All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
05-18-24 | Thunder v. Mavs -3.5 | Top | 116-117 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 25 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* THUNDER/MAVS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Mavericks hold a 3-2 lead in the Western Conference second-round series, and I like them to cover the spread as they close out the series with a home win tonight. They're coming off a 104-92 win in OKC, and unlike many other teams, Dallas does not usually have a letdown game after a big win. Mavericks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Mavericks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games. 4* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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05-18-24 | Tigers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
5* INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Detroit Tigers opened this series with a 13-0 win Friday night. I think runs will also come at a premium for Arizona tonight, but I also think the Tigers will be struggling to put runs on the board. Before yesterday's win, Detroit had been shut out in back-to-back games, and Arizona right-hander Zac Gallen (5-2, 2.86 ERA) has allowed just one run on 10 hits over 17 innings in three home starts this year. As for Detroit starter Jack Flaherty (0-3, 3.88 ERA), the right-hander has posted an ERRA of 3.52 in four road starts and the D'Backs have scored only four runs through their last three games. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-17-24 | Knicks v. Pacers UNDER 215.5 | Top | 103-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Indiana Pacers have started to play defense, and the New York Knicks have, in turn, found ways to slow down the Pacers hectic pace. The last three games in this series have gone under the total, and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair here in Game 6 as the home team looks to fight off elimination. Under is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 5-2 in Knicks last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-17-24 | Red Sox -108 v. Cardinals | 6-10 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER I think we're getting a more than reasonable price on a Boston Red Sox team that is looking to bounce back from a pair of losses to Tampa Bay. The Red Sox are 5-1 in Brayan Bello's six starts this season, and Bello (4-1, 3.13 ERA) is 3-0 with a 2.20 ERA in his last three starts. Cardinals right-hander Kyle Gibson (2-2, 3.67 ERA) has also been pitching fairly well lately, but he's not been getting much run support, and the Cardinals are only 6-11 at home on the season. 3* PLAY ON THE RED SOX. |
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05-17-24 | Brewers v. Astros -104 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Astros are 7-1 in their last eight games and coming into this game on a five-game winning streak after coming through for us with an 8-1 win over the Oakland Athletics last night. Tonight, the Astros hand the ball to Hunter Brown (0-4, 7.79 ERA), who is better than his numbers so far would suggest. It's only a matter of time before he finds his groove, and I like the price we get on the Astros to pick up another win tonight. 4* PLAY ON THE ASTROS. |
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05-16-24 | Nuggets +115 v. Wolves | Top | 70-115 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Denver Nuggets lost the series' first two games, but they have since shown the kind of pedigree that defines champions. The Minnesota Timberwolves must be devastated after letting a 2-0 lead slip away, and I don't think they'll have an answer tonight either. The Wolves have a lot of talent, and they'll be a force to be reckoned with for seasons to come, but this is not their time. I don't think we need the points so I'm happy to take Denver at plus-money. Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. 5* PLAY ON THE NUGGETS. |
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05-16-24 | A's v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Astros are 6-1 in their last seven games and covered the runline in four of those wins. I don't think they'll have any intentions of slowing down as they're just heating up following a slow start to the year, and tonight they'll face a right-hander in Joey Estes who has only three MLB starts under his belt. Houston counters with Cristian Javier (2-1, 4.01 ERA) who had allowed only four runs over 23 innings in five starts before giving up seven in 1 1/3 innings in Detroit his last time out. The A's do not have the bats to do anywhere close to that kind of damage. 4* PLAY ON THE HOUSTON ASTROS -1.5. |
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05-16-24 | Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
5* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Boston Red Sox are 8-0 to the under in their last eight games and the Tampa Bay Rays have seen their last three games go under the closing total. Rays righty Zack Littell (2-2, 3.02 ERA) and Boston right-hander Cooper Criswell (2-1, 2.10 ERA) are both coming in hot and I think runs will come at a premium for both teams in this matchup. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-15-24 | Mavs v. Thunder -4 | 104-92 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MAVS/THUNDER NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Oklahoma City Thunder tied the series with a 100-96 win in Dallas Monday night. With two potential home games in what is now a best of three series they're back in the drivers seat. They're 36-9 at home for the season and I think they'll make the most of their homecourt advantage tonight. Thunder are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. Thunder are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 3* PLAY ON THE THUNDER. |
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05-15-24 | Mavs v. Thunder UNDER 213 | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MAVS/THUNDER TOTAL The Oklahoma City Thunder tied the series with a 100-96 win in Dallas Monday night. With two potential home games in what is now a best of three series they're back in the drivers seat. They're 36-9 at home for the season and I think they'll make the most of their homecourt advantage tonight. Thunder are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. Thunder are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. In addition the Thunder to win and cover the spread, I also like the under. Under is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 overall.Under is 45-22 in Mavericks last 67 overall. Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as a road underdog. 3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-15-24 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -140 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB MONEYLINE TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Cincinnati Reds are only 2-8 in their last 10 games and left-hander Andrew Abbott has posted an ERA of 4.70 through his last three starts while Arizona right-hander Brandon Pfaadt has posted an ERA of 2.93 through his last three starts. Additionally, it's worth noting that Arizona is batting .302 while averaging 7.2 R/9 against left-handers. 4* PLAY ON THE DIAMONDBACKS. |
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05-14-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets -4 | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
MIKE'S WOLVES/NUGGETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Minnesota Timberwolves must be devasted after dropping back-to-back games to the Nuggets, and now they head back to Denver with the series tied at two apiece. The Nuggets have shown the attitude worthy of a reigning champion, and I think they'll roll over Minnesota in Game 5 at Ball Arena on Tuesday night. Minnesota has a lot of talent but we have yet to see how their young stars deal with adversity. 3* PLAY ON THE NUGGETS. |
