h 15 m | Show |
Raiders +3 In this Week 14 matchup on Sunday, the Vikings (6-6) and the Raiders (5-7) are set to clash at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV, with a 4:05 p.m. ET kickoff (FOX broadcast). Let's break down the odds: The Moneyline shows the Vikings at -134 and the Raiders at +118. The ATS (Against the Spread) line favors the Vikings at -1.5 (-115), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at a total of 40.5 points for all the gamblers out there. In their previous game, the Vikings suffered a tough 12-10 loss to Chicago and failed to cover the 3-point spread. However, they maintain a decent 4-2 road record this season. On the other side, the Raiders last took the field on November 26, losing 31-17 to the Chiefs. Despite dropping 4 of their last 6, it's worth noting that they faced some formidable opponents. Furthermore, the team hasn't given up under interim coach Antonio Pierce. If you watched the last Vikings game you have to be wondering how they can lay 3 against any team in the NFL right now. I'm certainly scratching my head here. They do welcome back JJ this week. Raiders come in rested off of a bye, 2 weeks to gameplan, and the Vikings certainly don't present an offense like that of the Chiefs and Dolphins gauntlet the Raida's just went thru. This game should be the battle of the #1 WR's. Adams vs. Jefferson, and on the defensive side it will be Hunter vs. Crosby. My X-factor is going to be O'Connell. This game will be his 6th start. 4 TD's and 6 INT's so far. He has to stretch the field here to give Jacobs room to run. I think he will. Some trends, this matchup is even over the L10 games (5-5 ATS each), Raiders lead series all time 10-6. 5-2 at home. Minnesota are 2-5 SU in their L7 when playing on the road against LV. I'm on Vegas. Grab the points and smile at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. RARE 10* Sunday NFL TOP PLAY |
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12-10-23 | Rams v. Ravens -7 | 31-37 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 36 m | Show | |
Ravens -7 In Week 14, Baltimore (9-3) is set to take on the LAR (6-6), with both teams aiming to extend their recent winning streaks. Here are the key numbers to consider: The opening NFL betting odds show the Moneyline (ML) at Rams +240 and Ravens -300, while the Against the Spread (ATS) line has the Ravens at +7 (-110). The Over/Under (O/U) total is set at 43.5. Weather could be a factor today. High 50's, 88% chance of rain, and 6-8mph winds. The Rams are coming into this matchup on the back of a three-game winning streak, which has helped them secure the 8th spot in the NFC with a 6-6 record. Meanwhile, Baltimore had a bye week in Week 13 but had won two consecutive games leading up to it. They currently stand at 2nd place in the AFC. The Rams aren’t as good as their record may indicate. While they took care of business last week, it was against a Joe Flacco led Browns team that certainly isn’t going to overwhelm anyone. The Rams are running into a Ravens team who will be battling for the top spot in the AFC and that comes in off a bye. Harbaugh has been electric off bye weeks and this Baltimore team is well rested now. The extra week gave Lamar Jackson a chance to get himself to 100%, which will spell a lot of troubles for LA. The Rams are also battling injuries themselves. Nacua is listed as questionable and even if he goes, the Rams other top wide out isn’t going to be at 100% himself. Baltimore is going to overwhelm the Rams, who come across country for an early start time. The Ravens offense will have a field day and Jackson will be a problem with both his arm and legs on Sunday. Trends, Rams 2-4 ATS L6, 0-4-1 L5 vs. Ravens, 1-4 SU L5 vs. Ravens, and 3-10 SU L13 on the road. On the other side the Ravens are 6-1 SU L7, and 10-4 ATS L14 games. Lastly, Ravens are 7-0 SU L7 vs. the NFC. Meet me at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-10-23 | Lions v. Bears +3.5 | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 113 h 24 m | Show | |
Bears +3.5 These two met a couple weeks ago when the Lions were 7-2, and the Bears were 3-7 at Ford Field. Lions won by 5. For this one, I didn't quite get +4, but I'll take +3.5 with a little extra juice on Sunday for Chicago. IF you can get -110, GOOD for you! This number should only go the other way by Friday/Sat. In Week 14, the Lions (9-3) are facing off against the Bears (4-8) this Sunday. The game kicks off at 1 p.m. ET at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL, and you can catch it on FOX. For those looking to bet, the Moneyline (ML) odds are as follows: Lions -196 and Bears +164. When it comes to the point spread, it's Lions -4 (-110), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 45. Weather will be a factor today. Mid 30's, 93% cloudy, low chance of rain, but its going to be cold. 10-15mph winds. The Bears have been showing some signs of improvement, winning 2 of their last 3 games, and they're coming off a bye week in Week 13. In their last outing, they secured a narrow 12-10 victory against the Vikings in a rather gritty contest. But one that was REALLY REALLY BORING! Meanwhile, the Lions have been on a roll, winning 4 out of their last 5. They recently handled the Saints in New Orleans, coming out on top with a 33-28 W and covering the 3.5. Detroit is starting to see some regression and this is not a good spot for them. The Lions fast start to the season has started to come back a little bit as this team is struggling in a few areas. The main concern coming into Sunday is their red zone abilities. They rank 30th in the NFL inside the red zone and they’ve started to turn the ball over a lot lately. The Bears aren’t any kind of pushover either. They come in off a win over Minnesota as their defense has come up big in a few games this year. Off a bye week, this is a revenge spot for them against Detroit. The well rested Bears are going to put up points against this Lions defense, that has given up 28 and 29 point performances over the last two weeks. Chicago are 4-2 ATS in their L6. Bears have the #3 rush offense, if they can control the "TOP" they give themselves a great chance here. Bears haven't beat the Lions since 11/25/21 a 16-14 win. I expect the same type of score in this one, unsure if Bears win outright, but they'll keep it within the number. Meet me at the window. Hop On! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-04-23 | Bengals v. Jaguars -8 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 162 h 9 m | Show | |
Jaguars -8 Monday Night Football & the Joe Burrow (less) Cincinnati Bengals (5-6, 4-6-1 ATS, 2-3 AWAY) go down to Jacksonville to take on the AFC South leading Jaguars (8-3, 8-3 ATS, 3-3 HOME) on Sunday. Opening odds for this one have the ML Bengals +375 | Jaguars -500, and the spread is set at Jaguars -10 (-110), the O/U is set at 40. The last time these two met up was 9/30/21, a 24-21 Bengals win, JAX covered the 7.5 in that one. Bengals have lost 3 in a row. Jags have won 4 of their last 5. These are two teams going in complete opposite directions coming into play. Obviously things for the Bengals have taken a huge halt after Joe Burrow’s season came to an end. This Bengals side is no longer a threat on the offensive end and they’ve been abysmal since Burrow went down. Jake Browning fell to the Steelers last time out as Cincinnati has had zero success moving the ball. There is just no way this Bengals offense can keep up. Jacksonville is on another level right now as this offense is one of the best in the NFL. They come in putting up 58 points combined the last two games and the defense has even caused a lot of havoc. The Jags are giving up just 20.5 points per game this season and will cause so many issues for Browning. This is going to be a lopsided game from the start with the Jags simply overwhelming the Bengals. Some trends that make me think I'm on the right track here include: the Bengals are 2-8 SU in their L10 when playing on the road against the Jags, they're also 1-7 ATS in their L8 against an opponent in the AFC. On the other side, Jacksonville are 7-1 ATS in their L8, are 7-1 SU in their L8 games, plus the Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their L5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, and finally, the Jags are 8-3 SU in their L11 games at home. Don't overthink this one. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 68 h 36 m | Show | |
Packers +6 On Sunday night football on NBC we get the (8-3, ATS) KC Chiefs taking on the suddenly relevant Green Bay Packers (5-6). Chasing down a WC spot in the NFC. 8:20pm ET kickoff from Lambeau Field. Packers are +6pt dogs. The O/U total is set at 42.5. Straight up bettors will get the Chiefs at -245. The Packers are +205 on the ML. We're backing the home side in this one. No matter what, it's always going to be tough for visiting teams to come into Lambeau Field, let alone a night game. This place will be rocking. During the initial two months of the season, Jordan Love's trial appeared to be a big flop, and folks in Green Bay were in danger of losing their jobs. Luckily, things have turned around, and now Love is performing like one of the top NFL quarterbacks, saving everyone's employment. I'm on the Jordon Love train. The kid is starting to look much better and I think at home on Sunday Night Football it's going to be his coming out party. On the season now Love is 225/372 for a 60% completion %, He's chucked for 2599 yards, 19TD/10 INT's for an 87QBR. To the eye test he's improving nearly every game. Sure he has some hiccups in his game, but what young QB doesn't? On the whole the Packers looked like a different team on Thanksgiving, and with 10 days to rest and get ready for Coach Andy, I think they'll respond. The Packers offense has put up at least 375 yards in four straight games with back to back impressive wins over Detroit and the Chargers. This isn't the first time Love has played the Chiefs. His first start in 2021 he came in and started for Rogers when he was taken out by a positive Covid-19 test. Remember that? LOL. This marks the Chiefs’ first regular-season game in GB since 2015, and that means it will be Mahomes' first time in Wisconsin. Hopefully the winter is NASTY. KC is coming off a 31-17 triumph over the Raiders. Kansas City will have their hands full with this Packers offense. Combine that with the Packers holding the 8th best pass defense in the NFL and Mahomes will have some frustrations from the start. The Packers can keep this one close. With the energy from the crowd, they will have their chances to seize momentum throughout. Trends. Packers are 15-0 in December games during LaFleur’s tenure, and Green Bay are 8-4 ATS in their L12 played on a Sunday. KC are 1-4 ATS in their L5 games against Green Bay. I'm riding the Cheese here on Sunday night. Hop On! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-03-23 | Browns v. Rams -3.5 | 19-36 | Win | 100 | 118 h 27 m | Show | |
Rams -3.5 The Rams (5-6, 5-5-1 ATS, 2-3 HOME) are set to face the Cleveland Browns (7-4, 6-5 ATS, 2-3 AWAY) this Sunday at 4:25 PM ET at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. You can catch the action on FOX. The odds have the Rams favored by -3.5 ATS, with opening moneyline lines at Rams (-184) and Browns (+155). The over/under total is set at 39.5 points. H2H the Rams are 5-1 in their L6 matchups. Averaging 22PPG, to Cleveland's 13PPG. They last met 9/22/2019 a 20-13 LAR win. These two have played 24x thru the years, the Rams have a 13-11 advantage. In their recent matchup last week, the Browns had a tough outing, losing 29-12 to the Broncos, and it felt like they weren't really in the game, especially after Thompson-Robinson suffered a concussion. While the Browns boast a formidable defense, it's important to remember that having a top-notch defense doesn't guarantee victory every time. Without a noteable starting QB the NFL is seeing the Browns are just an ordinary team with no real playmakers to hit home. On the flip side, the Rams are coming off a convincing 37-14 victory over the Cardinals. Matthew Stafford was on fire, throwing for 229 yards, 4 TD's, and 1 INT, completing 25/33 passes. The Rams also welcomed back Kyren Williams, and if you, like me, had him on your fantasy bench, you missed out on his stellar performance. He rushed for 143 yards on 16 carries and added 6 receptions for 61 yards and 2 TD's. With Kupp and Atwell also contributing, the Rams are suddenly back in the playoff conversation. The big question for the Browns this Sunday is who will be their starting quarterback. It's an uncertainty that adds an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup. I'm also unsure of Garrett is going to be, he looked really banged up on Sunday. In any case, if we see Joe Flacco at QB on Sunday I'll be licking my chops. So will Aaron Donald. Some trends to see here, the Browns are 1-5 ATS vs. the Rams L6, and are 1-5 SU in their L6 vs. LAR, plus they're 3-12 SU in their L15 vs. the NFC west teams. Last one, Browns are 1-5 ATS in their L6 after allowing LESS than 150 yds passing in prior game. The Rams are glad December is here, they're 7-1 ATS in their L8 in December. Sunday I'm backing the Lambs. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-03-23 | Broncos +3.5 v. Texans | 17-22 | Loss | -105 | 119 h 27 m | Show | |
Broncos +3.5 On Sunday, the Broncos (6-5, 2-2 AWAY, 4-6-1 ATS) are set to face off against the Texans (6-5, 4-2 HOME, 5-6 ATS) at NRG Stadium, with the game scheduled to kick off at 1pm ET CBS for TV. The initial odds for the Moneyline (ML) indicated the Broncos at +135 and the Texans at -160. The Texans were also initially favored by -3 points, and the Over/Under (O/U) for the game was set at 46.5 points. Nice matchup between two AFC contenders?! I didn't see that coming! Last game out the Broncos kept their hot streak alive with a conclusive 29-12 W over the Browns at home. Call me crazy but I'm actually buying what Russell Wilson is selling of late. (His stats while not AMAZING me are good enough to deliver wins, and that's all I can ask for right now) Maybe the Broncs have Sean Payton's magic touch to thank? He's clearly having an effect on the team, and isn't washed up yet as so many were saying after the way DVR started the year. Maybe it's the run game. The Perine/Williams combo seems like a match made in heaven as a 1-2 punch. More than likely though its the Broncos defense. The DVR pass rush is all world currently. These guys are really getting home. As a result the Broncs are a TURNOVER machine. 20 takeaways now (has them 4th in the NFL). Ball Hawk U! Stroud will have to have his head on a swivel in this one. On the other side the Texans are one of the surprise teams this year, but I'm not convinced yet. They were good, but not good enough to take out the Jags on Sunday and lost 24-21. The Jags got some revenge for the earlier loss to Houston (37-17 Week 3). The Broncos will have a gameplan ready for Dell and Stroud though, there's plenty of film on these guys now, and I don't foresee too many surprises. Past matchups: 9/18/22 Denver 16, Houston 9. 12/8/19 Denver 38, Houston 24. Since 2007 8 matchups, Denver leads 5-3. Some trends, Texans are 1-4 ATS in their L5 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Plus, the Texans are 1-4 ATS in their L5. On the visiting side, Denver are 4-1 ATS in their L5, lastly, they're 5-0 SU L5, 4-1 SU L5 vs. Texans. My money is on the Broncos coming thru and covering the 3.5 on Sunday. I trust Sean Payton in this spot to put just enough wrinkles in to keep the rookie QB on his toes all day long. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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11-27-23 | Bears +3.5 v. Vikings | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 169 h 20 m | Show | |
