Written by rocketman | August 2, 2014

I have become very selective with my premium releases over the past several years.  Last year I increased the amount of time I spent handicapping College Football and my College Football releases improved to a 44-27 62% overall record in 2013.  I went 39-21 65% my last 60 overall football picks.  A very nice 67-36 65% record with a bowl release on every game the past 3 years.

My plan of attack this year is to handicap College Football exactly like I did last season.  I have my own set of power ratings that I will be updating each week.  These tell me where the number is suppose to be and how bad off I feel Vegas is when they release the opening numbers.  That gives me my first indicator of the games I will pay more attention to.  However, I will go through each and every game and not only create the Rocketman Line from my power ratings but I will also check several other power ratings as well for every single game.  I will also do trend analysis of every single game on the board.  One system I like to look at and use especially early in the season is how many returning starters each team has in College Football and compare that with their opponent.  This is a system I got from Mike Lee many years ago.  Not sure if he created it or if he just used it in his own newsletter but it has been very effective over the years.  The angle suggest to play on any team who has 5 or more returning starters over their opponent.  The first year I used this system it hit 72% for the entire season.  I think my friend and fellow Pro Capper Bryan Leonard may have said last year that the system usually works a little better earlier in the season.  It hitting 72% was releasing a lot of plays too so it made people a ton of money over the years.

 For NFL I will also do something similar.  I will create my own power ratings and will adjust them accordingly after each game every week.  I will then create the Rocketman Line and compare it to the lines Vegas releases.  In the NFL, I also like to check the injury report a little more than College.  I will also do trend analysis on every single NFL game on the board each and every week.  I finished #2 in the Las Vegas Hilton NFL Supercontest in 2003 finishing 1/2 point out of 1st place cashing $83,300.  Lost out on the final Monday night game of the season costing me some huge money.  But looking forward to another huge year in the NFL as well.

Here are some other things to make sure you have ready before football season starts.  Make sure you have several places to play so you can shop around for the best lines.  We have all been beat by the dreaded 1/2 point or point.  Don’t let it happen this year.  This increases your winning percentage by a huge amount meaning your bankroll will be even fatter!  Be smart, don’t play over your head.  Play what you can afford to lose.  We will not win every game, we will not win every week and we may not even win every month.  But if you stick with a Pro like myself, long term profit is what its all about.

Wishing all the best of luck this football season!  Hope to have you on board as we look to crush the books again in football this year!