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05-14-24 | Pacers v. Knicks -135 | 91-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PACERS/KNICKS NBA BOOKIE BLA$TER The home team has won each of the first four games in the series, and that trend is likely to continue in Game 5 in New York on Tuesday night. Knickerbockers' OG Anunoby has missed the last two games with a left hamstring injury, and while he's listed as questionable for tonight's matchup, I like the Knicks with or without Anunoby on the floor. 3* PLAY ON THE KNICKS. |
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05-13-24 | Thunder +105 v. Mavs | 100-96 | Win | 105 | 17 h 3 m | Show | |
MIKE'S THUNDER/MAVS G4 NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Oklahoma City Thunder have dropped back-to-back games since clinching the series' opener. Game 3 was a close affair that either team could have won, and OKC is now in desperate need of a win. Luka Doncic is putting up solid numbers as per usual, but he's visibly banged up and more so for each game. I think the No. seed in the West will show up and come through for us here in Game 4 Monday night. 3* PLAY ON THE THUNDER. |
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05-13-24 | Marlins v. Tigers -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB RUNLINE TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Detroit Tigers have cooled off following a hot start to the year. They are only 3-7 in their last 10 games after taking a 9-3 loss to the Houston Astros on Sunday, but they have faced some tough opponents lately, and this looks like a good spot to bounce back against a Miami Marlins team that is only 11-31 on the season. Detroit right-hander Matt Manning (0-1, 4.24 ERA) has been recalled from Triple-A Toledo to fill in for Kenta Maeda, and while that's a downgrade, Manning is still a better option than Miami's Sixto Sanchez (0-1, 7.50 ERA) who has posted an ERA of 8.44 over his last three starts. Despite their recent struggles, Detroit has averaged a healthy 5.3 runs per nine innings through its last five games, and I think they'll win this game by at least a couple of runs. 4* PLAY ON THE TIGERS -1.5. |
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05-13-24 | Blue Jays v. Orioles -160 | 3-2 | Loss | -160 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE The Baltimore Orioles are coming off a 9-2 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks, but they're still 7-2 in their last nine games. Tonight, they'll hand the ball to left-hander Corbin Burnes, who has posted an ERA of 2.83 through his first eight starts with the team. The Toronto Blue Jays counter with Jose Berrios (4-3, 2.85 ERA), who gave up eight runs in a 10-1 loss to the Phillies his last time out, and he was tagged with five runs in his last start against the Orioles in August last year. 3* PLAY ON THE ORIOLES. |
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05-12-24 | Nuggets v. Wolves -2.5 | 115-107 | Loss | -112 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NUGGETS/WOLVES NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Denver Nuggets showed the heart worthy of a defending champion in their 117-90 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves Friday night, but I think the Wolves will make the proper adjustments and bounce back with a win in Game 4. They know how to beat the Nuggets and just need to execute like they did in Game 1 and 2. Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. 3* PLAY ON THE WOLVES. |
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05-12-24 | Reds v. Giants -123 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
5* NL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Cincinnati Reds are only 1-9 in their last 10 games, and they've been unable to provide their pitchers with much run support during this slide. Runs are likely to come at a premium for the Reds today as well against Giants left-hander Kyle Harrison (3-1, 3.20 ERA), who has allowed just one run on 12 hits over 18 innings for an ERA of 0.50 in his last three starts. The team has won Harrison's last five starts, while the Reds are 1-3 in right-hander Frankie Montas' last four starts, and Montas has an ERA of 6.23 in his last three starts. 5* PLAY ON THE GIANTS. |
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05-12-24 | Knicks v. Pacers OVER 217 | Top | 89-121 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET I still can't believe Game 3 did not go over the total, and I think the bookmakers are making a HUGE mistake with this total. Only a 5-minute scoring slump late in the fourth quarter stopped that game from reaching 230+ points, and I don't see the fast-paced Pacers being able to pace themselves (no pun intended). In addition to the over, I also like the New York Knicks to cover the number as they have proven capable of adapting to Indiana's pace. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Pacers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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05-12-24 | Knicks +5.5 v. Pacers | 89-121 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
KNICKS/PACERS SIDE I still can't believe Game 3 did not go over the total, and I think the bookmakers are making a HUGE mistake with this total. Only a 5-minute scoring slump stopped that game from reaching 230+ points, and I don't see the fast-paced Pacers being able to pace themselves (no pun intended). In addition to the over, I also like the New York Knicks to cover the number as they have proven capable of adapting to Indiana's pace. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Pacers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. 3* PLAY ON THE KNICKS. |
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05-11-24 | Celtics -7.5 v. Cavs | Top | 106-93 | Win | 100 | 18 h 50 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF ROUND 2 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Cleveland Cavaliers had the audacity to not only win Game 2 in Boston, but do so in a blowout. The Celtics will have a massive chip on their shoulder, and I think the Cavs will pay the price in Game 3 of the series in Cleveland Saturday night. Celtics are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Celtics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Cavaliers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. 5* PLAY ON THE CELTICS. |
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05-11-24 | Braves -1.5 v. Mets | Top | 4-1 | Win | 115 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
5* NL EAST GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Atlanta Braves are coming off three straight multi-run wins, and today, they'll get a look at Mets rookie right-hander Christian Scott, who has only one career start under his belt. The Braves counter with their ace, left-hander Max Fried (2-1, 4.23 ERA) who has compiled an ERA of 1.64 over his last three starts. The Mets are averaging only 3.9 R/9 against left-handers, while the Braves are averaging a solid 5.1 R/9 overall. 5* play on Braves -1½. |
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05-11-24 | Thunder +3 v. Mavs | 101-105 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
MIKE'S EARLY THUNDER/MAVS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER This looks like a good spot to back the Oklahoma City Thunder to bounce back and regain homecourt advantage after their 119-110 loss to the Mavs on Thursday. A team is never as good/bad as their best/worst game, and I think this line is an overreaction to the last game. The Thunder are still the No. 1 seed in the West and had seven more wins than the Mavs during the regular season. 3* PLAY ON THE THUNDER. |
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05-10-24 | Oilers v. Canucks +109 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
MIKE'S OILERS/CANUCKS G2 MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER The Vancouver Canucks came back from a 4-1 deficit to open the series with a 5-4 win. They are 5-0 against the Edmonton Oilers on the season and 29-11-5 at home, while Edmonton is 23-19-2 on the road. I think it'll be difficult for the Oilers to regroup from that disappointing loss, and I like the price we get on the Canucks to pick up another home win. 3* PLAY ON THE CANUCKS. |