Bears +3.5 In the final showdown of Week 12's Monday Night Football, we've got the Chicago Bears (3-8, 4-5-2 ATS, 1-5 AWAY) hitting the road to take on the Minnesota Vikings (6-5, 7-3-1 ATS, 2-3 HOME). The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC). The initial MNF odds show the Moneyline (ML) with the Bears at +145 and the Vikings at -175. Additionally, ATS has the Vikings favored by -3.5 (-105), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 45 points. The Bears had a rough outing last Sunday, squandering a 26-14 lead against Detroit and ultimately losing 31-26 on the road. On the flip side, the Vikings had their five-game winning streak halted with a close 21-20 loss to the Broncos on Sunday night. In terms of their head-to-head history, the Bears and Vikings have crossed paths 124 times since 1961, with the Vikings holding the lead in the series at 66-56-2. Notably, the Vikings have won the last five, including a 19-13 victory earlier this season. The Bears are going to be eager to get back out there for this one. After blowing a lead in the 4th quarter against the Lions, Chicago will be looking to come out of the gates fast in this contest. The Bears still can use some of that loss to build off of, as Justin Fields showed a lot of positives in the game. After missing a month with a thumb injury, he was slinging it all over the field with very little issue. He will be able to find a lot of success with both his arm and legs. Fields has the ability to break containment and pick up big chunks with his running abilities. The Vikings defense will have a hard time slowing him down. Minnesota is also seeing teams being able to adjust to Joshua Dobbs now. The Broncos figured him out on the defensive side and the Bears will come in with a lot of different blitz packages. This is going to be a lower scoring game, which will favor the Bears who should win the time of possession. Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their L5 as a home favorite. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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11-26-23 | Browns v. Broncos -1 | 12-29 | Win | 100 | 72 h 14 m | Show | |
Broncos -1 On Sunday at 4:05 PM ET in Denver, CO at Empower Field at Mile High, catch the Broncos (5-5, 3-5-1 ATS) & the Browns (7-3, 7-3 ATS) on FOX. Denver is hosting Cleveland in this matchup. The initial betting odds show the Broncos as the Spread Favorite with a -1.5 advantage. If you prefer a straight up bet, the Moneyline odds stand at Broncos (-127) and Browns (+105), while the Over/Under Total is set at 36. Browns have won the last 2 of 3 vs. Denver, most recent was 10/21/21 a 17-14 Browns win. Sidenote: Neither of this Sunday's starting QB's were in that one. Bridgewater vs. Keenum headlined that clash! (zzz's) The Broncos won the most recent game in Denver in 2019. A 17-16 win. In their recent games, the Browns secured a 13-10 victory against PIT. Thompson-Robinson, the new QB for the Browns, completed 24/43 for 165 yards with 0TD's & 1 INT. Meanwhile, the Broncos grabbed a HUGE W over Minnesota with a final score of 21-20. Russell Wilson, was impressive. His performance included 259 PAYDS on 27/35 attempts (77%), he also threw 1 TD, 0 INT's. Clearly the better QB in this matchup. We now get Wilson's season stats at 2065 passing yards, averaging 206.5 yards per game, a 69% completion rate, 19 touchdowns, 4 interceptions, 42 carries, and 232 rushing yards. I was thinking about locking the Broncos in at -2.5, then it dropped to -2, -1.5, and now I'm going to pounce.The Broncos have won four games in a row, amazingly they're now 5-5. They're in the AFC playoff conversation. (I must admit, I didn't see this turnaround coming) But hat-tip to Sean Payton. The Browns should still be the more bet on team here, and I think the Public is on them. They still have the #1 defense in the NFL. Having said that, check out the Browns' home vs. road stats. This is a different team when they travel, and they're could get torched at the LOS if they don't improve their RUN-D on the road. Javonte Williams must be excited for Sunday's game. He's got some good stats going into it: 122 carries, 473 yards, 52.6 yards per game. He's also caught 23 for 125 yards, averaging 13.9 YPG with 2 TD receptions. Some trends, Cleveland are 2-11 SU in their L13 against Denver, and are 1-7 SU in their L8 when playing on the road against the Broncos. Flip it, and Denver are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games. I'll also have a FREE play on this game's total, so check that out on my sales page or on the sites NFL free picks page. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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11-26-23 | Bucs v. Colts -2.5 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 138 h 34 m | Show | |
Colts -2.5 The Buccaneers (4-6, 2-3 away, 6-4 against the spread) are heading to Lucas Oil Stadium to face the Colts (5-5, 1-4 at home, 7-3 against the spread) this Sunday. The game kicks off at 1 p.m. ET and you can catch it on CBS. Let's take a look at the latest betting odds. For those who like to bet on the team to win outright, the moneyline shows the Buccaneers at +110 and the Colts at -130. If you prefer to bet against the spread (ATS), the Colts are favored by -1.5 points with a price of -115. The over/under (total points expected in the game) is set at 42.5. The Colts are coming off a bye week and in their last game, they managed to beat the Patriots 10-6, covering the -2 spread. On the other hand, the Buccaneers had a tough time against the San Francisco 49ers, losing 27-14 but managing to cover as 13.5-point road underdogs. Some trends, The Bucs are 1-5 SU in their L6 games, and are 1-5-1 ATS in their L7 games against Indy. On the other side, the Colts are 6-3 ATS in their L9 games, and are 4-1 ATS in their L5 played in November. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions -7.5 | 29-22 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 19 m | Show | |
Lions -7.5 Happy Thanksgiving! The Green Bay Packers (3-7, 3-6-1 ATS, 1-4 AWAY) visit the Detroit Lions (7-2, 7-2 ATS, 4-1 HOME). I just don't see an angle for GB in this one. Lions Top 10 in the NFL in PPG, TYPG, TYPP, Rushing, Passing, Completion %, QB Rating, and 4th qtr scoring. It's an uphill climb for sure for GB on Thanksgiving. Kickoff from Ford Field on November 19th will be at 1pm ET. Watch it on FOX. How are the Lions only a -7.5pt favorite in this one? Remember week 4? Lions 34-Packers 20. Lions covered the -2.5. Also on 1/8/23 Lions 20-16 over GB. Don't expect the Packers to have Aaron Jones available in this one. In past Thanksgiving years, the Lions were never feared. This year, things are completely different. Detroit comes in 8-2 on the season and has all the momentum right now after their frantic comeback against the Bears last week. Detroit scored 15 points in the final 2 minutes to complete the comeback as they are a team right now that has everything working for them. Offensively, it has all started with David Montgomery, who is setting the tone on the ground. The Lions rank 5th in the NFL on the ground, putting up 136.6 yards per game. In total, this offense is firing away, averaging 399.6 yards per game (2nd in the NFL). They control the tempo and they can build a lead here to really frustrate the Packers. Green Bay ranks near the bottom in a lot of offensive categories themselves. Overall, they're in the bottom tier in total offense, ranking 21st in the entire league. Detroit should be able to dictate a lot in this game. They're much better on both sides of the ball and their ability to find the end zone is the difference. Lions 4-0 ATS in their L4 Thursday games. Packers 1-5 L6 as a DOG, and are 2-5 ATS L7. Plus GB are 2-5 SU L7, and 1-4 SU L5 vs. Lions. Lions are 7-1 SU L8, and 8-2 L10 ATS at home. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs -2.5 | 21-17 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
Chiefs -2.5 Get ready for an exciting Monday Night Football showdown tonight! The Eagles (8-1, 5-2-2 ATS) are taking on the Chiefs (7-2, 6-3 ATS) in a Super Bowl LVII rematch. The game is set to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN Arrowhead. In the past, these two teams have faced each other five times since 2009, with the Chiefs holding a 4-1 series lead and a 4-1 ATS record. We’re on the Chiefs here in this rematch. Kansas City is the better team overall. Here are the opening lines, Eagles with a Moneyline (ML) of +120, and the Chiefs at -145 for those who prefer straight up bets. The Chiefs are also favored with a -2.5 (-115) ATS line, and the Over/Under (O/U) total points are set at 47. Both teams are well-rested for this matchup. The Chiefs are coming off a bye week after a 21-14 victory over the Dolphins in Germany, while the Eagles, also enjoying a bye, are riding a three-game winning streak, most recently defeating NFC East rival Dallas 28-23 in Week 9. Chiefs enter this one allowing 15.9PPG (3rd in NFL). Eagles allow 28PPG (29th) Chiefs second in sacks and will be coming after Hurts all night long. KC have always been known for their offensive production under Mahomes, but now they’re getting defensive performances here in 2023. They’re forcing turnovers and not allowing anything easy for the opposition. Kansas City will also have this home crowd to feed off of. Arrowhead is going to be loud and it’ll give the Chiefs a lot of energy to work with. Mahomes will utilize a lot of different receivers, which should produce some big plays down field for this Chiefs offense. Andy Reid's team hung 38 on the Eagles last year. What will they do for an encore? Some trends to note, with the Chiefs Andy Reid 15-9 ATS after a bye week, and 21-3 SU. Philadelphia are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Kansas City, and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division. On the other side Kansas City are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, 11-1 SU at home L12, and are 15-2 SU in their L17. I'm on the Chiefs MNF. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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11-19-23 | Vikings +2.5 v. Broncos | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Vikings +2.5 6-4 (6-3-1 ATS, 4-1 AWAY) Minnesota come into Denver 4-5 (3-5-1 ATS, 2-3 HOME) on SNF. Weather looks to be decent. 40F gametime temp 40% chance of rain, and 10-13mph winds. The venue is Denver's Mile High Stadium, and it will host the NFL action at 8:20pm ET on NBC. This is the first time these teams met since November 17, 2019. Back then, the Vikings won 27-23 in Minnesota. They're also ahead in their overall head-to-head matchups, 8-7.The Vikings are on a hot streak, winning their last five, including the last two with Joshua Dobbs as their quarterback. In his initial two games with Minnesota, Dobbs threw for 426 yards and scored three touchdowns. He also ran for 110 yards and found the end zone twice. Their record stands at 6-4 after a solid 27-19 victory over the Saints last week. Meanwhile, the Broncos have also been impressive, securing three consecutive wins, with their most recent being a surprising 24-22 upset against the Bills in Buffalo. Who would have expected a showdown between Russell Wilson and Joshua Dobbs at the start of the year? The opening odds favor the Broncos at -150 on the Moneyline, while the Vikings stand at +125. The point spread has the Broncos at -3 (-105), and the Over/Under is set at 41 (O: -110 | U: -110). While the Broncos are the slight favorites at home, they've had less time to prepare compared to the Vikings, having played in Buffalo on Monday night. The Vikings will be without Justin Jefferson once again, but they've managed without him for the past six weeks. Mattison should be back, as should Osborne. Minnesota has made significant strides in the past six weeks, and their aggressive blitzing under Brian Flores, the former Miami HC, has been effective. As for Russell Wilson, he's not known for handling blitzes well, and that might be a factor in this game. IN all honesty, Wilson wouldn't know a blitz if it came up and slapped him in the face...which they usually do. Trends, Minnesota are 5-0 ATS in their L5, and are 5-0 SU too, plus they're 5-0-1 ATS in their L6 on the road, and 7-2 SU vs. AFC teams L9. Denver are 6-12 SU in their L18, and 2-4 ATS L6 at home, and 2-4 ATS in their L6 in NOV. The play is the VIKINGS +2.5 on NBC's SNF. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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11-19-23 | Titans v. Jaguars -6.5 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 140 h 26 m | Show | |
Jaguars -6.5 3-6 (4-5 ATS) Tennessee Titans take on the 6-3 (6-3 ATS) Jacksonville Jaguars in AFC South action in Week 11 on Sunday at 1pm ET from EverBank Stadium. We're going to play on the JAGS in this one. The Jags were humbled last week and now they're in a full bounce back spot on Sunday. This is the perfect matchup for them to get back into rhythm. JAX was throttled by the Niners, but this Titans team is on the complete opposite side of the spectrum compared to San Francisco. The Titans managed just 6 points against the Bucs last week and they struggle mightily on the defensive end. Lawrence is going to have a field day with this secondary. Combine that here with how bad the Titans are on the road too. Tennessee will be playing their third straight on the road, where they are 0-5 this season. They've failed to cover in their last 2 games during this road stretch as well. We're backing the better team, who has a far better offense. Jacksonville has dominated the bottom tier teams in the NFL thus far in 2023. Fool me once, shame on me. Fool me twice, shame on...shame on... The Titans are not who we thought they were. The Jags made the 49ers look like Super Bowl contenders again. They've been humbled and I expect to see a much different Jags team on Sunday vs. their divisional foes. Some trends we're watching. The Titans are 1-4 ATS in their L5, plus, they're 3-13 SU in their L16, also Tennessee are 2-9 SU in their L11 against AFC teams. On the flip side, the Jags are 5-1 ATS in their L6 ,and 5-1 SU in their L6, are 7-3 SU in their L10 at home, and are 10-3 in their L13 vs. AFC south teams. Get down on the Jags on Sunday -6.5. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL O/U Play |
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11-19-23 | Chargers v. Packers +3 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 92 h 33 m | Show | |
Packers +3 Sunday Week 11 betting action and we get the (4-5, 4-5 ATS) LA Chargers coming to Green Bay to take on the Packers. (3-6, 4-5 ATS). Kickoff at Lambeau is slated for 1 p.m. ET, watch it on FOX. These two have been playing since the early 70's, but have only met 12x thru the years. (NFC/AFC) GB owns a 10-2 edge. Last matchup LAC won it, 26-11 in 2019. Last game out the Chargers lost a nail-biter to the Packers NFC north rival Lions 41-38. The Packers lost a game I picked them to win last week, going down to Pittsburgh 23-19, they couldn't cover the 3. Turnovers and terrible red-zone offense killed em. The Packers will sport their 1950s throwback Classic Uniforms this Sunday. All things considered, it should create a historic ambiance at Lambeau. Nothing like some nostalgia to get the crowd going, and fire the team up. I wasn't overly down on the Pack last week. They did put up 399 yards, and showed good fight against a Steelers team that seems to just win games no matter the circumstances.I think vs. LAC they'll finish their drives, and the run-game will click. It usually does at home. Watson will be fine, stop over-reacting cheeseheads. He's still developing, but he's coming along. The key to scoring in the red zone is to run the ball, I'm sure we'll see more of a commitment to pounding the rock vs. LAC on Sunday. Despite being 3-point underdogs at home, I expect them to cover against the Chargers. LAC have struggled, going 2-6 ATS in their last 8 matchups with the Packers, 1-7 SU in their last 8 against GB, and 1-4 SU in their last 5 visits to Lambeau. If the Packers can prevent Ekeler, Herbert, and Allen from going off all afternoon with explosive plays the Packers will come out on top. I think they'll do it. Packers have been close to a lot of INT's this year, maybe some will start getting caught! LOL. Anyways I love a home dog...Ok! I'll bite (some cheese). Back the Pack! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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11-13-23 | Broncos +7.5 v. Bills | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 34 h 23 m | Show | |
