Jays/Nats Under

We’re on the Jays and Nats under on Friday. Neither of these teams have been able to find consistency in their early start and it’s led to a lot of lower scoring games for them. Kikuchi will get the ball for the Jays and he’s had a good start to his campaign with an ERA under 3. He’s worked 6.0 innings in 4 straight starts while posting QS in 3 of those outings. He’s mixing in a lot of off speed pitches that has led to him getting a lot of swings and misses. Combine that with this Nats offense being a struggle and he should have a ton of success here on Friday. Patrick Corbin counters and he’s a vet who has seen the Blue Jays a few times in his career. He’s going to lean on the fact that this Jays offense is struggling as a whole and can catch them being overaggressive against him.  

Friday 5* FREE MLB O/U Play

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MIKE'S BREWERS/CUBS MLB FREE PICK

This looks like a good spot to back the Chicago Cubs to bounce back from a 7-6 loss to the Mets in New York. 

Cubs right-hander Hayden Wesneski is 2-0 with a 0.87 ERA in his three starts this season while Brewers righty Joe Ross is 0-3 with an ugly ERA of 7.80 in his last three starts. 

I would not be surprised if the Brewers come in flat here after putting up a combined 15 runs in their last two games.

2* FREE PICK ON THE CUBS. 

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FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 5/3:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Friday afternoon was with the Chicago Cubs with the money-line versus the Milwaukee Brewers listing both starting pitchers Hayden Wesneski and Joe Ross. Chicago (19-12) has won two of their last three games after their 1-0 victory on the road in New York against the Mets on Wednesday. The Cubs return home where they have won 10 of their 13 games this season. They have also won 8 of their last 11 games when priced as a money-line favorite of -110 or higher. Milwaukee (19-11) followed up an 8-2 victory against Tampa Bay on Tuesday with a 7-1 win against the Rays on Wednesday. The Brewers have lost 4 of their last 6 games after winning two games in a row by six or more runs. After playing six straight games against American League East teams, they finally play an National League Central opponent — but they have lost 7 of their last 11 games after playing six or more Interleague games in a row. Take the Chicago Cubs with the money-line listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank.

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7* MLB Braves/Dodgers Free Pick

PLAY ON: Braves/Dodgers OVER 9

I'm on the OVER 9 in Friday's series opener between the Braves and Dodgers. Two of the better offensive teams in baseball will be facing off in this one. Both teams enter this matchup scoring 5.4 runs/game and I think both offenses will have the edge against the opposing starting pitcher. Atlanta is sending out Charlie Morton, who has a 5.37 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 6 career starts vs the Dodgers. LA is going with Gavin Stone, who has a 4.20 ERA and 1.533 WHIP in 3 home starts this season. Stone's only career start against Atlanta came last year, where he gave up 5 runs in 4 innings. Just so happens Morton was the opposing starter in that game and the two games ended up combining for 14 runs. I think they easily get to double-digits tonight. Give me the OVER 9! 

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Kansas City Royals -108

The Kansas City Royals had Thursday off while the Texas Rangers finished their series against the Washington Nationals yesterday.  I like the starting pitching matchup in favor of the Royals today as well.  Brady Singer is 2-1 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in six starts for the Royals this season.  Michael Lorenzen is 2-1 with a 4.24 ERA in three starts for the Rangers.  He gave up 5 earned runs in 6 innings to the Reds in his last start.  Kansas City is 9-0 in home games off a game where their bullpen gave up no runs this season.  Give me the Royals.

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1* Free Pick on Brewers

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Friday card has the round 1 Top rated NHL West Conference top total, the MLB Friday night Hot side and another NBA Game 6 perfect historical system. Hoops And Hockey sweep on Thursday

The MLB Comp play is on Toronto tonight at 6:45 eastern. The Jays fit a nice 13-1 opening game of a series road favorite system that pertains to teams off back to back home favored losses vs an opponent like Washington that are off a road dog loss. Kikuchi for the Jays has been solid thus far with a 2.94 Era. Corbin for Washington has an Era near 7. Look for the Jays to take the opener. Rob V-

1* Best Bet on Tigers

No analysis provided.

Friday NBA Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Orlando at 7 pm et on Friday.

Game 5 of this series cruised 'over' the total but I look for a different story to unfold as the scene shifts back to Orlando for Game 6 on Friday. The pace wasn't necessarily there for a relatively high-scoring contest on Tuesday. In fact, the Magic got off only 78 field goal attempts - the third time in this series they've been held to 80 or less. On the flip side, Orlando has held 12 straight opponents to 88 or fewer field goal attempts and six straight to 38 or fewer made field goals. Note that the 'under' is 27-17 in the Cavaliers last 44 games as a road underdog of six points or less including a 9-6 record in that situation this season. The 'under' is also a long-term 67-49 with Cleveland coming off an 'over' result including a 22-20 mark this season. Orlando has seen the 'under' go 17-11 as a home favorite this season. The 'under' is also 45-37 in the Magic's last 82 contests when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent including a 17-10 record in that situation this season. Take the under.