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05-10-24 | Nuggets v. Wolves -4.5 | 117-90 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NUGGETS/WOLVES G3 NBA BOOKIE BREAKER We lost backing the Denver Nuggets in Game 1 and 2, and I'm shamelessly switching sides for Game 3. The Minnesota Timberwolves have outplayed and outhustled the Nuggets, who have struggled with Minnesota's big men. Now, Rudy Gobert is expected to be back on the court again after missing the last game due to the birth of his son - BIG trouble for Denver! The Wolves swept Phoenix in round 1, and I think they'll be looking to finish this series quickly, as they know they can't afford to give the defending NBA champions an inch. 3* PLAY ON THE WOLVES. |
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05-10-24 | Royals -115 v. Angels | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Kansas City Royals are coming off a 10-4 win over the Los Angeles Angels, and tonight, they get a look at Griffin Canning (1-4, 6.69 ERA), who has had a tough start to the season. The Angels are 2-5 in Canning's seven starts and only 4-12 at home. When Canning is done, he'll hand over the ball to a bullpen that has posted an ERA of 5.44. The Royals have averaged a healthy 5.3 R/9 over their last 10 games. 4* PLAY ON THE ROYALS. |
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05-10-24 | Knicks v. Pacers OVER 222.5 | Top | 106-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF ROUND 2 TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET Defense is not only optional but seemingly not allowed when the Indiana Pacers take the court. We have seen 238 and 251 points, respectively, in the first two games of the series at Madison Square Garden, and I think we'll see more of the same when the series moves to Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Add the fact that the Knicks will be without arguably their best defender, OG Anunoby, and I think we have a solid case for an over. Over is 36-16 in Pacers last 52 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. Over is 7-0 in Pacers last 7 home games. Over is 8-1 in Knicks last 9 games as an underdog. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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05-09-24 | Avalanche +117 v. Stars | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* AVS/STARS NHL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Colorado Avalanche won in OT in the opener of this Western Conference semifinal series, and I like the price we get on the Avs to head back to Colorado with a commanding 2-0 lead. The Stars have a lot of talent on the team, but they're inconsistent and the Avs clearly have their number, as they are 5-1 in the last six meetings. 4* PLAY ON THE AVALANCHE. |
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05-09-24 | Mavs v. Thunder -4.5 | Top | 119-110 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 31 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MAVS/THUNDER NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Oklahoma City Thunder had their way with the Dallas Mavericks in Game 1 of this Western Conference second-round playoff series, and I think we'll get another dominant performance from the home team in Game 2 tonight. They had a great game plan to stop Luka Doncic, and they're 4-1 SU against Dallas on the season. Thunder are 39-18-3 ATS in their last 60 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Mavericks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. 4* PLAY ON THE THUNDER. |
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05-09-24 | Mariners +113 v. Twins | Top | 1-11 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
MIKE'S EARLY 4* MARINERS/TWINS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Seattle right-hander Logan Gilbert (3-0, 1.69 ERA) has been one of the best pitchers in baseball so far in 2024. I trust him to slow down the Minnesota Twins while coming into this game as winners of 14 of their past 16 games, they are "only" 10-8 at home this season. Gilbert has faced the Twins three times in his career. He is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in those games, and Twins right-hander Pablo Lopez (3-2, 4.30 ERA) has not been quite as sharp as Gilbert so far this season. Additionally, it's worth noting that the Mariners are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games as underdogs. 4* PLAY ON THE MARINERS. |
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05-08-24 | Giants v. Rockies OVER 10 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
5* NL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The San Francisco Giants opened this series with a 5-0 win, but I expect to see plenty of runs from both sides tonight. I do not doubt that the Giants will put up their fair share against Colorado right-hander Peter Lambert who has posted an ERA of 10.00 over his last three starts, but also think the Rockies will contribute after getting shut out. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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05-08-24 | Pacers +4.5 v. Knicks | Top | 121-130 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET We lost with the New York Knicks in Game 1 of the series, as while they won the game, they did not cover the spread. Prior to Game 1, I thought the Knicks were a more complete team than the Pacers, but I really like what we saw from the visitors who were in control for most of the game and got hosed by the officials down the stretch. I think the Pacers have a good chance of winning this one outright, but taking the points makes more sense in what's likely to be another nailbiter. Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Pacers are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. 5* PLAY ON THE PACERS. |
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05-08-24 | Angels v. Pirates -125 | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SUPER EARLY MLB MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER This looks like a good spot to back the Pittsburgh Pirates to bounce back from a 9-0 loss to the Los Angeles Angels. They'll be eager to get back to the ballpark after getting shut out, and the Angels are 1-5 after scoring seven runs or more in their last game. 3* PLAY ON THE PIRATES. |
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05-07-24 | Mavs v. Thunder -3.5 | Top | 95-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MAVS/THUNDER NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a demanding 7-game series against the Los Angeles Clippers while the Oklahoma City Thunder are coming off a four-game sweep against the New Orleans Pelicans. I'm quite surprised to see this low of a number, as the Thunder are the No. 1 seed in the West, well-rested and fully healthy, while the Mavs got banged up in their first-round series. Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Thunder are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5. 4* PLAY ON THE THUNDER. |
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05-07-24 | Padres v. Cubs -142 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE The Chicago Cubs are perfect 6-0 in Shota Imanaga's six starts, and Imanaga (5-0, 0.78 ERA) is primed for another strong outing against a San Diego Padres team that is batting only .199 while averaging 3.9 R/9 against left-handers. 3* PLAY ON THE CUBS. |
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05-06-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 106-80 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF ROUND 2 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET We lost with the Denver Nuggets in Game 1 of the series, but I'm not afraid to back them to bounce back with a win and ATS cover in Game 2. Despite that loss, I still have Denver as the better team and I don't think the Wolves will be quite as hungry after grabbing one in Denver. For the season, the Nuggets are 7-1 SU and ATS following a home loss. I find it nearly impossible for them to go 2-0 down in the series, and I expect them to win this one by double-digits. 5* PLAY ON THE NUGGETS. |
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05-06-24 | Rangers -130 v. A's | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show |