Broncos +7.5 The Broncos (3-5, Broncos 2-5-1 ATS, 1-2 AWAY) and the Buffalo Bills (5-4, 3-6 ATS, 4-0 HOME) meet on Monday in MNF at Highmark Stadium in Buffalo, NY at 8:15pm. Watch this one on ESPN. In Week 9 Denver had a BYE week to gameplan, and get healthy for this matchup. Their last game Oct. 29, was the upset W over KC 24-9 as a +7 underdog. It was actually the Broncs first underdog W since Week 8 (2022). They've won 2 in a row, and their offense was clicking, and their pass rush was a huge factor. In Week 9 we saw Buffalo play the Bengals. Buffalo took the L, which was their 5th straight loss ATS, 24-18. The early week odds for this one had the Broncos +310 and Bills -400 on the ML, and ATS we're seeing the Bills -7.5. The O/U Total is set at 46.5. This rivalry goes back to 1960. The two have played 40x and the Bills have a 23-16-1 edge. Buffalo has won the L3 vs. Denver, and 5 of the L6. Broncos have consecutive games with 145 rushing yards, and it's clear the only way they keep this one close is to chew up clock on the run game. Javonte Williams is healthy and sitting at 357 RU yds on the season. He had his best game vs. KC (27car. 85 yds, 3 rec. 13 yds 1TD). To spell him the Broncs are using Jaleel McLaughlin as a chance of pace back, and sprinkle in Perine in short yardage. With the injuries to the Bills defense the Denver run game presents a clear and present danger in this one. If RW can hit some downfield targets to Sutton, Jeudy and Mims we'll have ourselves a game. The Bills secondary is beat up, check the injury reports. On the flip side don't forget the Broncos defense kept the Chiefs out of the endzone last game, so Sean Payton could be pushing all the right buttons. Denver hasn't allowed 20+ pts in 3 straight. Allen will have to be at his best for the Bills in this one. Currently he has 18 TD passes (good), but he also has 9 INT's (bad). It all spells a Broncos cover on MNF. Buffalo are 0-5 ATS in their L5, and they're 2-6 ATS in their L8 vs. AFC Teams. On the other side, Broncos are 9-1 ATS in their L10 after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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11-12-23 | Jets v. Raiders +1.5 | 12-16 | Win | 100 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
Raiders +1.5 Late add here. I hummed and hawed about this play all day. Tonight on NBC's Sunday night football we get the 4-4 (4-3-1 ATS, 2-1 AWAY) Jets taking on the 4-5 (4-5 ATS, 3-1 HOME) Raiders. The Raiders are looking for their fourth win in their L6 games after a 30-6 takedown of the Giants in Week 9. On the other side the Jets lost 27-6 to the LA Chargers, in a game they were never in. I expect a heavy dose of Josh Jacobs and Adams here in this one. The Raiders know while the Jets have a great defense their runD is their weaker link, so lots of ball control tonight. You can't convince me that the Jets are the better team here, defensively maybe, but I think at home the Raiders just bring too much to the table. Pierce says he's going to run Jacobs a TON tonight, and I don't have any reason to argue. I can remember the Raiders/Seahawks game last year where Jacobs took over. I foresee that kind of night for him tonight. On defense the Raiders are playing aggressive, and I'm buying what they're selling led by Max Crosby. The Jets don't have the weapons to keep up here, and the Raiders should be the favorite tonight. Back Vegas tonight on SNF. The Jets are 4-10 SU in their L14, and are 2-6 SU in their L8 on the road. On the other side, dating back to last year, Las Vegas are 4-2 SU in their L6 played in November. Sunday Night 8* NFL ATS Play |
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11-12-23 | Giants v. Cowboys -16.5 | 17-49 | Win | 100 | 40 h 35 m | Show | |
Cowboys -16.5 The Giants (2-7, 1-4 AWAY) and the Dallas Cowboys (5-3, 3-0 HOME) meet on Sunday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington at 4:25pm. Watch this one on FOX. In Week 9 we saw BigD lose to the Eagles 28-23, a game they really couldn't afford to lose if they want to stay in the NFC East conversation. On the other side the Giants were once again blown out. This time by the cigar smoking Las Vegas Raiders who are suddenly relevant again. The score was 30-6. To add insult to injury the Giants lost their starting QB Daniel Jones to a season ending leg injury. A quick google search to find out how many times we've seen teams cover a 16pt spread in an NFL games tells me 6x since 2019. That's 67%. I like my chances just based off of that. I'm a Cowboys DST fantasy football owner and I'm absolutely salivating this week at the thought of this defense going up against Danny DeVito...err, I mean Tommy Devito. Dallas has won 9 of the L10 vs. NYG, and have already played them 1x this year. Week 1, and the final score was 40-0. They covered the 3. The Giants have lost 6 of their L7, and have only scored 8 TD's in 9 games this year. This is a big number, sure, but worth backing here. Offensively Prescott is also in a good stride right now. He's been putting up big numbers and moving the ball with ease. The Giants defense ranks near the bottom in a lot of defensive categories and are going to have their hands full here. This game could get out of hand if Dallas keeps their foot on the gas, which I anticipate they will. Dallas has the 3rd best scoring offense 27.5 PPG, and 6th best scoring defense (18.5 PPG). I'm expecting offense in this one by Dallas, and lots of it. The Giants are 2-7-1 ATS in their L10, and are 1-4 ATS in their L5 vs. Dallas. On the other side Dallas are 12-6 SU in their L18, and are 11-0 SU in their L11 at home. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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11-12-23 | Packers +3.5 v. Steelers | 19-23 | Loss | -115 | 42 h 30 m | Show | |
Packers +3.5 Green Bay (3-5, 4-4 ATS, 1-3 AWAY) and Pittsburgh (5-3, 5-3 ATS, 3-2 HOME) will get it on in a Week 10 game Sunday. Kickoff at Acrisure Stadium will be at 1 pm ET. Series history has the Packers leading 20-16. Their last meeting was Oct 3, 2021, a Steelers 27-17 win in Green Bay. Last week Packers 20-3 over the Rams. Steelers 20-16 over Tennessee. This is too many points, in this spot. The Steelers have been on the fortunate end many times so far despite being outgained and honestly outplayed most of the time. Still, they're finding ways to win and they come in in the midst of a AFC North battle. However, the value sits with Green Bay here in this one. The Packers come in with momentum (Love 76.9% on 20/26 passing) after dominating the Rams from start to finish last week. This has been a season so far of ups and downs for the Packers, but they have shown signs of life throughout on the offensive side. Jordan Love has the ability to make a big play and he will be the difference maker here. Look for him to make timely plays and sustain drives for Green Bay, keeping this Steelers offense off the field. I simply trust the Packers more here. AND, I trust their defense too. Packers RUN-D of late have held opponents to only 2.3 YPC (57 rush. 130yds) in their L2 games. (Zero TD's too) Najee will be in tough. Both teams are battling injuries, but I think it hits the Steelers more on Sunday. The Steelers are that team that could totally do to the Packers this week, what the Packers did to the Rams last week, but with Cody Pickett leading the attack I just can't get on board. They've been outgained on total yards in EVERY game this season. Some trends, Green Bay are 4-1 ATS in their L5 vs. Steelers. Steelers 0-5 ATS in their L5 vs. NFC North teams. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play |
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11-12-23 | Titans +1.5 v. Bucs | 6-20 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 38 m | Show | |
Titans +1.5 (3-5) Tennessee Titans take on the (3-5) Tampa Bay Bucs in a Week 10 game Sunday. Kickoff at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa is at 1pm ET. Last week the Titans lost 20-16 to the Steelers in a game they had every chance to win, failing to cover as 3pt dogs. On the other side the Bucs and they're totally outcoached coaching staff with Todd Bowles lost their 4th straight 39-37 to the suddenly OK 4-4 Houston Texans. They did cover as 2.5pt dogs at least. The Titans love playing the Bucs. Over the years they've met 12x, and the Titans have won 10. The last time they met was a 27-23 Titans win on 10/27/19 in Tennessee. In 2015 the Titans won 42-14 in Tampa. They're looking for the hat-trick Sunday. we're playing the visitors here.Tampa Bay has been a rollercoaster of emotions this year. They sometimes look like they could be one of the best in the division, while other times they look lost. After Baker Mayfield made play after play last week, his defense completely let him down in a loss to Houston. The Bucs defense is just too hard to trust in this spot. They have been one of the worst in the league and they struggle slowing just about any team down. The secondary is soft, while they have been gashed by the run game too. The Titans are a balanced attack that can wear teams out. Look for them to just that here and force Tampa Bay into a hole early. The Titans are 4-1 ATS in their L5 against Tampa, are 8-1 SU in their L9 against TB, also they're 4-2 ATS in their L6 games against an opponent in the NFC. On the opposite side this week TB are 1-5 SU in their L6, and they haven't had much luck against AFC teams of late going 0-7 SU in their L7. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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11-09-23 | Panthers +3.5 v. Bears | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
Panthers +3.5 I backed the Panthers two weeks ago vs. Houston and I'm going back to the well with them on Thursday night in a matchup I feel 8* confident about. We're grabbing 3.5 points in a game I could see Carolina winning outright. The Panthers (1-7) and Bears (2-7) are set to clash in Week 10 on Thursday Night Football at Soldier Field with an 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff (Prime Video). When it comes to ATS stats, the Panthers stand at 1-6-1, while the Bears are at 3-5-1. Unfortunately, last week the Panthers couldn't ride the wave of their first win and stumbled at home, suffering a 27-13 loss to the Colts. The game took a turn for the worse as Young threw two Pick-6s, rookie errors that cost them dearly. On the other hand, the Bears faced a 24-17 L at the hands of the Saints. Justin Fields isn't cleared to play on Thursday so it will be Tyson Bagent starting again for the Bears. While Bagent may have a slight edge over Fields (arguably), his average pass completion of 6.3 yards suggests he's not tasked with much. The major concern revolves around his turnovers, with 8 (six interceptions and two lost fumbles) occurring in a mere 14 quarters of play. I also highly doubt Coach Matt Eberflus of the Bears can craft a winning strategy this week, with a record of 5-21 in Chicago and only 1-9 in close games. Frank Reich has the upper hand. In recent head-to-head matchups, the Bears have had the upper hand, winning five out of the last six encounters. The most recent meeting in 2020 saw the Bears emerge victorious with a 23-16 win in Charlotte, and their last face-off at Soldier Field in 2017 resulted in a 17-3 Bears win. Weather will be in the low 50's, no precip, and winds around 10mph. Taking a look at some key trends for this matchup, Chicago has had a tough time lately. They have a 4-12-1 ATS record in their last 17 games and a dismal 2-17 SU record in their last 19 outings. Moreover, when playing at home, they've only managed to win 1 out of their last 11 games. Back the Panthers ATS. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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11-06-23 | Chargers -3 v. Jets | 27-6 | Win | 100 | 153 h 41 m | Show | |
Chargers -3 Jets (4-3, 2-2 HOME, 4-2-1 ATS) vs. Chargers (3-4, 1-2 AWAY, 2-4-1 ATS) ATS: Jets +3, Chargers -3, O/U: 41, ML: Jets +140, Chargers -155 Last Meeting: Jets 28 Chargers 34 (11/22/20) Jets L10 - 4-6 SU, Chargers L10 5-5 SU Monday night football wraps up the week for us, and we're hoping it's been a successful weekend for you! Backing the road team here on Monday. The Chargers are entering a favorable part of their schedule, which this is the time for them to turn things up. They will see a Jets team that has been very inconsistent and is dealing with a few key injuries to their offensive line. That bodes well for us as the Jets lean on their run game to be successful. The Chargers should be able to pick apart this offensive line and get a lot of havoc in the backfield. Combine that with Justin Herbert playing better as of late and there is a lot of value on this side. Herbert has been battling a broken thumb on his non throwing hand. He's now played a few weeks with it and has the experience with it. He will have a field day with this Jets secondary and will have a lot of big plays over the top. Some trends to note, Chargers are 4-0 ATS as a road favorite of 3-10, and the Chargers are 4-1 SU in their L5 games against the Jets, and they're 4-1 SU in their L5 games when playing on the road against the Jets. The Jets are 4-9 SU in their L13 games, and are 3-8 SU in their L11 games played in November. While the Jets may have won 13-10 over the Giants are they a team that will be able to trade punches with the Chargers on MNF? (Let me answer that rhetorical ? for you) No chance in hell. The Bolts catch another break on their schedule here to get right. Last week it was a 30-13 blowout of da Bears, now they get a team that's not much better in the Jets. Expect another 300 yard game from Herbert (who says his thumb is getting better each week), plus 2-3 TD's. Ekeler will get his as well (something to the tune of 110 yards rushing and 8-9 receptions for 70-80 yards. This one could be ugly folks. Chargers -3. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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11-05-23 | Colts v. Panthers +3 | 27-13 | Loss | -115 | 125 h 23 m | Show | |
Panthers +3 Colts (3-5, 2-1 AWAY, 4-4 ATS) vs. Panthers (1-6, 1-2 HOME, 1-5-1 ATS) ATS: Colts -3, Panthers +3, O/U: 44.5, ML: Colts -150, Panthers +135 Last Meeting: Colts 38 Panthers 6 (12/22/19) Indy L10 - 4-6 SU, Panthers L10 3-7 SU I see the Panthers as the stronger team on Sunday. Carolina should be able to match up well with this Colts side on both sides of the ball. Indianapolis has been absolutely torched on the defensive end. Looking back at their last 3 games, they have allowed, 37 points to the Jags, 39 to the Browns, and then 38 last week against the Saints. They haven't slowed anyone down with the run or the pass. Carolina should have a field day with this defense. The Colts constantly give up the big play and their inability to get off the field on third down is costly. Carolina should control this one from the outset with their tempo and really have the Colts on their heels. Indianapolis has just been digging too big of holes they simply cannot get out of. Some trends to note, the Colts are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite, are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games, and are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Carolina. Carolina are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent in the AFC South, and lastly, they're 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. I had the Panthers ATS last week, and I'm going back to the well this week. Panthers +3. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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11-05-23 | Rams v. Packers -2.5 | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 141 h 38 m | Show | |
Packers -3 A nice matchup on Sunday when the Rams (3-5, 3-4 ATS, 2-2 on the road) take on the Packers (2-5, 3-4 ATS, 1-2 at home) on Nov. 5 from Lambeau Field at 1pm ET. NFL Opening odds have the Packers as +1.5pt point dogs ATS, and the O/U line has been set at 42.5. ML straight up bettors will see the Rams +145, and the Packers are at -160. I had the Cowboys -6 over the Rams on Sunday and I'm going back to the well this weekend with the Packers at home behind their rabid fan base. I'm not sure at this point of the week if Stafford will play (He's questionable as of Monday), if he does I think he'll be in quite a bit of pain. It's a 1pm ET game as well, which is always difficult for the west-coast teams. The weather will also likely be a factor this week for a nice indoor/climate controlled team playing in the elements of Wisconsin. I get it if you don't trust the Packers, but I do this week. Their defense plays well at home. Green Bay will lean on that defense here to force the Rams into some uncomfortable and long third down spots. The key for them will be to put together a lot of different blitz packages. The Packers are at their best on the defensive end when they can get into the backfield and cause a lot of havoc. That should be the case in this one as they can produce some long yardage situations and get off the field. Look for them to even force a few turnovers here. The Rams have been turning the ball over a lot more and they just don't look as sharp as they have in the past. Stafford is reeling right now and his offensive line is letting him down. Given their struggles, they haven't covered the number much either. Some trends to note, the Rams are 1-6-1 ATS in their L8 games in November, are 5-14 SU in their L19 games, are 0-9 ATS in their L9 games against the Packers, and are 0-5 ATS in their L5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay. On the other side the Packers are 7-1 in their L8 vs. NFC West teams. Back the Packers -3 on Sunday when the Rams travel to Lambeau. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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11-02-23 | Titans v. Steelers -2.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 56 h 24 m | Show | |