As much as I believe that the Stars are the better team between these two teams, I find it very hard to believe that the Golden Knights will lose all three games at home in this series. They were dominant during the regular season at home, and I expect the crowd to be ready for tonight's "win or go home" Game 6. 

In the regular season, the Golden Knights swept the series. Yes, the first two went past regulation, but that doesn't take away from the fact that they won. Vegas is also still an awesome 23-13 when trying to revenge an opponent from the previous game, despite being 0-2 in the playoffs. Dallas miraculously came back from down 2-0 in the series already. Expect more twists and turns before this one is over. Play on Vegas at home. 

Score Prediction: 4-2 Vegas. 

Everton fans were a little worried that their team might not survive. Those worries are over now, after the Toffees defeated Brentford last weekend. Off a loss to Wolverhampton, Luton Town is in trouble. Relegation is reality. Sheffield is already going to be relegated. Only one of the following 3 teams: Burnley, Luton and Nottingham Forest will survive. Forest is currently a point ahead.

The Toffees won't be complacent though. They want that elusive road win. They have a -11 goal differential which is much better than Luton Town's -29 goal differential. The Toffees play with revenge and will be happy to further hurt the Hatters chances of staying at the top level. Play on Everton.

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-110)

The Toronto Blue Jays have a massive advantage on the mound tonight over the Washington Nationals.  They also have the rest advantage after having yesterday off, while the Nationals just completed a 7-game road trip in Texas on Thursday and now will be returning home.

Yusei Kikuchi is one of the more underrated starters in baseball.  He is 2-2 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing just 11 earned runs and 2 homers in 33 2/3 innings with 36 K's.

I love fading Patrick Corbin.  He has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the last 5 years.  He went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA in 2020, 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA in 2021, 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA in 2022 and 10-15 with a 5.20 ERA in 2023.  He is off to another rough start this season, going 0-3 with a 6.82 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in six starts while allowing 24 earned runs and 60 base runners in 31 2/3 innings.

Corbin is 1-2 with a 6.88 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in three career starts against Toronto.  Corbin's teams are 13-38 in his 51 career starts as a home underdog and getting outscored by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday.

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1* MLB - Brewers/Cubs FREE PICK on Cubs -119

Dave's Friday Free Play:

1* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-120)

The Key: Sonny Gray has been dynamite for the Cardinals this year going 3-1 with a 1.16 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 4 starts with 32 strikeouts in 23 1/3 innings.  Gray went 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA in 3 starts against the White Sox last year while yielding only 2 earned runs in 18 innings.  Brad Keller will be making his first start of the season for the White Sox tonight.  Keller is 2-4 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against the Cardinals.  The White Sox are 1-13 on the road this year where they are hitting .208 and scoring 2.6 RPG.  Chicago is 0-13 on the road against right-handed starters this year and getting outscored by 4.0 RPG.  Take St. Louis on the Run Line.

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1* Free Wiseguy Play on Cavs/Magic over

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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Los Angeles Dodgers over Atlanta Braves (10:10p.m., Friday, May 3 MLBN) This is a matchup of what many believe are the two best teams in the National League and likely all of baseball. The Braves are off to another strong start this season, but I am not sold on Charlie Morton. His stuff is not good enough to fool the Dodger hitters, many who have seen his stuff for years. The Dodgers do not have a strong record at the Stadium and need to start winning some home games to separate themselves in the division. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring our UFL Game of the Year along with basketball, hockey, and Kentucky Derby action. Sign-up now and let 52 years of handicapping experience work for you.

Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Friday 5-3-24

San Francisco +137

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Mikey Sports FREE MLB play Friday 5-3-24

Oakland -130

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R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Friday 5-3-24

OVER 7 1/2 San Francisco/Philadelphia

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MLB Free Pick - Baltimore at Cincinnati

Left-hander Cole Irvin (2-1, 3.49 ERA) is slated to start for the Orioles against Reds right-hander Hunter Greene (1-2, 3.63). The Orioles moved into sole possession of first place in the American League East on Thursday afternoon, when they beat the visiting Yankees 7-2 in the finale of a four-game series. The Reds had a day off after concluding a 2-4 road trip with a 6-2 loss to the San Diego Padres in the rubber game of a three-game set on Wednesday. Both Irvin and Greene earned wins with scoreless seven-inning outings on Saturday. Irvin allowed four hits in the Orioles' 7-0 victory over the Oakland Athletics, while Greene surrendered just one hit -- a fifth-inning double -- as the Reds beat the Texas Rangers 8-4. Irvin is 0-0 with a 1.69 ERA in three career games (one start) against the Reds. Greene has never opposed the Orioles in his three major league seasons.

Join Michael today as he has THREE can't miss selections on the diamond!