MIKE'S LATE 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Oakland Athletics' six-game winning streak ended on Sunday with a 12-3 loss to the Miami Marlins. I think they're in for another loss here Monday night with left-hander Alex Wood on the mound, facing a Texas Rangers team averaging 4.5 R/9 against left-handers and are 5-3 on the season as favorites and facing a left-handed starter. This is also part of a bigger picture, as they were 20-11 as favorites against left-handed starters last year. 4* PLAY ON THE RANGERS. |
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05-06-24 | Pacers v. Knicks -5.5 | 117-121 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PACERS/KNICKS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Indiana Pacers can compete with any team on the offensive end, but they're extremely vulnerable on defense. The New York Knicks, on the other hand, are a well-balanced team, and while Indiana won two of three meetings during the regular season, I think the Knicks are better built for playoff basketball. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. Pacers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 3* PLAY ON THE KNICKS. |
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05-05-24 | Golden Knights v. Stars -145 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NHL MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER The Golden Knights forced a Game 7 with a 2-0 win at home in Vegas Friday night. Home ice has otherwise not been an advantage in this series, but I like the Dallas Stars to come through as a home favorite in Game 7. Over the season, both teams have been stronger at home than on the road, and Vegas' 20-18-6 road record does not impress me. 3* PLAY ON THE STARS. |
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05-05-24 | Marlins v. A's -122 | 12-3 | Loss | -122 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE The Oakland Athletics are 7-1 in their last eight games. They scored 20 runs in Saturday's win over the miserable 9-25 Miami Marlins, and I would not want to step in front of a team that just scored 20 runs. Miami right-hander Sixto Sanchez (0-1, 8.36 ERA) has allowed eight runs over 6 2/3 innings in two starts since being moved to the rotation from the bullpen. 3* PLAY ON THE ATHLETICS. |
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05-05-24 | Brewers v. Cubs +116 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 116 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET I don't think the Milwaukee Brewers are quite as good as their hot start to the season would suggest. Regression is coming, and right-hander Freddy Peralta (3-0, 3.21 ERA) has allowed seven runs over 10 innings in his last two starts. Cubs right-hander Javier Assad (2-0, 1.97 ERA) has been elite, and he has allowed just three runs over 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts. 5* PLAY ON THE CUBS. |
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05-05-24 | Magic v. Cavs UNDER 194 | Top | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MAGIC/CAVS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY With a Game 7 between two teams with more upside on the defensive end than the offensive end, I don't think the bookmakers can make the total low enough. Under is 9-2 in Cavaliers last 11 First Round games. Under is 5-2 in Magic last 7 First Round games. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-04-24 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -131 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MAPLE LEAFS/BRUINS NHL MONEYMAKER The Toronto Maple Leafs have the momentum following back-to-back 2-1 wins, but I like the price we get on the Boston Bruins in this elimination game. The Bruins have owned the head-to-head in recent seasons and they have plenty of "Game 7" experience. I expect the Bruins' to step up again tonight. 3* PLAY ON THE BRUINS. |
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05-04-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 106-99 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* WOLVES/NUGGETS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I have a ton of respect for this talented Minnesota Timberwolves team who most likely will be a problem in the West for seasons to come, but I'm not sure if they're ready just yet. Their sweep of the Phoenix Suns was impressive, but now they'll face a Denver Nuggets team that has winning mentality and postseason experience in abundance. Sure, they looked sluggish in their series against the Lakers, but still won 4-1. The Wolves went 3-1 ATS in the four regular-season meetings, but the Nuggets won 116-107 in the very last one here at Ball Arena on April 10. 4* PLAY ON THE NUGGETS. |
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05-04-24 | Tigers v. Yankees UNDER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Yankees have been held to two runs or fewer in five straight games and Detroit Tigers right-hander Casey Mize 1-0, 3.08 ERA) has allowed just six earned runs through his last four starts. The Detroit Tigers have averaged 4.1 R/9 on the road and Yankees righty Clarke Schmidt (2-1, 3.19 ERA) is off to a hot start to the year. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-03-24 | Clippers v. Mavs UNDER 206.5 | 101-114 | Loss | -112 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
MIKE'S 4* CLIPPERS/MAVS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Mavericks will be looking to close out the series at home after taking a 3-2 lead in the series with a 123-93 win in LA. They've held the Clippers to 93 points or fewer in three of the five games, and I expect them to make life very difficult for the Clippers tonight. Under is 11-3 in Mavericks last 14 games as a home favorite. Mavericks are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 10-3 in Clippers last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-03-24 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
5* INTERLEAGUE RUNLINE OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Washington Nationals have been shut out in two of their last three games, and they scored one run in the one they didn't. They're batting .212 while averaging 3.8 R/9 vs. left-handers and here they'll run into Toronto left-hander Yusei Kikuchi who is 2-1 with a 3.50 ERA in his last three starts. Nats left-hander Patrick Corbin is 0-1 with a 5.17 ERA in his last three starts and the team has lost four of his last five starts. 5* PLAY ON THE BLUE JAYS -1½. |
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05-02-24 | Bruins +100 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
5* NHL EAST CONF GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Boston Bruins failed to close out this series on home ice on Tuesday, but they are still holding a 3-2 lead in the series and I think they'll get the job done tonight. The are an impressive 10-2 in the last 12 meetings (6-1 L7 in Toronto), and have already won twice in Toronto in this series. The Bruins are 25-9-9 on the road for the season while the Maple Leafs are only 22-17-4 at home. 5* PLAY ON THE BRUINS. |
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05-02-24 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 213 | Top | 98-120 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Milwaukee Bucks are still alive in the series following a 115-92 win in Game 5. They were without Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard, both listed as doubtful for this game, but figured out how to stop the high-scoring Pacers on the defensive end. I expect them to stick to the same game plan in Game 6, and Indiana does not strike me as a team that adapts well. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-02-24 | Giants +105 v. Red Sox | 3-1 | Win | 105 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
MIKE'S GIANTS/RED SOX MLB MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER This looks like a good spot to fade the Boston Red Sox following four consecutive wins. They'll face a San Francisco Giants team that is looking to avoid getting swept in this three-game series, and the Giants are 3-0 in left-hander Kyle Harrison's last three starts. The Giants are 11-5 off a loss on the season. 3* PLAY ON THE GIANTS. |