Steelers -2.5 Titans (3-4, 0-3 AWAY, 4-3 ATS) vs. Steelers (4-3, 2-2 HOME, 4-3 ATS) ATS: Steelers -2.5, Titans +2.5, O/U: 36.5, ML: Titans +130, Steelers -150 Last Meeting: Steelers 19 Titans 13 (12/19/21) Titans L10 - 5-5 SU, Steelers L10 7-3 SU I see the Steelers being the team to back on Thursday Night Football. I'm delivering a win to you "via Amazon Prime!" (See what I did there? LOL) The Titans will be without Tannehill once again and this Pittsburgh defense is going to blitz all night long in this one. The Steelers defense is one of the best, led by TJ Watt, who loves to cause a lot of havoc in the backfield. They'll get a look at Will Levis here, who does come in off a good start. Still, Pittsburgh defense is 2nd in the NFL in takeaways this season. They are going to put together a lot of different blitz packages and have Levis on tilt here. The advantage its with the home side in this one as they should control the tempo on both sides of the ball. Some trends to note, Pittsburgh are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games, and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss, plus, they're 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. On the other side the Titans are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games, and are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Pittsburgh. While they may have found their QB of the future I'm not impressed with the Titans overall. I just don't think the Titans are a very good football team. Steelers -2.5. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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10-30-23 | Raiders v. Lions -8 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 169 h 21 m | Show | |
LIONS -8 Locking this in early. I expect the line to move UP TO -9 or -9.5 as the weak moves on. (I could be wrong, and I was wrong. LOL) Tonight, it's Monday Night Football in Week 8 as the Raiders (3-4) take on the Lions (5-2) at Ford Field, with an 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff on ABC/ESPN. For those looking to bet straight up, the odds stand at Raiders +300 and Lions -375. If you prefer the point spread, the Lions are favored by -7.5 (-115), and the Over/Under total is set at 44.5. In their last outing, the Raiders suffered a brutal defeat, losing 30-12 to the Bears in a game that was completely one-sided. They failed to cover the spread as a 2.5-point road favorite. On the other hand, Detroit had a tough time too, experiencing their worst loss of the season, a 38-6 drubbing at the hands of the Ravens, failing to cover as 3-point underdogs. Tonight we're in a nice bounce back spot on the Lions. They are here to put last week behind them as they were throttled by the Ravens. They still have had a lot of success thus far and still have far more confidence heading into play here. The Raiders had just 235 yards in their loss to Chicago, a game in which their struggles came on both sides of the ball. Las Vegas has just been far too inconsistent to trust. The Lions should be able to move the ball on them and put together some solid drives early in this one. Look for the Lions to stake themselves out to a lead and have this Raiders team in an uncomfortable spot. Some trends to note, Vegas are 2-4 ATS in their L6 games, and they're 3-7 SU in their L10 games. They're also 1-5 ATS in their L6 games on the road. On the other side, Detroit are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games, and they're 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games at home. Back the Lions at home on MNF. Jimmy G or not (he'll play), this is a double-digit win for the Lions who get back on track. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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10-29-23 | Ravens v. Cardinals +9 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 87 h 1 m | Show | |
Cardinals +9 In Week 8, the Ravens (5-2, 5-2 ATS) hit the road to face the Cardinals (1-6, 3-4 ATS). The game kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, and on TV on CBS. When it comes to NFL Week 8 betting odds, the Moneyline shows the Ravens at -400 and the Cardinals at +325. Additionally, the ATS line is set at Ravens -8.5, and the Over/Under (O/U) stands at 44.5 points. The Cardinals suffered a 20-10 loss on the road against Seattle, entering this matchup as 10-point underdogs. On the other hand, the Ravens are riding high with two consecutive victories, the most recent being a 38-6 home W against Detroit. Hold your nose on this one. The Cards are the move here though as this is an interesting spot. Baltimore caught all the attention after their throttling last week against the Lions. Baltimore looked like they were a top team in the entire league, dominating on both sides of the ball. This is a bit of a trap spot. Everyone will see this and look at the 1-6 Cards and think it's an easy win for the Ravens. But this is a big let down spot. Arizona went toe to toe with the Seahawks last week in a low scoring game. Arizona can lean on their defense here and try to force some long yardage situations for this Ravens offense. If they can sustain drives offensively and slow the tempo down, they'll have this Ravens team frustrated. We're playing this to be a low scoring game and for it to be close throughout. Weather won't be a factor. A trend to note, Baltimore are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against Arizona, also, Arizona is winning the turnover differential here at +1. The Ravens are -3. So there's that. HOME DOGS FTW. Back the Desert Dogs on Sunday. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play |
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10-29-23 | Rams v. Cowboys -6 | 20-43 | Win | 100 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
Cowboys -6 Sunday, it's the Rams (3-4, 4-2-1 ATS) versus the Cowboys (4-2, 4-2 ATS). The game will start at 1:00 PM ET in Arlington, TX, at AT&T Stadium. You can watch it on FOX. In their previous games, the Rams lost 24-17 to the Steelers, and the Cowboys beat the Chargers 20-17. The latest betting odds are as follows: Cowboys are favored to win with a Moneyline of -276, while the Rams have a Moneyline of +224. The Cowboys are also favored by -6 on the Spread, and the Total points O/U is set at 45.5. Dallas is the move here. The Cowboys have found some consistency and now they return home where they have played just twice this year. Typically, the Cowboys have had success in the past at home and now they will see a string of games where most will be inside this building. This Dallas side will lean on their defense. They rank third in the NFL in total defense, allowing just 288.7 yards per game. They should be able to have the Rams on their heels, as they love to put together a lot of different blitz packages. Look for them to force Los Angeles into some long yardage situations and get off the field on third down. When these two teams have faced off before, the Cowboys have won 15 times in regular-season games and 4 times in the playoffs, while the Rams have won 13 regular-season games and lost 5 playoff games against them. The Cowboys are averaging 25.67PPG, the Rams 22.14PPG. The Cowboys only allow 16PPG, the Rams 20PPG. Cowboys are 6-4 vs. the Rams in the L10 averaging 28PPG to LAR's 20PPG in those L10 games. Some trends to note, Rams are 5-13 SU in their L18 games, and are 1-4 ATS in their L5 games when playing on the road against Dallas. On the other side Dallas are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games, are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games, and lastly they're 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home. I'm on the Boys on Sunday -6. They'll win this by 10+. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers +3.5 | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 44 h 32 m | Show | |
Panthers +3.5 On Sunday, the Texans (3-3, 4-2 ATS) will face off against the Panthers (0-6, 0-5-1 ATS) in a game that features rookie quarterbacks C.J. Stroud and Bryce Young. The matchup will take place at 1:00 PM ET at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC and will be broadcast on FOX. The Panthers are coming into this game after a bye week, following a 42-21 loss to the Dolphins in Week 6. Meanwhile, Houston also had a bye week and are coming off a 20-13 W over the Saints. In terms of odds, the Texans are favored with a -185 Moneyline (straight up odds), while the Panthers stand at +150. The Texans are also favored by 3.5 points against the spread (ATS), and the over/under (total points) is set at 43.5. The Panthers are looking to right this ship and find the win column. This is the perfect matchup as they take on a Texans team that isn't overpowering by any means. Carolina can find success here on both sides of the ball. The Texans rank 25th in the NFL on the ground, as they have been extremely inconsistent. The lack of rushing attack will play into the Panthers favor here, as they know Houston will have a tough time moving the ball. Look for this game to be a grind it out kind of one, where the Panthers will have to sustain drives and keep this offense on the field. With two similar styles, it should be close throughout here. Carolina has still exceeded 20 points on three different occasions this year, so they can put their share of points up. Weather won't be a factor. The Texans come in averaging 22.5PPG, Carolina 18PPG. The Texans allow 18PPG, and the Panthers 31PPG. I'm backing Bryce Young to be the better of the two rookie QB's this week. A new play caller during the bye week is the medicine he needed. The Panthers however are a top 10 team in the Redzone. So, they've got that going for them. Looking at their past encounters, these two haven't faced each other often. The Panthers hold a 4-2 all-time record against Houston, with a 1-1 record at home and they're also 3-1 away. Some trends to note, Houston are 5-13 SU in their L18 games, and they're 1-4 ATS in their L5 games against Carolina. On the other side the Panthers are 4-0-1 ATS in their L5 games as a home underdog of 0.5 to 3, and finally they're 10-1 SU in their L11 games against an opponent in the AFC South. Carolina could win this outright and get off the schneid. Take the Panthers on Sunday and grab the points. (All of em') Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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10-26-23 | Bucs v. Bills -9 | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
Bills -9 In Week 8, it's the Buccaneers (3-3) versus the Bills (4-3) on Amazon's TNF. They'll be facing off at Highmark Stadium in Buffalo, NY, with kickoff set for 8:15pm ET. The Moneyline (ML) offers the Bucs at +320 and the Bills at -405 for those who prefer straight up bets. ATS lines, the Bills are favored by -9, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set between 42.5 up to 43.5. Last games for each saw Buffalo suffer a 29-25 defeat on the road against the Patriots, while the Bucs had a disappointing 16-13 loss to the Falcons. Weather won't be a factor. Game time temps call for low 70's, and no rain. For starters the Bucs can't run the ball, so that makes them 1-dimensional. Buffalo, while banged up should be licking their chops to come after Baker on Thursday in Full Old School Buffalo Blitzkrieg mode. (Is Bruce Smith available?) Baker is going to have to go full on check-down Baker to move the ball on Thursday night. The Bucs have lost 3 of 4 and this could be one of the last times we see Baker Mayfield at QB. *YES* it's that bad! Check out their injury report. They can't run the ball (as I said) as it is, now they have O-lineman missing games (likely 2), and their best defensive player Vita Vea is a possible GTD. The Bills are a top 15 team in the NFL in both Passing and Rushing, and they're #2 in points scored. Allen is having a solid season, currently 5th in the NFL for passing yards with 1,841 in 7 games. Averaging 263YPG with a 70% completion rate. He also has tossed 15 TD's to only 7 INT's. (3 weren't his fault) These are numbers Baker just can't touch, and there's just no way TB can keep up with Buffalo on the scoreboard. Some trends to note, Buffalo are 12-4 SU in their L16 games, and they're 15-3 SU in their L18 games at home. On the other side TB are 4-10 ATS in their L14 games, and are 0-6 ATS in their L6 games against AFC teams. Bills win by 12+. We're backing the Bills ATS on Thursday Night Football. Good Luck, Razor Ray. TNF 8* NFL ATS Play |
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10-22-23 | Dolphins v. Eagles -3 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Eagles -3 Tonight on Sunday Night Football, two former Alabama Crimson Tide teammates, Tagovailoa and Hurts, meet for the first time in their NFL careers. The Dolphins (5-1, 5-1 ATS) clash with the Eagles (5-1, 3-2-1 ATS) at 8:20 PM ET in Lincoln Financial Field, airing on NBC. Philadelphia is favored at -1.5 ATS, while for straight-up bettors, Miami offers +109, and Philadelphia stands at -133 on the ML. As for the NFL Betting Total, it's set at O/U 52. We’re backing the Eagles on Sunday night football. Miami’s defense has had its issues and they will have their hands full with this Phili attack. Philadelphia welcomes in the Dolphins and it’s always tough to go into Phili and come out with a win. The Eagles are in a full bounce back spot too. They were upset by the Jets last week and we’ve seen this team rarely let losses pile up. This is a game where they can feed off the home crowd, at night. Look for the Eagles to open the playbook early too, knowing they have to find momentum to erase last week. This offense can strike in so many different ways and they’re worth playing here. The Eagles are 12-1 in games played in Sept/Oct the L2 years, which is of course the best record over that time in the NFL. The loss? Was to the Jets (last week). Weather won't trouble the Eagles, but it might be a tad chilly for Miami with a forecasted 10mph wind and game-time temperatures between 45-50°F. Some trends to note, Miami are 2-6 ATS in their L8 games against Philadelphia. On the other side, Philadelphia are 5-1 SU in their L6 games, and are 4-1 SU in their L5 games at home, and they're 10-4 ATS in their L14 games against an opponent in the AFC East. Back the Eagles to cover the 3 on SNF. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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10-22-23 | Steelers v. Rams -3 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 125 h 29 m | Show | |