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05-01-24 | Mavs -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 123-93 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The series is tied at 2-2 following a 116-11 Clippers win on Sunday. Both teams have won one at home and one on the road, and I like the Mavs to bounce back with a win and cover as a road favorite in LA here in Game 5. Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Mavericks are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games. Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win. Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 4* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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05-01-24 | Kings +1.5 v. Oilers | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
MIKE'S WEDNESDAY NIGHT NHL PUCKLINE PUNI$HER I like the price we get on the Los Angeles Kings +1.5 in this Wednesday night matchup against the Edmonton Oilers. The Kings have scored just one goal through the last two games, but I expect a big effort tonight as they look to stay alive in a Western Conference first-round playoff series. The Kings outshot the Oilers 33-13 and allowed just a goal in Game 4, but still lost as they got shut out. I expect more goals and a favorable result for the desperate LA Kings tonight. 3* PLAY ON THE KINGS +1.5. |
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05-01-24 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 199 | Top | 84-118 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* HEAT/CELTICS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The last two games have seen just 188 and 190 points, respectively. I think we'll see another low-scoring affair as the Boston Celtics look to wrap up the series with a win as a double-digit favorite. Under is 8-2 in Celtics last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 playoff games as a favorite. Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 playoff games as an underdog. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-01-24 | Cubs -114 v. Mets | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CUBS/METS MLB MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER The Chicago Cubs have won only one of their last four games, but they're a perfect 5-0 in 30-year-old rookie left-hander Shota Imanaga's five starts. Imanaga (4-0, 0.98 ERA) has been outstanding, and the Mets have averaged only 3.2 R/9 through their last 10 games, while the Cubs have averaged 4.0 R/9 over their last 10 games. 3* PLAY ON THE CUBS. |
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04-30-24 | Predators v. Canucks -115 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
5* NHL WEST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK The Vancouver Canucks are holding a 3-1 lead in the series, and I think they'll get another win to wrap it up on home ice tonight. They came from behind to get the win in Game 4, and the Preds will find it very difficult to regroup after that letdown. Additionally, note that the Canucks have won seven of the last eight head-to-head meetings, so they are clearly a bad matchup for the Predators. 5* PLAY ON THE CANUCKS.
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04-30-24 | Braves -123 v. Mariners | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
MIKE'S LATE 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Atlanta Braves to bounce back from a 2-1 loss to Seattle in the opener of this series. Braves right-hander Reynaldo Lopez (2-0, 0.72 ERA) has been nearly unhittable with just two runs and 14 hits allowed against 24 strikeouts over 25 innings of work. His career numbers against the Mariners are not pretty, but he has not faced them since 2019 ... Seattle right-hander Luis Castillo (2-4, 4.15 ERA) is 0-3 with an ERA of 5.40 in his three home starts in 2024. 4* PLAY ON THE BRAVES. |
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04-30-24 | Pacers -4 v. Bucks | Top | 92-115 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* PACERS/BUCKS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The banged-up Milwaukee Bucks have had no answer to the Indiana Pacers, who have won three straight since losing Game 1 of the series. The Pacers have scored 125, 121, and 126 games, and they have major incentives to close out this series before the Bucks get healthy. 4* PLAY ON THE PACERS. |
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04-30-24 | 76ers v. Knicks UNDER 203.5 | 112-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SIXERS/KNICKS TOTAL THRASHER The over/under is 2-2 in this series, and I expect another under despite seeing the lowest total so far. The Knicks have been playing suffocating defense and have made things difficult for the Sixers for most of the series. Now, Philly's star center, Joel Embiid, is banged up again. I don't see him missing the game, but if he's even remotely limited the Sixers offense will suffer big time. Under is 21-6 in 76ers last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 6-2 in Knicks last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-29-24 | Lakers v. Nuggets -7 | Top | 106-108 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET I don't see how this series will end any other way than with a gentleman's sweep for the Denver Nuggets. Sure, they've looked far from dominant in this playoff series, but I expect them to come through with a complete outing after taking a 119-108 loss in Game 4. They had won 11 straight meetings with the Lakers prior to that loss, and I love the situational trends: Nuggets are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 5* PLAY ON THE NUGGETS. |
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04-29-24 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +131 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER Dodgers left-hander James Paxton (2-0, 2.61 ERA) has never faced the Arizona Diamondbacks, but they are batting .313 while averaging 7.5 runs per nine innings against left-handed pitchers this season. This is also a tough travel spot for the Dodgers who return to the States from a trip north of the border. The Diamondbacks have won left-hander Tommy Henry's (1-1, 5.55 ERA) last three starts. I think the price is right to back the underdog in this Monday night matchup. 3* PLAY ON THE DIAMONDBACKS. |
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04-29-24 | Yankees v. Orioles -131 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE The Baltimore Orioles lost as a -200 home favorite against Oakland on Sunday, but I expect better focus when they host the New York Yankees in the opener of a four-game series Monday night. Orioles right-hander Grayson Rodriguez (3-1, 4.45 ERA) had been solid before surrendering seven runs on 11 hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 7-4 loss to the Angels in his last start. The Yankees hand the ball to right-hander Clarke Schmidt (2-0, 3.55 ERA) who has posted a 4.33 ERA in nine outings, four starts, against the Orioles. 3* PLAY ON THE ORIOLES. |
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04-28-24 | Wolves v. Suns UNDER 211.5 | Top | 122-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF ROUND 1 TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET I expected much, much more from the Phoenix Suns in this series. On paper, they have all the talent needed to make some serious noise in the post-season. The Suns' stars have failed to gel as a team, though, and they have found it difficult to compete against a Minnesota Timberwolves team that is holding opponents to an NBA-best 106.3 points per game. Now down 3-0 in the series, I think we'll see the Suns' stars getting even more desperate and, as a result, take even worse shots, leading to a low-scoring game in which the Wolves should have an edge. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-28-24 | Wolves -115 v. Suns | 122-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
WOLVES/SUNS SIDE I expected much, much more from the Phoenix Suns in this series. On paper, they have all the talent needed to make some serious noise in the post-season. The Suns' stars have failed to gel as a team, though, and they have found it difficult to compete against a Minnesota Timberwolves team that is holding opponents to an NBA-best 106.3 points per game. Now down 3-0 in the series, I think we'll see the Suns' stars getting even more desperate and, as a result, take even worse shots, leading to a low-scoring game in which the Wolves should have an edge. 3* PLAY ON THE WOLVES. |
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04-28-24 | Bucks v. Pacers -9.5 | Top | 113-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* BUCKS/PACERS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Milwaukee Bucks won the opener of this playoff series, but it's been all Indiana Pacers since and I like the Pacers to win and cover here in Game 4. The Pacers won by three points in OT as a 6.5-point home favorite in Game 3, but the bookmakers are still making them an even bigger favorite in this game, which says a lot, IMO. The banged up Bucks have been without Giannis Antetokounmpo for the past six games, and now Damian Lillard is listed as doubtful and Khris Middleton listed as probable. 4* PLAY ON THE PACERS. |
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04-27-24 | Phillies v. Padres -110 | 5-1 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PHILLIES/PADRES MLB FREE PICK This looks like a good spot to back the San Diego Padres to bounce back from back-to-back losses while also fading the Philadelphia Phillies, who are coming off back-to-back wins, the most recent a 9-3 win in the opener of this three-game series. This is also a potential letdown game for Phillies left-hander Ranger Suarez, who has pitched 22 scoreless innings through his last three starts. At one point, the wheels will come off, and why not here against a Padres team that has averaged a healthy 5.5 R/9 through its last five games. 2* FREE PICK ON THE PADRES. Mike's TOP-RATED premium picks are ON FIRE! $1,000/game bettors are up +$76,880 through a RED HOT 517-392 (57%) run since June 10, 2022. Mike has four premium picks locked in for Saturday: - 5* NHL EAST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET |
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04-27-24 | Celtics -9 v. Heat | 104-84 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CELTICS/HEAT NBA BOOKIE BREAKER Even though the Celtics have the superior roster, I'm honestly not all that surprised that the Miami Heat were able to steal a game in Boston. They're probably the most well-coached team in the NBA, but the Celtics have the talent and I expect a huge bounce back game following the 111-101 loss to the Heat in Game 2 of this series. Heat are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog. Heat are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win. 3* PLAY ON THE CELTICS. |
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04-27-24 | Panthers -120 v. Lightning | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
5* NHL EAST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Florida Panthers are going for the sweep of this series, and I think the Tampa Bay Lightning are done and dusted at this point. The Panthers match up very well against Tampa Bay and have now won seven of the last eight meetings. Add the psychological factor of being 3-0 down, and I don't see the Lightning being able to muster up the energy to win even one game. 5* PLAY ON THE PANTHERS. |
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04-27-24 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
5* NL EAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Washington Nationals opened this series with a 3-1 win Friday night, and I expect another low-scoring affair in Game 2 of the series. The Nats have scored a total of only eight runs through their last four games, and Miami right-hander Edward Cabrera (1-0, 3.27 ERA) has impressed in his two starts in 2024, with only four runs allowed and 17 Ks over 11 innings of work. The Marlins have been limited to a total of four runs through their last four games and Nats rookie left-hander Mitchell Parker has allowed just two runs with 12 strikeouts over 12 innings on the mound. Miami is averaging 2.4 R/9 vs. left-handers and Washington 3.7 R/9 vs. right-handers. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-27-24 | Thunder -107 v. Pelicans | Top | 106-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* THUNDER/PELICANS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The New Orleans Pelicans will. more or less, be fighting for their playoff life here after dropping two games in OKC, but I like the Thunder to win as a short road favorite at Smoothie King Center. The Thunder have won six of the last seven head-to-head matchups outright, while going 5-2 ATS, so they are clearly a bad matchup for the Pelicans. Pelicans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Thunder are 37-18-3 ATS in their last 58 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 4* PLAY ON THE THUNDER. |
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04-26-24 | Pirates v. Giants -142 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
MIKE'S LATE MLB MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE This looks like a good spot to back the San Francisco Giants to bounce back from an 8-2 loss to the New York Mets. They are 9-4 SU off a loss on the season and Pittsburgh right-hander Quinn Priester will make just his second start of the season after giving up five runs (four earned) in an 8-1 loss to Boston on April 19. 3* PLAY ON THE GIANTS. |
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04-26-24 | Clippers v. Mavs -4.5 | Top | 90-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 96-93 win in LA, and I don't see them giving up the precious homecourt advantage right away. Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Mavericks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Clippers are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 5* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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04-26-24 | Nationals +1.5 v. Marlins | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB RUNLINE RIPPER I can't believe that the bookmakers have made the 6-20 Miami Marlins this big of a favorite over the 10-14 Washington Natinonals. Additionally, Miami right-hander Jesus Luzardo (0-2, 6.58 ERA) is 1-2 with a 5.52 ERA in six career starts vs. Washington who counters with right-hander Trevor Williams who is 2-0 with a solid 2.91 ERA in 2024. 3* PLAY ON THE NATIONALS +1.5. |
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04-26-24 | Dodgers v. Blue Jays +108 | 12-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
MIKE'S DODGERS/BLUE JAYS MLB MONEYMAKER This looks like a good spot to fade the Los Angeles Dodgers who are flying across the border from a three-game series in Washington. They're coming off four wins, but they'll face a hungry Toronto team that is looking to end a three-game losing streak. Blue Jays starter Chris Bassitt has allowed just four runs over his last three starts and Dodgers right-hander Gavin Stone has posted a bloated 6.00 ERA in four starts this season. 3* PLAY ON THE BLUE JAYS. |
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04-25-24 | Knicks v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF ROUND 1 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET I expect to see a fired-up and desperate Philadelphia 76ers team after dropping two games in New York. They're significantly stronger at home at Wells Fargo Center than on the road, and this is a must-win game for the Sixers, as going down 0-3 would be devastating. 76ers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. 76ers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. Knicks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games as an underdog. 5* PLAY ON THE 76ERS. |