Rams -3 The Steelers (3-2, 3-2 ATS) take on the Rams (3-3, 4-1-1 ATS) this Sunday at SoFi Stadium in NFL Week 7 action. Kickoff is at 4:05 p.m. EST, and you can watch it on FOX. In the NFL Week 7 odds, the Rams are favored by 3.5 points over the Steelers. The moneyline odds show the Rams at -175 and the Steelers at +145. The total points for the game are set at 42.5. The Rams have value here, at home. Los Angeles comes in after beating down the Cardinals last week. They were able to pick up yards in chunks and really had Arizona on their heels early. On the other side, Pittsburgh has been atrocious offensively. They rank 27th in yards per play and 32nd in red zone offense. They have had so many issues top to bottom even just moving the ball. This is going to be another game where they struggle to get anything going. Look for the Rams to blitz all night long and really put Pickett in some trouble. The Steelers had a bye week in NFL Week 6, while the Rams are coming off a solid 26-9 win against the Arizona Cardinals. These teams have clashed 27 times in their history, including one playoff game. The Steelers have won 10 times, the Rams 15, and they've tied twice. Some trends to note, the Steelers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA. The Rams are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games, are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home. Plus if you like this sort of trend the Rams are 5-0 SU in their L5 games played in week 7. The Steelers don't have an answer for Kupp, and he can win this one by himself. Back the Rams to take down the Steel Curtain on Sunday. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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10-22-23 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -7.5 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 48 h 12 m | Show | |
Seahawks -7.5 Sunday the Cardinals (1-5 SU, 3-3 ATS) will be going head-to-head with the Seahawks (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) at 4:05 ET at Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington. The current Week 7 ATS Betting Lines lean in favor of Seattle, with a spread ranging from -7.5 to -8 points. When it comes to the NFL Moneyline Odds, Arizona stands at +300, Seattle -385. The NFL Betting Total is set at O/U 44.5. Both teams faced losses in Week 6, as the Seahawks fell 17-13 to the Bengals, and the Cardinals suffered a 26-9 loss to the Rams. We’re on the Seahawks, laying the number. Seattle is just far better than Arizona. The Cardinals come in with 3 straight losses in games they didn’t have any sort of chance in. Defensively they rank near the bottom in almost every category and they haven’t been able to slow anyone down. Seattle is in the midst of looking to rebound after dropping a tough one to the Bengals last week. Prior to that they had won 3 in a row themselves and they should be able to dictate a lot in this game. Look for them to control the possession clock and sustain drives, which should open up passing lanes for Smith to find Lockett (who I expect to have a big game), & Metcalf down field all day. I also think the run game with Charbonnet and Walker III will run up the stats in this one. Some trends to note, Arizona are 1-12 SU in their last 13 games., and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Seattle, finally they're 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against the Seahawks. A deeper dive into their history reveals that the Seahawks and Cardinals have clashed 48 times, with Seattle winning 25 games, the Cardinals 22, and a tie. Last year, they met twice, with the Seahawks prevailing in both matchups by a 10-point margin each time. Sunday weather shouldn't be a factor, mid 50's with a 25% chance of rain. (Normal for the PNW) We're backing the Seahawks by -7.5 on Sunday in Seattle. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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10-22-23 | Raiders -3 v. Bears | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 15 m | Show | |
Raiders -3 The Raiders (3-3, 3-3 ATS) will face the Bears (1-5, 1-4-1 ATS) this Sunday at Soldier Field during NFL Week 7 action. You can catch the game at 1pm ET on FOX. The betting odds give the Raiders a 3-point advantage as the favorites, with Las Vegas at -155 on the moneyline and Chicago at +130. The over/under point total is set at 38.5. In their recent games, the Raiders secured a 21-17 victory against the Patriots, while the Bears suffered a 19-13 defeat at the hands of the Vikings. We’re on the raiders here in this one. Las Vegas takes on a beaten and bruised Bears team. They will start undrafted free agent Tyson Bagent in this one. Fields continues to recover from a dislocated right thumb. The Raiders will also be on the backup train, with likely Brian Hoyer as their option. From their perspective, at least Hoyer does have a lot of NFL experience and won’t be overwhelmed in this spot. Expect them to lean on the run game here and give Hoyer some short options early when it comes to passing the ball. Defensively, they will blitz all day and try to rattled Bagent. Some trends to note, Chicago are 1-15 SU in their last 16 games, 0-10 SU in their last 10 games at home, and they're 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games. These two teams have faced off 16 times in their history, with both the Bears and the Raiders winning 8 games each. The Bears' last triumph was a 20-9 victory back in October 2021. Back the RAAAAAIIIIIIDDDDERS on Sunday. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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10-22-23 | Bills -7.5 v. Patriots | 25-29 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
Bills -7.5 In this week's NFL betting spotlight, the Bills (4-2, 3-3 ATS) will clash with the struggling Patriots (1-5, 1-5 ATS). The game is scheduled for Sunday, Oct. 22nd, with kickoff at 1:00 ET, taking place at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. As for the odds in NFL Week 7, the Bills are favored with an -7.5 to 8-point spread, -396 for the ML, while the Patriots are the underdogs at +309. The over/under is set at 41.5. The Bills are the move here. The Pats are returning home following a tough 21-17 loss in Las Vegas, aiming to reverse their fortunes. Meanwhile, the Bills are riding the momentum of a close 17-9 victory against the Giants on Sunday night. It's worth noting that the Patriots are currently on a three-game losing streak at home, and last season, the Bills had the edge with a 2-0 record in their head-to-head matchups. New England is just an absolute wreck. This team has dropped 3 in a row and they look awful on both sides of the ball. They haven’t been able to slow anyone down when it comes to the big play and offensively they just look off. Buffalo hasn’t played up to their standards either, but they’ve found ways to get timely plays when they need to. The Bills survived the Giants last week, but should find way more success here when it comes to moving the ball. Josh Allen and this offense will open things up early here, as they attempt to get their rhythm back. They’re just too powerful and have far more of an edge in this matchup. Some trends to note, Buffalo are 12-3 SU in their L15 games, 5-1 ATS in their L6 games against the Pats, and 6-1 SU in their L7 games against the Pats as well. On the other side, New England are 1-6 SU in their L7 games, and 0-6 ATS in their L6 games at home. These two teams have a storied history, having faced off 127 times, with the Patriots winning 77 times, the Bills claiming victory 49 times, and one game ending in a tie. The Bills have beaten the Patriots in 4 of the last 5 h2h. They've won by 12, 14, 30, and 12 in those 4 wins. Back the Bills in Foxboro on Sunday. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 29 m | Show | |
Saints PK (-110) @ Circa The Saints, 3-3 this season and not doing so well at 1-4-1 ATS, aim to turn things around. They kick off Week 7 in NFL action against the Jaguars, who are 4-2, just like their 4-2 ATS. This game happens on Thursday Night Football. The action starts at 8:15 p.m. ET in the Caesars Superdome, available on Amazon Prime. In the betting world, New Orleans started as -3 favorites but is now -1 or even pick'em at some sportsbooks. The over/under is 39 points, and the money line is -157 for New Orleans and +134 for Jacksonville. We’re on the Saints here, at home. Saints had a good start with two wins but hit a rough patch, losing three of the last four, including a 20-13 loss to the Texans. On the other hand, the Jaguars are on fire, with three straight wins and a solid 37-20 home victory over the Colts. Historically, the Saints have dominated the Jags, winning 5 of the last 7, including the past 4. At home, they hold a perfect 3-0 record against Jacksonville, scoring at least 38 points in their last two. This is a fade of the Jags given the health issues they’re going through right now. Jacksonville continues to battle key injuries, one of which sits with Trevor Lawrence. He has been on another level as of late, but a sprained left knee has him not only questionable, but even if he plays not close to 100%. The Saints come in 3-3 as they have leaned on their defense thus far. We’ve seen them cause so many issues with the various blitz packages they’ve put together and have been able to force turnovers. Derek Carr has been up and down, but does come in off a game where he launched for 400 yards. He’s been much more comfortable as of late and should be able to have success against this Jags secondary. Some trends to note, the Jags are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against New Orleans, and they're 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against the Saints. The Saints are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games against an opponent in the AFC South, and they're 14-6 SU in their last 20 games played in October. My money is on the Saints defense at home showing up and being the X-factor for this matchup. Update: Lawrence is officially listed as questionable, but he was optimistic on Tuesday that he would be able to play. Beathard says Lawrence "likely" plays. WE like the Saints on Thursday night football. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys -1 v. Chargers | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Cowboys -1 In NFL Week 6, the Cowboys take on the Chargers at SoFi Stadium for Monday Night Football at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Cowboys, 3-2, had a tough loss to the 49ers last week, 42-10. The Chargers, 2-2, are on a two-game winning streak after beating the Raiders on Oct. 1, following a bye week. Dallas is a slight 1.5-point favorite in the spread, with a 51-point over/under. The Cowboys have a -126 money line, while the Chargers are at +105. Dallas has the value in this spot. The Cowboys come in with some extra time to prep as it came at the right time. They were knocked around by the 49ers last week and want to erase the blowout loss. The Cowboys will be 100% laser focused on righting the ship after that embarrassment. Dallas has been one of the best teams to come back from losses. Since 2021, the Cowboys have gone 9-1 following a loss. They typically will come out with a huge purpose and not allow things to go sideways in bunches. They also see a banged up Chargers side. Justin Herbert has a fractured middle finger on his non throwing hand. He will be playing but look for that to cause some issues for him. Dallas is explosive and should be able to find success against this Chargers secondary. We’re playing the Cowboys side who is better overall and will come out with something to prove, with a chip on their shoulder, and a lot of purpose early on. The Cowboys record on MNF is 50-38 .568 Win %., the Chargers record on MNF is 25-25 .500 Win %. As far as head to head records go, the Chargers and Cowboys have faced off 12 times. The Chargers won 5 games, while the Cowboys have won 7. The last game a 20-17 Cowboys win in 2021. Coincidentally that matchup did feature Prescott vs. Herbert. Some trends to note, Dallas are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games, and they're 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against the Chargers. On the other side the Chargers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games. Back the Cowboys tonight in front of a "home" crowd in LA. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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10-15-23 | Lions -3 v. Bucs | 20-6 | Win | 100 | 71 h 15 m | Show | |
Lions -3 Last week, the Lions beat the Panthers 42-24, and the Bucs, who had a week off, won against New Orleans 26-9 two weeks ago. In NFL week 6, it's the Lions (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS) against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS). They'll play at Raymond James Stadium at 4:25 pm ET, and you can catch it on FOX. The betting odds show the Lions as favorites with -3 points, while the Bucs are at +3. For the moneyline, Detroit is -165, and Tampa is +145. The total points expected are 44. Detroit is worth the move here. The Lion offense has been in great form as Jared Goff continues to be one of the best at making big plays. Goff comes in with 1265 yards and 9 touchdowns thus far. The biggest thing for him has been limiting turnovers. He has thrown just 3 interceptions as he continues to produce at a high rate. Goff continues to come up with big plays and his ability to sustain drives is one of the best in the NFL. Detroit ranks 4th in the NFL as they are averaging nearly 30 points per game and they continue to be one of the more consistent offenses. We're backing the hotter team and for Baker Mayfield to regress a bit here. Some trends to note coming soon, Detroit are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games, and they're 6-1 SU in their last 7 games, plus they're 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against the Bucs. On the other side Tampa Bay are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games at home. On Sunday I'm backing the Lions as they'll get it done vs. the Bucs in Week 6. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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10-15-23 | Seahawks +3 v. Bengals | 13-17 | Loss | -117 | 68 h 51 m | Show | |
Seahawks +3 The Seahawks are going to Ohio to play the Bengals in Week 6 this Sunday. The game is set for 1PM EDT, and it will be on CBS. The odds for the NFL match are Cincinnati -3 points on the spread, with an over/under of 44.5 points. Cincinnati is -148, while Seattle is +124. We're backing Seattle here, grabbing the points. Cincinnati has a lot of issues happening right now. Joe Burrow continues to play through a leg injury that is causing a lot of things to go wrong right now. While he has tried to step things up, this offense just isn't the same when he isn't at 100%. Seattle is going to cause a lot of issues here. They're going put together a lot of different blitz packages and try to put Burrow on edge here. This is the kind of game where they can force him into some tough situations and have him struggle early on. The Bengals win over the Cards isn't something to write home about in this spot. The Seahawks are looking healthy with the extra rest. Geno Smith is back and healthy, and Jamal Adams is returning. With the bye week, they've had extra time to prepare for Burrow and Chase. The Hawks' offense has scored 98 points in their last three games. The weather will play a role in this game, and the Seahawks have a better running game for a ground-and-pound matchup. (Walker III, and Charbonnet have looked great) Some trends to note, Seattle are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games, and they're 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against AFC teams. Cincinnati are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games. Back Seattle ATS on Sunday vs. the Bengals. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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10-15-23 | Saints v. Texans +2 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 68 h 50 m | Show | |
Texans +2 (I like +1.5 too, not as much) The Saints won big against the Patriots last week, 34-0, while the Texans lost a close one to the Falcons, 21-19. This week, it's the New Orleans Saints (3-2) vs. the Houston Texans (2-3) in NFL action for week 6. The game is set for Sunday, October 15th, 2023, at 1:00 PM (EST) at NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. You can catch it on FOX. The betting odds are: Point Spread - NO -2 / HOU +2, Moneyline - NO -125 / HOU +105, and Total - 42.5. Houston is the move here. The Texans come in 2-3, but this team has been better than this record indicates. The Saints are facing a tough schedule ahead. In Week 6, they have two consecutive road games, and if we backtrack a bit, they've had road games in four out of their last five outings. Additionally, they have some key players dealing with injuries as per the NFL injury report. One standout factor for me, aside from the Texans' running game, which I believe can find success today, is QB Stroud. This guy is a solid performer. He's currently in the Top 10 for passer rating, effectively connecting with his receiving options, and distributing the ball to his playmakers, including Dell, Woods, and Collins. What's even more impressive is his ability to protect the football, having thrown 7 TD's with ZERO INT's (He has 1461 yds passing too). Stroud is playing with a lot of confidence right now. I really like his ability to make the big play, he looks like a bonafide NFL starting QB, and that has been crucial here in 2023. Stroud and Niko Collins have been a solid connection and they should be able to find a lot of success come Sunday. The Saints defense has had a lot of issues at times and an early big play can change a lot here. Look for Houston to have their chances to steal this outright. Theyve scored 30+ points in their two wins thus far. New Orleans ranks near the bottom in a lot of offensive categories and they will struggle to put up points here. Some trends to note, New Orleans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Houston are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games, and they're 6-3 ATS in their L9 Sunday games. Back Houston ATS on Sunday vs. Nawlins. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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10-09-23 | Packers +1.5 v. Raiders | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 50 m | Show | |
Packers +1.5 It's time for Monday Night Football betting. The Las Vegas Raiders (1-3) are playing against the Green Bay Packers (2-2) on Monday, October 9, 2023, at Allegiant Stadium. The game will be held in Las Vegas, Nevada. You can bet on the Las Vegas-Green Bay spread (Las Vegas -1) or the over/under (44.5 points). If you want to bet on the winner, the Packers have odds of -103, and the Raiders have odds of -115. We’re on the Packers here, on the road. Green Bay is at the benefit of having a few extra days off, which is going to prove to be pivotal here. The Packers come in 2-2 and Jordan Love has been the biggest key for them coming into play. He’s stepped up after taking the reigns and has shown he has the ability to lead this offense. Love has tossed for 8 touchdowns so far as he continues to put up some impressive numbers. This Raiders defense is a struggle and that should help the cause here moving forward on Monday. They’ve been really bad at times slowing down the pass, which has led them to a 1-3 start. Look for Love to pick apart this secondary and put together some solid plays. We should see plenty of open passing lanes for him, resulting in some big moves down field. The Raiders have not beaten Green Bay since 1987, with the Packers winning eight times in a row. The last game was in 2019, with the Packers winning 42-20 at Lambeau Field. Some trends to note, for starters Green Bay are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games against Las Vegas, and they're 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. Las Vegas are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home, are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games, and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Grab the points. This is going to feel like a Green Bay home game, expect the majority of the stadium to be wearing Cheese Heads! Packers ATS! Good Luck, Razor Ray. MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL 9* NFL ATS Play |
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10-08-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -3.5 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 57 h 53 m | Show | |
49ers -3.5 The Cowboys (3-1, 3-1 ATS) are playing against the 49ers (4-0, 3-1 ATS) at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. The game starts at 8:20pm ET on NBC. And here are the betting odds for Week 5 in the NFL: Dallas is +3.5, and San Francisco is -3.5. You can also bet on the moneyline with Dallas at +150 and San Francisco at -186. The total is set at Over/Under 45. We’re playing San Fran on SNF. The 49ers are becoming quite the problem in the NFL. Sitting at a perfect 4-0, they come in after throttling another opponent last week as this time it was the Cardinals who were rocked. They have been able to do just about everything right so far. They’re getting long drives and coming up with timely plays, while the defense is forcing turnovers and producing key stops. This is a huge test for them but getting home field, under the lights will also be a huge help. San Fran has put up 65 points combined at home so far this year and they are picking apart defenses. Look for them to continue to do just that here, as the Cowboys will struggle to match the firepower. Some trends to note, the Cowboys are 1-4 in their L5 vs. NFC West teams. On the other side, the Niners are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games, are 16-1 SU in their last 17 games, and are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games at home. The hottest team in football? Sure, why not. The 49ers have won four games in a row. Make it five, and they cover the 3.5. Good Luck, Razor Ray. SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL 9* NFL ATS Play |
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10-08-23 | Chiefs v. Vikings +3.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Vikings +3.5 In this upcoming Sunday matchup at the U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN, NFL gamblers get (3-1, 2-2 ATS) Chiefs facing off against the (1-3, 1-2-1 ATS) Vikings at 4:25 ET. The initial betting odds have Kansas City as the favorite with a -5.5 point spread, and the Week 5 NFL Moneyline Odds stand at Kansas City -238 and Minnesota +190. The Over/Under (O/U) for this game is set at 52 points. In terms of their history between these two, the Vikings and Chiefs have clashed on 13 occasions, including one postseason game. The Chiefs have dominated with 8 victories, while the Vikings have secured 5 wins, solidifying KC's series lead at 8-5. Minnesota got into the win column last week and now they look to grab a signature win here this week against the Chiefs. Minnesota established a good run game and controlled the clock for the first time all season. After starting 0-3, the Vikings ran for 123 yards and it opened up a lot of passing lanes for Cousins. That is the key for them here once again as running the ball and sustaining drives will allow them to keep this Chiefs offense off the field. This is the kind of game where they need to frustrate Kansas City. Mixing the play calling up on both sides of the ball and putting together some blitz packages will be the ultimate factor. Look for them to try and pressure Mahomes as they simply cannot give him time to just sit back. Some trends to note, KC are 2-4 SU in their L6 games when playing on the road against MIN. On the other side Minnesota are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the AFC. The Vikes defense pitched a shutout in the second half last week, and they're going to have to take it to another level against Mahomes and Reid, I think with the home crowd behind them we can see them elevate their game 1 more notch. Expect pressure at the right time, and Minni could steal this one outright. Back the Vikings ATS. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play |
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10-08-23 | Eagles -3.5 v. Rams | 23-14 | Win | 100 | 53 h 39 m | Show | |
Eagles -3.5 This weekend, in Week 5 NFL betting, we have the Eagles (4-0, 2-1-1 ATS) facing off against the Rams (2-2, 3-0-1 ATS). The game starts at 4:05 PM ET and will be on FOX. It will take place at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles, CA. Now, let's talk about the betting odds. Philadelphia is favored by 4.5 points. The moneyline odds show Philadelphia at -213 and Los Angeles at +171. The total is set at O/U 50. Philadelphia is the move here. The Eagles are getting undervalued in this spot. Phili is a perfect 4-0 and not too many people are talking about them. They're putting together another solid offensive campaign as well. Coming into Sunday, the Eagles rank 5th in total offense. They're doing it with a balanced attack too, which is scary. They rank 2nd in the NFL in rush yards, while they're 5th overall in scoring. The Rams rank 15th in points against and their hands are going to be incredibly full come Sunday. Look for Phili to dictate the pace of play and really have the Rams on their heels from the start. Some trends to note, Philadelphia are 7-1 SU in their L8 games, 6-1 ATS in their L7 vs. the Rams, and are 9-1 SU in their L10 games on the road. For the Rams, trends point out they're 4-11 SU in their L15 games, and are 1-8 SU in their L9 games against NFC teams. The Eagles win this game. They are playing in a favorable environment for a 'road' game in the NFL. Philadelphia's running game will be strong with Swift toting the rock, and especially since the Rams defensive front 7 is not as strong as years past, even though they have Aaron Donald. My prediction is that the Eagles will win by 7-9 points. FLY EAGLES FLY! We're on the Eagles -3.5 on Sunday. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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10-08-23 | Ravens v. Steelers +4.5 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 50 h 35 m | Show | |
Steelers +4.5 Week 5 of NFL betting, the Ravens (3-1, 3-1 ATS) and the Steelers (2-2, 2-2 ATS) matchup on Sunday. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET, and televised on CBS. The game will be played at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA. When it comes to the betting odds, the Ravens are favored with -232, while the Steelers have +187 moneyline (straight up) odds. The point spread is Ravens -4.5. The total points expected in the game is 38.5. (O/U) We're backing the Steelers here as this AFC North matchup should prove to be a big one. Baltimore has a chance to send a message to the division, while the Steelers are showing they continue to find ways to win. Pittsburgh has dominated this head to head series coming into play. They've cashed in 5 of the last 6 against Baltimore and getting them here at home is a huge edge. The Steelers have proven they are such a tough team to beat at home in recent years. Pickett continues to improve as each game goes on and he has his chance here to step up in a big way. Some trends to note, Baltimore are 1-5 SU in their L6 games against the Steelers, plus they're 2-4 ATS in their L6 games against Pittsburgh. On the other side, surprisingly the Steelers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games, are 6-2 SU in their L8 games, and are 7-3 ATS in their L10 games vs. AFC North teams. I think the Steelers have a good chance in this matchup. AFC North games are often close, and even one mistake can change everything. Right now, Mike Tomlin has his team doing well protecting the ball. They've forced eight turnovers (which is fifth best in the NFL) and only committed five (13th best in the NFL). This puts the Steelers ninth in the NFL with a turnover margin of +3. Get our your Steelers towels for Sunday. We're backing Pittsburgh +4.5 vs. BAL. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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10-05-23 | Bears +6.5 v. Commanders | 40-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Bears +6.5 Tonight, it's Amazon Prime Thursday Night Football with the game set to kick off at 8:15 ET at FedEx Field. The matchup features the Bears, currently at 0-4, traveling to Landover to take on the Commanders, who sit at 2-2. The ATS odds favor Washington with a -6.5 point spread, while the Week 5 NFL Moneyline Odds show Chicago at +240 and Washington at -306. The NFL Betting Total is set at O/U 44.5 points. In Week 4 games, the Bears faced a tough loss, allowing Denver to stage a remarkable comeback, ending with a 31-28 defeat. Meanwhile, the Commanders had a closely contested game against their division rival Eagles, falling short with a final score of 34-31. We’re on the Bears here, grabbing the points. This number is too high even for this Chicago team. The Bears have been a mess this season, there is no hiding that. You would think hitting rock bottom was blowing a 21 point lead in the 2nd half last week against the Broncos. This is a redemption game as they’ll be in the national spotlight looking to grab their first win. Washington is in the midst of injuries themselves. They have some key pieces missing and come in 0-2 ATS at home. The Bears need to attack the Redskins defense thru the air. I expect a nice game from Moore tonight, he's a shifty WR who can go all over the field and cause headaches for opposing defenses. He's not an easy guy to gameplan against. The Skins Pass D is their weak link as they allow over 200 yards passing per game on average. Defensively, they have given up over 30 points in each of their last 3 games. This doesn’t bode well for a team laying points. Look for Chicago to come out with some aggression and fire here, as Fields can put this team on his back. Justin Fields needs to take his game up one more level and confidence should be high after that 335YDS & 4 TD's passing game. Some trends to note, Washington are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games, and they're also 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the NFC. I'm with the Bears ATS on TNF. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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10-02-23 | Seahawks +1.5 v. Giants | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 131 h 51 m | Show | |
Seahawks +1.5 In this week's NFL action, the Seattle Seahawks (2-1, 2-1 ATS) are set to clash with the New York Giants (1-2, 0-3 ATS) at MetLife Stadium on Monday night. The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on ABC/ESPN. Let's dive into the betting odds for the Seahawks vs. Giants matchup: Moneyline (ML) has the Seahawks at +102 and the Giants at -120, while the Giants are favored by -1.5 points against the spread (ATS). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game is set at 46.5 points. The Seahawks come into this one off of two wins in a row. Last week a 37-27 win over Carolina. The Giants had that nice comeback 2 weeks ago vs. Arizona, but last week fell to the Niners 30-12, and didn't look good. Plus, last year the Giants lost by 14 to Seattle. Seattle is the move here on MNF. The Giants have started 1-2 and realistically they should be 0-3 had it not been for a frantic comeback against a bad Cardinals team. New York was throttled last week by the 49ers and will come in here with confidence lacking. Seattle meanwhile is 2-1 and they put up 37 last week on the Panthers. Smith threw for nearly 300 yards and Kenneth Walker racked up a couple TDS to help the cause. The Seahawks have looked like the much better team and they have the momentum side of things going for them right now. We’re playing the hotter side that has flourished on national tv games. Pete Carroll always tends to bring out the best for these types of situations. Some trends to note, Seattle are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against NY Giants, plus they're 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against NY. On the other side the Giants are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games, are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle, plus they have no MNF luck, 0-7 SU in their last 7 games played on a Monday. We're backing the Seahawks on Monday night with Jamal Adams making his 2023 return. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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10-01-23 | Chiefs -9.5 v. Jets | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 6 m | Show | |