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04-25-24 | Cavs v. Magic -125 | 83-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CAVS/MAGIC NBA BOOKIE BREAKER We won with the Cleveland Cavaliers in both of the series' first two games, but I expect to see a super-motivated Orlando Magic team here in Game 3. They are 29-12 SU at home on the season compared to 18-25 on the road, and while i still have the Cavs as a much better team, I like the Magic to win as a short home favorite in this particular matchup. Magic are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite. Magic are 31-12 ATS in their last 43 games as a favorite. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. 3* PLAY ON THE MAGIC. |
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04-25-24 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB RUNLINE TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Los Angeles Dodgers are off to a fairly slow 14-11 start, but they're coming into this game riding a three-game winning streak, including 4-1 and 11-2 wins over the Washington Nationals. I expect another easy Dodgers win in the finale of this three-game series. The Nationals hand the ball to left-hander MacKenzie Gore (2-1, 3.60 ERA) who was tagged with four runs on six hits over four innings when he faced the Dodgers last year. The Dodgers counter with rookie right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto (1-1, 4.50 ERA), who has been a strikeout machine with 30 Ks over 22 innings. The Dodgers have lost four of his five starts, but I think that'll make them more motivated to step up for him today. 4* PLAY ON THE DODGERS -1.5. |
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04-25-24 | Brewers -120 v. Pirates | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
MIKE'S EARLY MLB MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE Brewers right-hander Freddy Peralta is 2-0 with a 1.90 ERA on the season, and 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA in 20 career outings (11 starts) against Pittsburgh. The Pirates counter with Mitch Keller (2-2, 4.80 ERA) who is 0-4 with a 6.23 ERA in six career starts against the Brewers. Both teams are cold at the plate, so it's a no-brainer to back the better pitcher in this matchup. 3* PLAY ON THE BREWERS. |
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04-24-24 | Pelicans v. Thunder -7.5 | Top | 92-124 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* PELICANS/THUNDER NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Oklahoma City Thunder to bounce back with a big game after just barely getting a win in Game 1. That loss must be deflating for the Pels, who must feel like that was their chance to steal one in OKC. I stand by what I said in my Game 1 analysis, that these two teams are a lot closer in skill than the seeds would suggest, but the situation warrants a play on the Thunder. 4* PLAY ON THE THUNDER. |
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04-24-24 | Pelicans v. Thunder UNDER 211.5 | 92-124 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY In addition to the Thunder to win and cover the spread, I also like the under. Under is 24-9-1 in Pelicans last 34 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 games as a favorite. 3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-24-24 | Tigers v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
5* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET Detroit right-hander Jack Flaherty (0-1, 4.44 ERA) has recorded 18 Ks while allowing five runs over 12 1/3 innings in his last two starts combined. The Tampa Bay Rays counter with Shawn Armstrong (1-1, 4.09 ERA) who has made two starts and eight appearances on the season. Armstrong will serve as the opener before handing over to a bullpen that has gotten better following a slow start to the season. The Rays' bats have been quiet for some time, and I would not be surprised if the Tigers also come out flat tonight. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-24-24 | Orioles -122 v. Angels | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
MIKE'S ORIOLES/ANGELS MLB MONEYMAKER This looks like a good spot to back the Baltimore Orioles to bounce back with a win in the rubber game of their three-game series against the Los Angeles Angels. Orioles right-hander Dean Kremer (0-2, 4.91 ERA) is also in a personal bounce back spot, coming off two losses following two solid starts to begin the season. Kremer is 2-0 with a 1.76 ERA in three career starts against the Angels who counter with Tyler Anderson (2-2, 1.42 ERA), who has not been quite as sharp as his ERA would suggest. 3* PLAY ON THE ORIOLES. |
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04-24-24 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -110 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
MIKE'S EARLY DIAMONDBACKS/CARDINALS BOOKIE BREAKER (1:15 PM) This looks like a good spot to back the St. Louis Cardinals to snap back with a big outing after getting humiliated in a 14-1 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks yesterday. Cardinals right-hander Kyle Gibson (1-2, 5.04 ERA) is 3-3 with a solid 2.75 ERA in six career starts against the Diamondbacks. 3* PLAY ON THE CARDINALS. |
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04-23-24 | Mavs -2 v. Clippers | Top | 96-93 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF ROUND 1 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Los Angeles Clippers opened the series with a dominant wire-to-wire win, but the bookmakers are still making the Dallas Mavericks are road favorite here in Game 2. I agree with that as I expect a big bounce back game from the Mavs while the Clippers are at risk at coming out overcondident following their big win. Mavericks are 9-3 ATS sa favorites off a loss of more than 10 points. Mavericks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games. Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 5* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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04-23-24 | Suns +3.5 v. Wolves | 93-105 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SUNS/WOLVES NBA BOOKIE BREAKER I expect the Phoenix Suns to bounce back with a strong effort after taking a 120-95 loss in Game 1 of the series. I still have the sixth-seeded Suns as a better team than the third-seeded Timberwolves, and they're 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 3* PLAY ON THE SUNS. |
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04-22-24 | Lakers v. Nuggets -7 | 99-101 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
MIKE'S LAKERS/NUGGETS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER We lost with the Los Angeles Lakers in Game 1. I predicted that the Nuggets would get off a slow start following the extended break, and while that prediction came true, they woke up big time in the second half to get the cover. That was the Lakers chance of stealing a game at Denver IMO, and now I expect the Nuggets to win Game 2 comfortably. We can also note that the Nuggets are 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. 3* PLAY ON THE NUGGETS. |
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04-22-24 | Magic v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Cleveland Cavaliers won the opener of this series 97-83, and I don't think the Magic will be able to keep this one close either. The Cavs are 7-2 SU and 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings and they've been reliable as home favorites this season. 5* PLAY ON THE CAVS. |
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04-22-24 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -134 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -134 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
5* NHL EAST CONF ROUND 1 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Boston Bruins opened this series with a 5-1 win and they've now won eight straight head-to-head matchups with the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Leafs are 4-7 with a negative ROI of -20.7% as road underdogs on the season while the Bruins are 9-3 with a solid ROI of +29.5% as home favorites laying no more than -150. 5* PLAY ON THE BRUINS. |