Chiefs -9.5 This week, the NFL Week 4 excitement unfolds on Sunday Night Football at 8:20 PM ET. It features the Chiefs (2-1, 2-1 ATS), who are the clear favorites, going on the road and facing off against the Jets (1-2, 1-2 ATS) at MetLife Stadium. As for the odds, the spread is set at Chiefs -9.5, while the moneyline shows Jets at +385 and Chiefs at -410. The total over/under for the game is 41.5. Last week the Chiefs took out the Bears 41-10, while the NY Jets lost to the Patriots 15-10. This game may break records when it comes to viewership. The Kelce brothers going at it in primetime with the whole Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce relationship stealing the spotlight in the pop culture world. One thing we know for sure is this Chiefs team is far better. They come in 2-1 and they are finding their groove now. Offensively, they come in after throwing up 41 points over the Bears and this Jets secondary has had a lot of issues to start their season. Mahomes should have a field day here and pick apart the Jets deep. Also Travis Kelce should be in store for another big game himself. The Jets struggled with guarding tight ends and it doesn't get better than Kelce. Look for him to come out and be an early target per usual, causing a lot of issues and havoc. Some trends to note, KC are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games, are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against the Jets, and are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road. On the other side the Jets are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. We're backing the Chiefs on Sunday night. Don't expect a backdoor cover here. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday Night 8* NFL ATS Play |
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10-01-23 | Steelers v. Texans +3 | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 138 h 35 m | Show | |
Texans +3 On Sunday, the Steelers will face off against the Texans at NRG Stadium in Houston. The Steelers are currently favored by 3 points. In terms of the moneyline, Pittsburgh stands at -165, whereas Houston is at +140. Additionally, the point total for the game has been set at 40.5 points. The Steelers secured a 23-18 victory over the Raiders in their NFL Week 3 matchup, while the Texans dominated their third game of the season with a commanding 37-17 win against the Jaguars. Houston comes in with momentum as they took apart the Jags in Week 3. It was a game in which they dominated in every which way, as they had Jacksonville on tilt all day long. The Texans success came from CJ Stroud, as he threw for just 10 incompletion, racking up 280 yards in the win. He will have his hands full with this Pittsburgh defense, but for the first time this season he's got the confidence right now. Stroud and Nico Collins have nice chemistry going on their end too. They've been able to connect both on short and deep passes and they aren't shy about going downfield. Houston's defense is going to have to repeat their performance as well, as Pickett has proven to be one you can fluster with a lot of different blitzes. A trend to note, Pittsburgh are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played in October. More coming soon. Backing the home dogs on Sunday. I saw enough to like from this Texans squad and we're rolling with them in Week 4. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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10-01-23 | Ravens v. Browns -2.5 | 28-3 | Loss | -115 | 99 h 24 m | Show | |
Browns -2.5 In NFL Week 4, we have an exciting matchup as the Ravens (2-1, 2-1 ATS) head to Cleveland to face the Browns (2-1, 2-1 ATS) in what promises to be a hard-fought contest. This showdown is scheduled for Sunday, October 1st, at Cleveland Browns Stadium. The odds favor the Browns by 2.5 points. On the moneyline, Cleveland is listed at -125, with Baltimore at +105. The game's point total is set at 42.5. Recapping their Week 3 performances, the Browns dominated the Titans with a convincing 27-3 victory, while the Ravens suffered a heart-wrenching overtime loss to the Colts, falling 22-19 in a game that seemed within their grasp (till it wasn't). Cleveland Browns Stadium is going to be rocking here come Sunday afternoon. Cleveland is 2-1 and Watson has the confidence back from the fans as they enter play here in the battle ffor first place in the AFC North. Defensively, Cleveland has gone from the worst last season, to one of the best here in 2023. They are forcing turnovers, producing sacks, and doing just about everything to fluster opposing offenses so far. Myles Garrett looks like the old version of himself as well, as he is just causing havoc in backfields. Watson torched the Titans in the secondary and this is going to be a game where he can put this team on his shoulders. He was brought in to win games just like this and his ability to move pockets and throw on the run will be the biggest factor in this one. Look for Cleveland to get out early and keep their foot on the gas on both sides of the ball. Some trends to note, Baltimore are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the AFC, plus they're 2-4 SU in their last 6 games, and the Ravens have not covered the spread in 5 of their last 8. The Browns are 5-2 in their L7 Sunday matchups, and were 9-8 ATS in 2022/23. Backing the Browns on Sunday in what should be your typical AFC North slugfest. Good Luck, Razor Ray Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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10-01-23 | Broncos -3 v. Bears | 31-28 | Push | 0 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
Broncos -3 The Broncos (0-3, 0-3 ATS) and Bears (0-3, 0-3 ATS) are set to clash on Sunday at Soldier Field in Chicago, with kickoff scheduled for 1pm ET and the game televised on CBS. In the betting arena, the Broncos are currently -3.5 point favorites, a shift from the initial line which favored Denver by -2. Their money line stands at -170, while the Bears are at +142. The over/under total opened at 44 but has since risen to 46.5. We're on Denver here, as they look to bounce back in a big way. They obviously didn't take the loss lightly and should come out with a lot of fire. Both teams are coming off disheartening defeats in Week 3, the Broncos are reeling from a humiliating 70-20 loss to the Dolphins, while the Bears suffered a similar blow, succumbing to the Chiefs with a painful 41-10 scoreline. Regrettably, there is little positivity to glean from the defensive performances of both Denver and Chicago. But Chicago is worse, and now they face a former Super Bowl winner, who is past is prime in my opinion, but who is still having an OK 2023. Looking at the season statistics, Russell Wilson boasts a 65% completion rate, 791 passing yards, 6 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions, numbers that are actually quite commendable given the circumstances. The Broncos invested a lot into Russell Wilson when they brought him in from Seattle. Wilson has yet to live up to any potential and now is the time for him to step up for starters. He's shown some signs this season, but this is the exact case where he has to put the team on his back. Combine that with this defense having to step up. Letting up that many points in an NFL game is atrocious enough. They are going to come out with some fire and look to put together some different blitz packages. Expect some turnovers to be forced as they know they have to redeem themselves here. Some trends to note, Chicago are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games, and they're 0-10 SU in their last 10 games, plus they're 0-8 SU in their last 8 games at home. Back the road team on Sunday. It's going to be ugly. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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10-01-23 | Falcons v. Jaguars -3 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 96 h 44 m | Show | |
Jaguars -3 Bangers & Mash, and Fish & Chips time as the Jaguars annual game in London England goes off this week in NFL Week 4 action. From Wembley Stadium in London, UK the Falcons (2-1, 1-2 ATS) are facing off against the Jaguars (1-2, 1-2 ATS). The Jaguars are currently the favorites to win, with the odds showing a -3 spread, a -150 moneyline, and the Falcons at +125. The over/under for the game is set at 43.5 points. Looking back at their Week 3 performances, the Falcons had a tough time covering the 3-point spread as they lost 20-6 to the Detroit Lions. Meanwhile, the Jaguars also struggled, suffering a 37-17 blowout loss to the Houston Texans and failing to cover the spread. Jacksonville knew they were going to have some growing pains with this young offensive core. They also know that the same young core has to come up here and turn things around in London on Sunday. It all starts with QB Trevor Lawrence. He has just one touchdown pass in the last two games, but this is a Falcons defense that has struggled. Lawrence can pick apart this secondary and put together a good game plan here, with the Jags taking some shots down field. This is also a game where the Jags defense can get off the field on third downs. Atlanta had all the troubles in the world moving the ball last week. They've been far too inconsistent at times and it's going to catch up with them even more as this season goes on. The Jags are much better overall and should be able to find their footing early. Some trends to note, Atlanta are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games, and are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games on the road. Jacksonville are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. This will be the Jags 10th game in London, they're actually 4-5, but 1-1 L2. We're backing the Jags in London (UK) on Sunday morning. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play |
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09-28-23 | Lions v. Packers +2 | 34-20 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 3 m | Show | |
Packers +2 The Lions will face the Packers at Lambeau Field in the weekly Amazon Prime Video showdown game. It's a Thursday Night Football clash, and both teams enter the game with a 2-1 season record. Here are the latest NFL odds: Moneyline: Lions -120, Packers +100 Spread: Lions -2, Total: 44.5 points. The Packers had a crazy comeback in Week 3 coming back from a 3 score deficit vs. the Saints. While the Lions took down the Falcons in a bounce-back win for them at home. This promises to be a good ole NFC North clash this week. Jordan Love had some big shoes to fill with Aaron Rodgers departing. He's shown he's capable of doing it thus far. The Packers come in 2-1 as they have been doing a lot of thing right here to kick of their season. Love has led this offense to putting up some big numbers and they're getting timely big plays from him. That's been the key as they are putting up 26.7 points per game thus far. Look for him to have success against the Lions secondary, who has struggled at times here in 2023. This is a good matchup for the Packers, who are always tough to beat at home. Some trends to note, Detroit are 4-16 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Green Bay. Green Bay are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games at home, also they're 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games, and finally they're 6-2 SU in their last 8 games. We're on the Packers +2 as home dogs vs. the Lions on Thursday night. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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09-25-23 | Rams +2 v. Bengals | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Rams +2 We're locking this in prior to learning about Burrow. The Rams are worth a move here. The MNF game starts at 8:15 p.m. ET, and the Bengals are two-point favorites, with an over/under of 43.5 for total points scored. The Bengals aim for their first win this season against the Rams on MNF, with a potential Joe Burrow appearance despite a calf injury. If he plays, he won't be at full strength. Matthew Stafford, along with Kirk Cousins, has thrown for 300+ yards in both of the season's opening weeks, showcasing what the Rams offense could be about in 2023 with or without Cooper Kupp. His top weapon is Puca Nacua. In his first two career games, Nacua has been on fire, securing 25 catches out of 35 targets for 266 yards. At RB the Rams are leaning on 2nd year back Kyren Williams. He has four touchdowns this season (three rushing, one receiving) and basically forced McVay to make a team-decision and send Akers to Minni. The Rams are no pushover either. Stafford is playing well out of the gates and they’re 1-1 after falling just short to a good 49ers team. The Bengals start to the season has been a mess. They’re 0-2 and have dealt with so many injuries already. Obviously Burrow is the biggest one in question as he continues to battle an injury sustained in the off-season. It’s led to a lot of struggles offensively for the Cinci side. The pressure is mounting as well from the fan base heading into play. Burrow's injury is the main reason for a 4.5-point point spread drop, but the Rams have exceeded expectations this season. If Burrow can't play (likely), undrafted Jake Browning, who's never thrown an NFL pass, steps in. Aaron Donald and the Rams defense will be pinning their ears back. The Rams boast an impressive 25.5% pressure rate, and have always been good at getting after the QB. Some trends to note, the Rams are 2-0 ATS this season, and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, and they're 16-4 SU in their last 20 games played in September. On the other side Cincinnati are 1-5 ATS in their L6 games, and they're 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the NFC West. We're on the Rams +2 regardless of if Burrow plays or not! They're going to blitz all night long. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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09-25-23 | Eagles v. Bucs +5 | 25-11 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Bucs +5 Kickoff is at 7:15 p.m. ET, with Philadelphia favored by 5 points and an over/under of 45. The Eagles seek a second consecutive 3-0 start against the Buccaneers on Monday Night Football in Week 3. Philadelphia (2-0) hasn't achieved this since 1992-93. The Buccaneers (2-0) aim to win their first three games for the fifth time in franchise history, last doing so in 2005. We’re on the Bucs here, with the points. Tampa Bay has surprised through the first two games as they have seen Baker Mayfield come out of the gates firing away. He’s playing with a chip on his shoulder and doing it with some stellar play. He’s got this Bucs offense moving the ball and him and Mike Evans are playing at a top level. This is a game where they’re going to be tested, but can prove a lot. This will come down to the offense sustaining drives and keeping the Eagles offense off the field. In the spotlight here, this is Mayfield’s chance to showcase his abilities. He boasts zero interceptions, suffered just one sack, and holds the fifth spot in NFL passer rating at 104.4. Some trends to note, Philadelphia are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in week 3, and the Bucs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games. Also, TB are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games at home, and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played in September. We're backing the Bucs on MNF. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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09-24-23 | Broncos v. Dolphins -6.5 | 20-70 | Win | 100 | 145 h 25 m | Show | |
Dolphins -6.5 A nice matchup Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium. The Dolphins, 2-0, are hosting the struggling Broncos, 0-2. The current betting lines on the moneyline, the Broncos are listed at +240, while the Dolphins stand at -300. In terms of the spread, the Broncos are getting +7 points, while the Dolphins are giving up 7 points. Additionally, the over/under is set at 46.5 points. Miami looks like a team that can put together a lot here in 2023. They come in 2-0 after winning on SNF in New England last week. Offensively, Tua has been dynamite and has this Dolphins side putting together some solid drives. They're sustaining drives and keeping the ball out of the opposing teams hands which has been key. Denver has had far too many issues thus far. They have struggled on both sides of the ball and inconsistencies have killed them. This is a case where we should see Miami control the clock and put themselves into some short yardage situations. With the struggles Denver has had, they are going to be too much to overcome here against a good Miami team. Some trends to note, Denver are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against Miami, and they're 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road. Also, they're 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami. On the other side, the Fins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games, and they're 13-3 SU in their last 16 games when playing as the fav. Back the Fins ATS. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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09-24-23 | Titans +3.5 v. Browns | 3-27 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 58 m | Show | |
Titans +3.5 Sunday the Titans (1-1, 2-0 ATS) take on the Browns (1-1, 1-1 ATS) in Cleveland in NFL Week 3 action. The initial odds favor the Browns, with a 4.5-point advantage over the Titans. Cleveland sits at -225 on the moneyline, while Tennessee stands at +180. The over/under is set at 41.5 points. The Browns are looking to bounce back from a close 26-22 loss to the Steelers, while the Titans are riding high after a 27-24 victory over the Chargers. We're on the Titans here, with the points. Tennessee and Cleveland battle on Sunday afternoon as Cleveland begins life without Nick Chubb. They signed Kareem Hunt to try and fill the void, but we saw what this team looks like without their star RB last week. Watson has struggled and now all eyes are on him this week. The pressure caused a lot of issues for him against Pittsburgh and the Titans can take some out of their playbook. Look for the to put pressure on Watson all day long here. Some trends to note, the Titans are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against Cleveland, and are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland. Also, the Titans are 5-2 ATS in their L7 in September. Lastly, the Titans boasted a 4-2 ATS record in games where they entered as 3-point underdogs last season. We're backing the Titans +3.5 on Sunday. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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09-24-23 | Saints v. Packers -1 | 17-18 | Push | 0 | 50 h 15 m | Show | |
Packers -1 In one of the many 1 PM ET NFL kickoffs on Sunday afternoon, the Green Bay Packers (2-0, 2-0 ATS this year) gear up for their home opener while the New Orleans Saints (2-0, 0-1-1 ATS) face their second consecutive road challenge. This will be a great matchup from Lambeau Field. Straight up bettors will get the Saints at +105, for the Packers -125. The spread has bounced around from -2 to PK, currently its at -1. The O/U is 42.5. The Saints kicked off the Derek Carr era with a thrilling 16-15 victory against the Titans in New Orleans. In Week 2, on Monday night, they narrowly escaped the Panthers, 20-17. On the other side, the Packers had a strong start to their season with a commanding 38-20 win against division rival Bears but suffered a heartbreaking loss last week to the Falcons, falling short 25-24. While I've always been a huge fan of Derek Carr, there's something about what Jordan Love brings to the Packers that's truly exciting. In his recent performance, Love impressed by completing 14/25 for 151 yards and notching 3 TD's. He even added 23 rushing yards to his stat line. Despite the Saints' formidable defense, I can't help but think they'll struggle against the Packers this Sunday. A short week, cross-country travel, and the Lambeau effect all seem to stack the odds against them. Love's consistency is evident with 3x TD passes in both games this season, and it's promising to see rookie WR's benefiting. The Packers' WR's are stepping up, and with a bit of luck on the injury front (keep an eye on those reports), they might welcome back key players like Bakhtiari, Jones, and Watson. With one of the NFL's top offensive lines, the Packers can protect Love and neutralize the Saints' pass rush. For the Saints to have a shot on Sunday, Carr and Olave will need to elevate their play to another level. With the Saints' running back corps dealing with injuries, the run game won't be much of a threat. Some trends to note, the Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games, are also 13-5 SU in their last 18 games at home, and are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games overall. The Saints are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played in September. I'm backing the Packers -1 on Sunday. They'll get this done! Go Pack Go! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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09-18-23 | Browns v. Steelers +2 | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Steelers +2 I'm eyeing the upcoming Browns vs. Steelers matchup. The point spread favors Cleveland by -2 points, and the Over/Under is set at 38 points. In terms of the money line, Cleveland is at -132, while Pittsburgh stands at +113. We’re on the Steelers here on MNF. The Steelers were embarrassed on their home field in week 1 by the 49ers and now their rivals come into town. Pittsburgh has dominated on this field against Cleveland in the past years and hold a huge edge in this one. It’s been since 2003 since Cleveland has won a regular season game in the Steel City and Kenny Pickett will need to bounce back in a big way. He struggled the entire day and he is looking to take the next step in his career to solidify himself as the starting QB. He’s shown in his past he has plenty of talent and this Browns defense is vulnerable. Look for the Steelers to open the playbook up early as they know they need to get out of the gates much quicker. Some trends to note, Cleveland are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against Pittsburgh, they're also 3-10 SU in their last 13 games on the road, and 1-19 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against the Steelers. On the other side, Pittsburgh are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, and they're 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the AFC. It's worth noting that the Browns have struggled recently when playing as road favorites, holding a 2-8 record ATS in their L10. Back the Steelers +2 tonight. The wrong team is favored here. Good Luck, Razor Ray Monday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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09-18-23 | Saints v. Panthers +3.5 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 74 h 16 m | Show | |
Panthers +3.5 Monday night's matchup features the New Orleans Saints (1-0) facing the Carolina Panthers (0-1) at Bank of America Stadium, both NFC South teams. Carolina is a 3-point underdog with an over/under of 39.5 points. The Moneyline odds are New Orleans -165 and Carolina +140. The Saints are 3-7 ATS L10, and the Panthers are 7-3 ATS L10. They're both 0-1 ATS this year. We’re on the Panthers here on MNF. The Panthers know things have to improve and be far better than week 1. Young’s longest completion was 14 yards last week and that’s just something that can happen. It’s already been said they have to be better and open up the playbook more. They’ll do just that against a Saints team that doesn’t have a very deep secondary. Young has had plenty of success in his football career and New Orleans is vulnerable against the pass. This is the kind of game where Carolina will come out with a purpose and look to make a statement early. Expect more open plays and down field chances for Young and company. A couple earlier completions and this will be the kind of game they find their groove in. Some trends to note, New Orleans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against Carolina, are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the NFC South. On the other side Carolina are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home, and lastly they're 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing as the underdog. We're backing the Panthers +3.5. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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09-17-23 | Dolphins v. Patriots +3 | 24-17 | Loss | -129 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Patriots +3 We're on the Patriots here on SNF. The Pats dug themselves too big of a hole in Week 1 and saw their comeback fall just short in a 25-20 game. New England does match up very well here with the Dolphins in this spot. Miami won 36-34 over the Chargers in their Week 1 game, but their defense still has far too many question marks. The Pats defense is going to be far to much for this team as they are much more swarming. They produce a lot of different blitz packages that will have Tua on the run here. Some trends to note. New England are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against Miami. New England are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played in week 2. The Pats in primetime, with points is always going to be valuable. Back New England. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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09-17-23 | 49ers v. Rams +7.5 | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Rams +7.5 We're on the Rams here, grabbing the points. This is just too many points in this spot. The Rams come in after beating Seattle 30-13 as they took care of business in Week 1. Stafford threw for 334 yards and the run game opened up a lot as they'll look to do that once again here. Rookie Kyren Williams rushed for a pair of TDs as he stepped up in a big way. The 49ers dominated Pittsburgh, but this team still will be tested here. This is a case where the Rams can control the clock and keep the ball away from the 49ers offense. Some trends to note. LA Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Sunday. LA Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. Back the Rams. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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09-17-23 | Ravens +3.5 v. Bengals | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 46 h 34 m | Show | |
Ravens +3.5 This Sunday, the Bengals (0-1) take on the Ravens (1-0) at Paycor Stadium. Last season, each team had one win each, and they both had a 1-1 record ATS. The ML shows the Ravens at +140 and the Bengals at -166. The point spread leans towards the Bengals at -3, and the total points for this matchup sits at 46.5. AFC rivals meet here and we're on the Ravens. Joe Burrow looked like something was still lingering from his injury and now he has to go up against a team that plays with a lot of speed. The Ravens dominated their Week 1 matchup as Houston was dominated in every which way. Baltimore is going to take a page out of the Browns playbook and really look to blitz Burrow. Especially if there is still some sort of injury, his mobility is going to be lacking. This is a case where Baltimore can get out to an early lead and do what Cleveland did to Cinci. Continue to pound the ball and wear them down. Some trends to note, Baltimore are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, and they're 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games played in September. On the other side, Cincinnati are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Also, they're 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the AFC North. Head to head in the L10 matchups they're both 5-5 ATS. We're backing the Ravens +3.5 here on Sunday. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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09-17-23 | Chargers v. Titans +3 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Titans +3 This Sunday at 1:00 PM ET, the Chargers take on the Titans at Nissan Stadium. NFL odds: Moneyline Chargers -150, Titans +125, Spread Chargers -2.5, Titans +2.5 underdogs, O/U: 45.5. We're on the Titans +3 on Sunday when they take on the Chargers. In Week 1, we saw the Chargers defense get lit up by Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins. As an NFL bettor, I'm cautiously optimistic about the Bolts' offense, but I have my reservations, especially considering the absence of Ekeler. Additionally, it's concerning that their defense might struggle to bounce back from such a brutal start in Week 1. I'm 100% expecting Vrabel to design the offensive gameplan around Henry on Sunday, full stop! Tannehill will be better. He's not as bad as he showed in Week 1. Last year we saw the Titans lose 17-14 to the Chargers. The personnel in that game was drastically different than we'll see tomorrow. Sure the Chargers have some STUDS, (more so than Tennessee) but I'd argue Vrabel is the x-factor as the better coach! The Titans D are good against the run, and if all the Bolts can do is throw they're 1-dimensional which falls right into the Titans wheelhouse. In Week 1, the Titans' defensive squad stepped up big time, racking up an impressive 4 sacks and holding the Saints to 1TD out of 4x red zone visits. The Titans D are top notch. Some trends to note, The Chargers are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Tennessee, plus they're 1-5 SU in their last 6 games played in week 2. On the other side the Titans are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games played in September, and are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games played on a Sunday. The Titans won't go 0-2 2x seasons in a row. They'll get it done on Sunday. Back the Titans ATS. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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09-14-23 | Vikings v. Eagles -6.5 | 28-34 | Loss | -120 | 49 h 33 m | Show | |
Eagles -6.5 We’re on the Eagles here, laying the points. Philadelphia raced out to an early lead and held on in New England on Sunday evening. Hurts completed 22 of 33 passes for 170 yards, 1 TD, and 0 INT's in Sunday's 25-20 win over the Patriots. Additionally, he contributed 9 rushes for 37 yards in the win as they did just enough to start the season off 1-0. He’ll find a lot more of success against a Minnesota defense, that struggled against Baker Mayfield in Week 1. Combine that with the Vikings struggling offensively and this game has a huge edge to Phili. Even though Cousins had a solid performance, completing 33 of 44 passes for 344 yards, scoring 2TD's, he did throw 1 INT in the Vikings' 20-17 loss to the Buccaneers on Sunday. Plus, he did face some challenges, as he lost two fumbles. Both were drive killers. He's going to have a tough time with a Thursday night road matchup against the Eagles on tap. The Eagles can get out to an early lead and lean on their defense to cause a lot of problems for Cousins and company. With the Vikings run game being a mess, expect Phili to put their foot on the gas early. Some trends to note, Minnesota are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games, and are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games against Philadelphia, plus they're 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the NFC East. Phili on the other hand are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games against an opponent in the NFC, and are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games. The Eagles are 5-0 in their L5 vs. teams from the NFC North. We're on the Eagles ATS. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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09-11-23 | Bills -2 v. Jets | 16-22 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Bills -2 Last season, the Jets placed last in the AFC East at 7-10. They now have Aaron Rodgers, a future Hall of Famer, to take the reigns. The Bills won both matchups last season by scores of 20-17 and 20-12. They finished 13-3, eventually losing out in the playoffs to the Bengals. Currently, the Bills are favored by 2.5pts on the road, and the Over/Under opened at 47 but is now at 45.5. The Jets have all the hype around them. Rodgers takes the reins and he’s pushing to get this team over the hill finally. However, this is not an idea first opponent. Buffalo’s offense is obviously one of the best in the NFL. Josh Allen can pick apart secondaries and this is going to be a game where he has a lot of success. It’ll take some time on the other side to get the chemistry going. Buffalo will stack the box and blitz all night long, putting a ton of pressure on Rodgers. Some trends to note, Buffalo are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games, are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against NY Jets, and are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against the Jets. On the other side the Jets are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games, and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. We’re backing the visitors here. They’re the better team and will come out with a lot of fire. We’re on the Bills here, laying the points. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 9* NFL ATS Play Bonus Prop Bet: Josh Allen OVER 252.5 YDS Passing + Dalvin Cook OVER 52.5 YDS Rushing |