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04-22-24 | Brewers +122 v. Pirates | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER The Milwaukee Brewers are flying in from a three-game sweep in St. Louis, and I like the price we get on the Brew Crew to open this game with a win. Pittsburgh rookie right-hander Jared Jones has been outstanding through his first four big league starts, posting a 3.13 ERA with 32 strikeouts over 23 innings of work. It's, however, worth noting that the Pirates still lost three of those four games, and now he'll face a Milwaukee team that sits top of the vision with a 14-6 record (10-2 on the road). Brewers starter Joe Ross is unreliable, but he's got a solid solid bullpen behind him. 3* PLAY ON THE BREWERS. |
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04-21-24 | Pelicans +8.5 v. Thunder | 92-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PELICANS/THUNDER NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Oklahoma City Thunder are the No.1 seed in the West heading into the playoffs, but are they the best team in the conference? They're the most talented, I'll admit that, but I think the gap to the New Orleans Pelicans is a lot smaller than the odds would suggest. The Thunder will be a team to watch for seasons to come, but they still lack postseason experience. Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. 3* PLAY ON THE PELICANS. |
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04-21-24 | Blue Jays +115 v. Padres | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
5* INTERLEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Toronto Blue Jays are going for the sweep of this series, following a 5-1 win on Friday and a 5-2 win on Saturday. The Padres' scoring woes are likely to continue against Toronto right-hander Chris Bassitt, who has allowed just two runs on nine hits with 13 Ks over 13 innings in his last two starts. Meanwhile, San Diego right-hander Joe Musgrove has surrendered three runs or more in four of his five starts this season, and he has walked seven batters in his last two starts alone. 5* PLAY ON THE BLUE JAYS. |
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04-21-24 | Mavs -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 97-109 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
5* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Los Angeles Clippers have the higher seed and, as such, homecourt advantage in this battle between the No.4 and the No.5 seed in the West, but I, much like the bookmakers, make the Mavs the better team. That the Mavs are a road favorite here in the opener of this series is quite telling, and I don't think they'll let us down. Clippers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Clippers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Clippers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. Mavericks are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a road favorite. 5* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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04-21-24 | Angels v. Reds -125 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE The Cincinnati Reds have won the last seven head-to-head meetings, including the first two games of this series, in which they outscored the Halos 14-6. The Angels are 3-7 in their last 10 games and right-hander Jose Soriano is 0-2 with a 1-3 team record and a 4.80 ERA in his four starts on the season. Cincinnati right-hander Frankie Montas is 2-2 with a 4.34 ERA on the season, and I expect a bounce-back game from Montas following two sub-par outings against Seattle and Milwaukee. The Angels are a more favorable opponent; Montas is 4-3 with a 2.59 ERA in 16 career games (13 starts) against the Angels. 3* PLAY ON THE REDS. |
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04-21-24 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 208.5 | Top | 94-114 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
5* NBA EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET This is a low total, and if we combine the spread with the total the bookmakers project the Celtics to win 111.5 - 97.5. I think Heat will score 100+, but I'm still not sure that will be enough to cover the number; the Celtics are an offensive juggernaut that has scored 130+ points in back-to-back games while barely breaking a sweat. Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-20-24 | Lakers +7.5 v. Nuggets | 103-114 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
MIKE'S LAKERS/NUGGETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Denver Nuggets looked sluggish at times in regular season play, but there's no doubt in my mind that they'll show up in the playoffs. Still, this is a lot of points to cover in a game where they might need a quarter of two to get back at it from a 6-day break. 3* PLAY ON THE LAKERS. |
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04-20-24 | Suns +1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 95-120 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* SUNS/WOLVES NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The No. 3 seed, the Minnesota Timberwolves, finished the regular season with the better record, but the Phoenix Suns won all three meetings. Much like the bookmakers, I have Phoenix as the better team, and I think they'll start this series with a bang. Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 4* PLAY ON THE SUNS. |
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04-20-24 | Magic v. Cavs -4.5 | 83-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MAGIC/CAVS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The No. 4 seed Cleveland Cavaliers and the No. 5 seed Orlando Magic split four regular-season meetings, but I give the Cavs a big edge in this playoffs series. Cavaliers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5 and the Magic have struggled on the road most of the season. 3* PLAY ON THE CAVS. |
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04-19-24 | Kings v. Pelicans +1.5 | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
MIKE'S KINGS/PELICANS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The New Orleans Pelicans are 5-0 against the Sacramento Kings on the season. They're clearly a bad matchup for the Kings, who are overvalued by the betting market after dismantling the Golden State Warriors last time. Sure, the Kings looked elite, but I think the Warriors made them look better than they are. 3* PLAY ON THE PELICANS. |
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04-19-24 | Bulls v. Heat -2.5 | Top | 91-112 | Win | 100 | 35 h 15 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Miami Heat are one of the most well-coached teams in the league, and they always show up in the playoffs. The betting market overvalues the Chicago Bulls following their dominant win over an Atlanta Hawks team that is well below playoff material. I'll gladly take Miami to cover this short number. 4* PLAY ON THE HEAT. |
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04-19-24 | White Sox v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 12 runs through their last two games, but they're still 8-2 to the under in their last 10 games. The Chicago White Sox are averaging a pathetic 2-1 runs per nine innings on the season, and Philly right-hander Spencer Turnbull (1-0, 1.80 ERA) is off to a terrific start to the season. As for White Sox starter Garett Crochet (1-2, 3.57 ERA), the left-hander had allowed just four runs through his first three starts before giving up five runs in a 5-0 loss to Cincinnati in his last start. It was still a decent outing, though; Crochet had 10 Ks against four hits and three walks over his 4 2/3 innings on the mound. Crochet leads the American League with 31 strikeouts entering play on Thursday. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-18-24 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -156 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE The San Francisco Giants have alternated wins and losses through their last eight games, but I think they'll buck that trend and pick up another win tonight following a 3-1 win in Miami yesterday. Giants right-hander Logan Webb has allowed just three runs over 14 innings in his last two starts, and he is 5-3 with a 2.80 ERA in 10 career starts against the Arizona Diamondbacks. I expect to see a focused Giants team as they open a 10-game homestand. 3* PLAY ON THE GIANTS. |